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Limburg vs Okapi Aalst Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 95-86
Projected total 181.2
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game84.3
Vs
79%
21%
■ LIMB 79%■ OKAP 21%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game86.9
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2026-27
Meetings · Limburg v Okapi Aalst
20 Nov 2026
LIMB v OKAP
upcoming
06 May 2026
LIMB99
OKAP85
18 Apr 2025
LIMB80
OKAP66
26 Jan 2024
LIMB77
OKAP68
21 Dec 2022
LIMB80
OKAP76
09 Feb 2022
LIMB90
OKAP73
04 Feb 2022
LIMB70
OKAP72
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Limburg host Okapi Aalst in the BNXT League. Pythia makes Limburg the favourite at 79% and projects 95-86, about 181 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Limburg are 4-2 this season (92.0 scored, 84.3 allowed a game), form WWWLW; Okapi Aalst are 5-2 this season (91.7 scored, 86.9 allowed a game), form LWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg win
78.5%fair 1.27
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst win
21.5%fair 4.66
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
106-79
106
79
+27
107avg 88
A25/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-54
91
54
+37
96avg 88
H01/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
99-85
99
85
+14
98avg 88
H06/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
82-71
82
71
+11
72avg 88
A09/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 88
H02/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
101-73
101
73
+28
94avg 88
A09/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 88
H16/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
88-83
88
83
+5
89avg 88
A23/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
61avg 88
A31/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
96-73
96
73
+23
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
28-20
24-31
26-10
22-10
22-16
25-6
22-22
22-19
28-22
25-16
24-28
24-15
18-27
22-12
18-17
33-29
20-23
27-29
20-28
26-13
30-16
21-24
24-20
25-17
22-20
21-28
19-15
31-20
26-15
19-20
12-28
19-17
24-22
26-24
11-25
31-10
23-26
19-20
23-17
172.5Avg total
93.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.084.3176.3+7.767%
Season at home (2)93.594.5188.0-1.050%
Season away (4)91.279.2170.5+12.075%
Last 10 (10)93.079.5172.5+13.580%
Last 5 (5)90.479.4169.8+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.091.0177.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (5)96.092.2188.2+3.880%
vs Weaker (22)93.679.0172.6+14.577%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 91
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 91
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
118-90
118
90
+28
123avg 91
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
95-87
95
87
+8
78avg 91
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 91
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
74avg 91
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
114-90
114
90
+24
110avg 91
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 91
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
25-12
22-27
32-24
19-22
22-28
16-25
28-24
27-25
25-16
32-18
34-31
23-17
25-24
26-18
21-28
23-21
19-28
26-16
26-14
26-25
15-17
16-24
20-26
31-24
28-29
30-12
25-25
22-21
22-23
25-5
14-20
10-23
25-30
20-23
22-15
22-30
31-25
18-27
31-18
183.6Avg total
94.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.786.9178.6+4.971%
Season at home (4)98.586.5185.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)82.787.3170.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)94.788.9183.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)90.688.4179.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.090.0180.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (7)90.195.3185.4-5.129%
vs Weaker (21)98.185.0183.1+13.090%
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158.5
Over 158.5
91.5%
Under 158.5
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
85.6%
Under 163.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
77.5%
Under 168.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Limburg total 79.5
Over 79.5
93.7%
Under 79.5
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limburg total 83.5
Over 83.5
87.3%
Under 83.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limburg total 87.5
Over 87.5
77.3%
Under 87.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okapi Aalst total 76
Over 76
84.3%
Under 76
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okapi Aalst total 80
Over 80
72.6%
Under 80
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okapi Aalst total 84
Over 84
57.6%
Under 84
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Limburg -3
LIMB -3
72.0%
OKAP +3
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
LIMB
No market prices yet.
OKAP
No market prices yet.
Spread Limburg 0
LIMB 0
78.5%
OKAP 0
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
LIMB
No market prices yet.
OKAP
No market prices yet.
Spread Limburg +3
LIMB +3
84.7%
OKAP -3
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
LIMB
No market prices yet.
OKAP
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.3+9.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.3+9.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
LimburgOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A25/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H02/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
56-29
56
29
+27
A09/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A23/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A08/11
BNXT League
87.7Avg total
50.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.241.889.0+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.639.087.6+9.692%-
Last 30 away (18)46.343.689.9+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)50.237.587.7+12.790%-
Last 5 (5)51.435.286.6+16.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.745.089.7-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)48.046.094.0+2.060%-
vs Weaker (22)47.440.487.7+7.068%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H14/11
BNXT League
93.2Avg total
46.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.692.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.546.295.8+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.989.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.346.993.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.495.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.647.792.3-3.143%-
vs Weaker (21)49.044.593.5+4.462%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.024.8
60.5%
53.2%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.7
34.0%
32.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.916.1
80.9%
71.0%16.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.1
60.6%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
32.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.5
75.8%
71.0%18.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WLWWWLWWWW
Okapi Aalst
WLWWLWWWLW
#5
League position
#4
+16.1
Net rating
+10.6
105.7
Offensive rating
108.3
89.6
Defensive rating
97.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
60.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.0%
3-point %
40.1%
67.5%
Assist %
59.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 108.3Defence89.6 · 97.7Shooting56.6% · 60.4%3-point %34.0% · 40.1%Ball care13.6% · 15.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Limburg   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Limburg wins
1
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
06/05/26Limburg v Okapi Aalst99-85
26/12/25Okapi Aalst v Limburg107-98
18/04/25Limburg v Okapi Aalst80-66
01/12/24Okapi Aalst v Limburg76-80
26/01/24Limburg v Okapi Aalst77-68
28/10/23Okapi Aalst v Limburg82-83
21/12/22Limburg v Okapi Aalst80-76
09/10/22Okapi Aalst v Limburg80-82
09/02/22Limburg v Okapi Aalst90-73
06/02/22Okapi Aalst v Limburg76-84
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ADonar Groningen96-73
31/10/26AAntwerp Giants80-88
23/10/26AKortrijk88-83
16/10/26HRotterdam87-80
09/10/26ACB Liege101-73
02/10/26HMechelen100-109
09/05/26ADonar Groningen82-71
06/05/26HOkapi Aalst99-85
01/05/26HBAL Weert91-54
25/04/26ALWD Basket106-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDen Bosch102-100
08/11/26ABrussels Basketball77-91
31/10/26HBelfius Mons83-69
25/10/26HDonar Groningen114-90
17/10/26ALeiden77-92
10/10/26AMechelen94-79
03/10/26HOostende95-87
09/05/26HLWD Basket118-90
06/05/26ALimburg85-99
02/05/26HRotterdam102-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game92.093.591.2
Allowed / game84.394.579.2
Point differential+7.7-1.0+12.0
Avg total176.3188.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game91.798.582.7
Allowed / game86.986.587.3
Point differential+4.9+12.0-4.7
Avg total178.6185.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg64267%92.084.3+7.7
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
9 Donar Groningen63350%81.389.5-8.2
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
14 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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