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Lietkabelis vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-73
17-22 27-19 15-15 23-17
Position#4
Record12-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#11
Record4-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game85.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Gargzdai
13 Feb 2027
LIE v GAR
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
LIE v GAR
upcoming
06 May 2026
LIE69
GAR78
01 Feb 2026
LIE70
GAR79
07 Oct 2023
LIE84
GAR66
04 Mar 2023
LIE82
GAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
109-73
109
73
+36
no box
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
JL Bourg
#12
W
92-88
92
88
+4
91avg 75
H25/01
Eurocup
Prienai
#12
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 75
H28/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 75
A31/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#9
L
94-103
94
103
-9
90avg 75
H05/02
LKL
Venezia
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
85avg 75
H08/02
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 75
A11/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
111-108
111
108
+3
111avg 75
H14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#9
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
25-17
23-20
29-15
16-18
24-13
32-16
20-41
15-28
18-15
19-22
22-21
19-19
22-20
23-15
13-21
15-26
23-25
22-20
34-32
27-28
16-18
21-21
23-17
25-15
13-15
18-22
21-19
30-31
23-19
28-24
30-34
17-17
12-21
16-17
22-22
18-21
29-21
23-14
21-32
173.2Avg total
87.9Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.783.8169.4+1.960%
Season at home (10)84.184.9169.0-0.850%
Season away (10)87.282.6169.8+4.670%
Last 10 (10)87.985.3173.2+2.670%
Last 5 (5)86.685.6172.2+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.187.2170.4-4.125%
vs Similar (10)79.280.5159.7-1.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.384.3173.7+5.075%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 73
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
85avg 73
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
65avg 73
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 73
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 73
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 73
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
64avg 73
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A16/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
23-14
18-25
9-23
26-24
18-30
16-21
22-21
25-21
24-35
26-18
17-25
14-20
19-17
17-33
21-19
12-27
27-15
17-16
18-13
18-15
10-25
22-19
18-10
18-17
22-17
14-10
25-25
15-29
20-16
27-19
28-28
24-17
17-24
16-37
15-24
25-24
19-26
15-21
21-9
165.9Avg total
79.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.885.8164.6-6.920%
Season at home (10)72.779.7152.4-7.020%
Season away (10)85.091.8176.8-6.820%
Last 10 (10)79.586.4165.9-6.930%
Last 5 (5)81.684.8166.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.388.1165.4-10.86%
vs Similar (4)85.076.2161.2+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
LietkabelisGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H25/01
Eurocup
Prienai
#12
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H28/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A31/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/02
LKL
Venezia
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H08/02
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A11/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
82.7Avg total
41.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.880.8+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.782.3+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)40.338.779.0+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.882.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.283.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.138.478.5+1.862%-
vs Similar (10)37.839.076.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.241.385.6+2.958%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A16/02
LKL
83.0Avg total
39.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)37.543.480.8-5.915%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.540.175.6-4.620%-
Last 30 away (10)39.446.786.1-7.310%-
Last 10 (10)39.443.683.0-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.079.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.744.581.2-7.86%-
vs Similar (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.6
52.0%
54.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.6
33.9%
35.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.914.0
78.2%
74.2%14.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.6
52.5%
54.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
35.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.014.4
65.5%
74.2%14.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWWWLWLWW
Gargzdai
WLLWLWLLLL
#4
League position
#11
-2.7
Net rating
-11.4
112.3
Offensive rating
106.4
115.1
Defensive rating
117.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.6%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.9%
3-point %
34.8%
66.1%
Assist %
65.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 106.4Defence115.1 · 117.8Shooting51.5% · 52.4%3-point %33.9% · 34.8%Ball care17.7% · 20.6%Off. rebounds35.8% · 33.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
02/10/22Gargzdai v Lietkabelis71-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23ARytas91-88
18/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas67-77
14/02/23HNevezis111-108
11/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes77-71
08/02/23HVenezia87-84
05/02/23HSiauliai94-103
31/01/23ACluj-Napoca77-75
28/01/23HPrienai74-86
25/01/23HJL Bourg92-88
22/01/23HJuventus109-73
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23ASiauliai99-92 OT
11/02/23ARytas72-102
06/02/23AJuventus90-92
30/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes79-69
15/01/23HJonava68-69
09/01/23HPrienai74-71
21/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-89
19/12/22ANevezis92-99
12/12/22ABC Wolves82-96
04/12/22HJuventus68-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%50%70%
Points / game85.784.187.2
Allowed / game83.884.982.6
Point differential+1.9-0.8+4.6
Avg total169.4169.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW20%
HomeLLWLW20%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game78.872.785.0
Allowed / game85.879.791.8
Point differential-6.9-7.0-6.8
Avg total164.6152.4176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2017385%85.971.7+14.2
2 Rytas1915479%89.880.8+9.1
3 BC Wolves2014670%85.079.8+5.2
4 Juventus2013765%85.583.0+2.4
5 Lietkabelis2012860%85.783.8+1.9
6 Jonava2011955%80.379.0+1.4
7 Siauliai20101050%84.285.1-0.9
8 Nevezis2091145%82.783.5-0.8
9 Neptunas2081240%77.881.8-4.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1941521%77.788.1-10.4
11 Gargzdai2041620%78.885.8-6.9
12 Prienai2021810%78.089.0-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1727152382
Gargzdai2219151773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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