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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 73-86
19-31 17-22 17-14 20-19
Position#7
Record11-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#4
Record15-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game82.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 70
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
66-83
66
83
-17
58avg 70
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 70
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
99avg 70
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
57avg 70
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 70
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-54
73
54
+19
68avg 70
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 70
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 70
H26/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
16-15
21-16
20-24
15-22
21-20
11-27
23-13
22-19
19-20
14-21
11-23
16-18
15-22
31-25
23-26
21-27
27-30
18-25
32-15
9-21
18-19
17-20
19-19
28-15
19-18
27-32
19-14
10-17
21-19
19-10
23-8
17-23
18-13
33-22
12-33
18-18
16-11
24-22
18-19
158.1Avg total
77.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.280.5158.7-2.246%
Season at home (12)84.782.2166.8+2.558%
Season away (12)71.878.8150.5-7.033%
Last 10 (10)77.980.2158.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)77.074.6151.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.380.3153.6-7.029%
vs Similar (9)78.280.4158.7-2.256%
vs Weaker (14)89.481.5170.9+7.964%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#9
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 77
H04/03
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
94-87
94
87
+7
95avg 77
A08/03
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
95avg 77
H12/03
LKL
Brescia
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
72avg 77
A15/03
Eurocup
Nevezis
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
A19/03
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
H22/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 77
A25/03
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
60-81
60
81
-21
57avg 77
A29/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
12-21
16-17
22-22
18-21
29-21
23-14
21-32
17-22
27-19
15-15
23-17
23-25
19-20
23-22
29-20
19-18
32-11
19-18
21-24
18-17
20-12
14-19
22-17
18-16
26-23
22-24
24-14
23-24
12-19
31-22
22-20
25-13
15-27
28-30
23-22
9-22
19-15
14-27
18-17
162.4Avg total
82.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.182.8169.0+3.362%
Season at home (12)84.582.8167.2+1.858%
Season away (12)87.882.9170.7+4.867%
Last 10 (10)82.879.6162.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)80.680.0160.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.888.6171.3-5.822%
vs Similar (10)79.276.8156.0+2.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.184.4173.5+4.773%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/03
LKL
75.2Avg total
36.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.479.1+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.782.9+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)37.138.175.2-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.875.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.869.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.337.674.9-0.343%-
vs Similar (9)39.141.880.9-2.756%-
vs Weaker (14)41.338.780.0+2.657%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H04/03
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/03
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H12/03
LKL
Brescia
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A15/03
Eurocup
Nevezis
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/03
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/03
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A29/03
Eurocup
78.1Avg total
39.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.579.9+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.240.281.4+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)39.538.678.1+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.378.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.674.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.039.078.0+0.044%-
vs Similar (10)38.737.075.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.242.185.3+1.164%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.8
52.1%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
35.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
74.2%14.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.3
58.0%
54.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.7
36.3%
35.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
74.2%15.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWWLWLLLL
Lietkabelis
LLWWWWWWWL
#7
League position
#4
-1.9
Net rating
+6.9
107.9
Offensive rating
116.7
109.9
Defensive rating
109.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
56.5%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
22.1%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
41.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.6%
3-point %
36.3%
66.7%
Assist %
69.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 116.7Defence109.9 · 109.8Shooting50.9% · 56.5%3-point %32.6% · 36.3%Ball care17.9% · 22.1%Off. rebounds33.6% · 41.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HJonava76-70
19/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-91
13/03/23AGargzdai73-54
06/03/23HSiauliai93-79
15/02/23ABC Wolves63-79
13/02/23HJuventus98-97
05/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes85-91
01/02/23AJonava66-83
28/01/23HRytas70-82
21/01/23AJonava75-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/23AJoventut Badalona60-81
25/03/23ARytas91-92
22/03/23HBursaspor88-85
19/03/23ANevezis90-77
15/03/23ABrescia74-65
12/03/23HJuventus91-71
08/03/23ACedevita Olimpija94-87
04/03/23HGargzdai82-73
19/02/23ARytas91-88
18/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas67-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW46%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%58%33%
Points / game78.284.771.8
Allowed / game80.582.278.8
Point differential-2.2+2.5-7.0
Avg total158.7166.8150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%58%67%
Points / game86.184.587.8
Allowed / game82.882.882.9
Point differential+3.3+1.8+4.8
Avg total169.0167.2170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2521484%87.672.4+15.2
2 Rytas2520580%92.082.3+9.8
3 BC Wolves2517868%85.779.8+5.9
4 Lietkabelis2415962%86.182.8+3.3
5 Juventus25151060%85.884.1+1.7
6 Jonava25141156%80.779.4+1.3
7 Nevezis25121348%84.285.2-1.0
8 Neptunas24111346%78.280.5-2.2
9 Siauliai25111444%84.286.6-2.4
10 Gargzdai2552020%77.385.4-8.1
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2552020%77.890.3-12.5
12 Prienai2532212%79.290.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1917172073
Lietkabelis3122141986
← all games of the day
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