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Lietkabelis vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-98
24-19 21-27 29-25 23-27
Position#9
Record10-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Paris 🏆
Position#8
Record10-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeEurocup
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 76
H04/03
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
94-87
94
87
+7
95avg 76
A08/03
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
95avg 76
H12/03
LKL
Brescia
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
72avg 76
A15/03
Eurocup
Nevezis
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
A19/03
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
H22/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 76
A25/03
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
60-81
60
81
-21
57avg 76
A29/03
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
78avg 76
A03/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
56avg 76
A08/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
27-19
15-15
23-17
23-25
19-20
23-22
29-20
19-18
32-11
19-18
21-24
18-17
20-12
14-19
22-17
18-16
26-23
22-24
24-14
23-24
12-19
31-22
22-20
25-13
15-27
28-30
23-22
9-22
19-15
14-27
18-17
31-19
22-17
14-17
19-20
18-22
21-20
14-14
12-14
159.5Avg total
82.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.281.0160.2-1.856%
Season at home (9)85.283.9169.1+1.378%
Season away (9)73.178.1151.2-5.033%
Last 10 (10)82.177.4159.5+4.770%
Last 5 (5)78.080.2158.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.885.7165.4-5.922%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.277.6156.8+1.767%
vs Weaker (12)88.883.4172.2+5.475%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#16
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 80
A08/03
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
L
76-96
76
96
-20
70avg 80
A11/03
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
89-85
89
85
+4
88avg 80
H14/03
Eurocup
Nanterre
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 80
H17/03
LNB
Promitheas
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
A22/03
Eurocup
Cholet
#7
W
79-63
79
63
+16
72avg 80
A25/03
LNB
London Lions
#14
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 80
H28/03
Eurocup
Le Portel
#12
L
71-84
71
84
-13
63avg 80
A31/03
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
100-97
100
97
+3
100avg 80
H05/04
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
88-81
88
81
+7
88avg 80
H09/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
22-23
16-33
17-12
23-19
22-26
20-26
11-25
16-12
19-25
23-21
31-27
17-18
24-19
23-18
21-24
22-27
14-19
23-20
22-18
19-20
19-15
30-11
11-17
19-29
30-20
17-25
19-22
21-18
12-18
17-13
21-35
27-24
22-23
22-25
29-25
27-19
26-7
12-27
23-28
168.4Avg total
82.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.885.5171.3+0.356%
Season at home (9)87.185.2172.3+1.956%
Season away (9)84.685.8170.3-1.256%
Last 10 (10)82.885.6168.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)84.684.2168.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.796.0177.7-14.314%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.985.1170.9+0.853%
vs Weaker (5)84.878.2163.0+6.6100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
LietkabelisParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H04/03
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/03
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H12/03
LKL
Brescia
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A15/03
Eurocup
Nevezis
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/03
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/03
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A29/03
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A03/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/04
LKL
79.5Avg total
41.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.880.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.941.081.9-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.338.779.0+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.179.5+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.678.6-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.340.078.3-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.237.175.3+1.144%-
vs Weaker (12)44.041.685.6+2.467%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/03
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/03
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#20
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/03
Eurocup
Nanterre
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H17/03
LNB
Promitheas
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/03
Eurocup
Cholet
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A25/03
LNB
London Lions
#14
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/03
Eurocup
Le Portel
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A31/03
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H05/04
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H09/04
LNB
82.4Avg total
42.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.986.6+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.940.985.7+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)42.744.787.4-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.482.4+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.683.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.050.494.4-6.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.940.884.7+3.253%-
vs Weaker (5)41.437.679.0+3.880%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.5
56.2%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.5
36.0%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
74.2%13.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.7
56.2%
53.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.19.9
30.8%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.316.7
74.9%
74.2%16.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWLLWWWWWW
Paris
WWLLWLWWLL
#9
League position
#8
+6.2
Net rating
-4.0
112.5
Offensive rating
106.4
106.3
Defensive rating
110.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
21.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
30.8%
67.9%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 106.4Defence106.3 · 110.4Shooting55.2% · 51.2%3-point %36.0% · 30.8%Ball care21.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds38.1% · 30.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
0
Paris wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23ABC Wolves65-70
03/04/23ANeptunas86-73
29/03/23AJoventut Badalona60-81
25/03/23ARytas91-92
22/03/23HBursaspor88-85
19/03/23ANevezis90-77
15/03/23ABrescia74-65
12/03/23HJuventus91-71
08/03/23ACedevita Olimpija94-87
04/03/23HGargzdai82-73
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HLimoges88-81
05/04/23HFos-sur-Mer100-97
31/03/23ALe Portel71-84
28/03/23HLondon Lions85-96
25/03/23ACholet79-63
22/03/23APromitheas81-84
17/03/23HNanterre85-79
14/03/23HSlask Wroclaw89-85
11/03/23AStrasbourg76-96
08/03/23AHamburg74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayLWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game79.285.273.1
Allowed / game81.083.978.1
Point differential-1.8+1.3-5.0
Avg total160.2169.1151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayWLLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game85.887.184.6
Allowed / game85.585.285.8
Point differential+0.3+1.9-1.2
Avg total171.3172.3170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1815383%86.178.8+7.3
2 Prometey1915479%88.483.0+5.4
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1813572%88.778.3+10.4
4 Joventut Badalona1813572%84.578.2+6.3
5 Turk Telekom1813572%84.278.4+5.8
6 Ulm1811761%84.484.4+0.1
7 Promitheas1811761%82.884.3-1.6
8 Paris1810856%85.885.5+0.3
9 Lietkabelis1810856%79.281.0-1.8
10 Venezia189950%80.777.1+3.6
11 Buducnost189950%78.776.2+2.6
12 JL Bourg189950%82.984.1-1.2
13 Brescia1881044%79.979.8+0.1
14 London Lions1881044%80.880.8+0.0
15 Bursaspor1881044%84.484.8-0.3
16 Hamburg1961332%81.785.7-4.1
17 Cluj-Napoca1851328%84.389.3-5.0
18 Trento1841422%73.181.7-8.7
19 Cedevita Olimpija1831517%83.390.3-7.0
20 Slask Wroclaw181176%72.985.2-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2421292397
Paris1927252798
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