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Brescia vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 65-74
17-18 12-20 19-14 17-22
Position#13
Record7-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game79.6
Brescia
vs
Lietkabelis 🏆
Position#9
Record8-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEurocupRound 16
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 75
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 75
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
103-84
103
84
+19
101avg 75
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 75
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 75
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 75
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
95-59
95
59
+36
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-19
18-14
16-13
17-20
23-19
22-23
16-22
22-19
20-19
22-22
39-24
17-25
19-21
22-20
22-27
20-19
25-10
11-26
19-17
14-16
22-6
15-14
23-21
17-16
23-14
21-21
23-25
18-19
24-17
18-21
16-26
21-25
13-22
14-28
16-15
26-20
27-14
21-17
21-8
156.7Avg total
80.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.979.6160.5+1.347%
Season at home (7)86.177.0163.1+9.157%
Season away (8)76.281.9158.1-5.638%
Last 10 (10)80.376.4156.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)78.673.0151.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.891.2171.0-11.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.081.1159.1-3.136%
vs Weaker (9)87.177.2164.3+9.967%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 76
A31/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#9
L
94-103
94
103
-9
90avg 76
H05/02
LKL
Venezia
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
85avg 76
H08/02
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 76
A11/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
111-108
111
108
+3
111avg 76
H14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#9
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 76
H04/03
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
94-87
94
87
+7
95avg 76
A08/03
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
95avg 76
H12/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-20
23-15
13-21
15-26
23-25
22-20
34-32
27-28
16-18
21-21
23-17
25-15
13-15
18-22
21-19
30-31
23-19
28-24
30-34
17-17
12-21
16-17
22-22
18-21
29-21
23-14
21-32
17-22
27-19
15-15
23-17
23-25
19-20
23-22
29-20
19-18
32-11
19-18
21-24
170.8Avg total
87.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.281.8162.0-1.653%
Season at home (8)84.983.8168.6+1.175%
Season away (7)74.979.6154.4-4.729%
Last 10 (10)87.183.7170.8+3.480%
Last 5 (5)85.079.2164.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.187.2170.4-4.125%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.178.4158.6+1.767%
vs Weaker (13)88.684.2172.8+4.477%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
BresciaLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/03
Lega A
76.8Avg total
40.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.781.1-0.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.039.179.1+0.969%-
Last 30 away (17)40.841.982.7-1.259%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.076.8+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.874.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.745.384.0-6.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.141.280.4-2.157%-
vs Weaker (9)43.138.181.2+5.078%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A31/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/02
LKL
Venezia
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H08/02
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A11/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H04/03
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/03
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H12/03
LKL
83.7Avg total
42.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.081.3+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.540.382.8+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)39.739.779.4+0.046%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.183.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.081.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.138.478.5+1.862%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.438.778.1+0.844%-
vs Weaker (13)43.242.085.2+1.254%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.315.3
47.4%
53.9%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.7
33.9%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.517.4
84.9%
74.2%17.4
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.7
55.8%
53.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.6
36.7%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.116.3
81.1%
74.2%16.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWWWLWLW
Lietkabelis
WWWWLWWWLW
#13
League position
#9
-15.2
Net rating
+6.1
108.9
Offensive rating
119.3
124.1
Defensive rating
113.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
55.5%
61.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
40.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
36.7%
59.6%
Assist %
68.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 119.3Defence124.1 · 113.2Shooting48.8% · 55.5%3-point %33.9% · 36.7%Ball care15.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 40.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
1
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
07/12/22Lietkabelis v Brescia79-70
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HTrieste95-59
08/03/23AVenezia64-90
05/03/23ATrento76-83
19/02/23AVirtus Bologna84-76
18/02/23HPesaro74-57
15/02/23AOlimpia Milano75-72
12/02/23HSassari80-93
08/02/23HCluj-Napoca103-84
05/02/23AVirtus Bologna78-84
31/01/23AJL Bourg74-66
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HJuventus91-71
08/03/23ACedevita Olimpija94-87
04/03/23HGargzdai82-73
19/02/23ARytas91-88
18/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas67-77
14/02/23HNevezis111-108
11/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes77-71
08/02/23HVenezia87-84
05/02/23HSiauliai94-103
31/01/23ACluj-Napoca77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game80.986.176.2
Allowed / game79.677.081.9
Point differential+1.3+9.1-5.6
Avg total160.5163.1158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game80.284.974.9
Allowed / game81.883.879.6
Point differential-1.6+1.1-4.7
Avg total162.0168.6154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1512380%85.479.8+5.6
2 Prometey1612475%87.883.4+4.3
3 Turk Telekom1511473%84.777.8+6.9
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1611569%87.679.0+8.6
5 Joventut Badalona1611569%85.079.6+5.4
6 Paris1610662%86.284.9+1.2
7 Promitheas159660%82.982.7+0.3
8 Venezia169756%81.475.9+5.5
9 Buducnost169756%79.875.0+4.8
10 Ulm169756%84.085.6-1.6
11 Lietkabelis158753%80.281.8-1.6
12 JL Bourg168850%82.984.6-1.7
13 Brescia157847%80.979.6+1.3
14 London Lions157847%79.079.1-0.1
15 Bursaspor167944%84.385.1-0.8
16 Hamburg1651131%81.985.6-3.6
17 Cluj-Napoca1651131%84.988.8-3.8
18 Cedevita Olimpija1631319%83.990.8-6.9
19 Trento1631319%72.282.6-10.3
20 Slask Wroclaw161156%73.485.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1712191765
Lietkabelis1820142274
← all games of the day
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