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Okapi Aalst vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 118-90
27-25 25-16 32-18 34-31
Position#3
Record24-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game87.7
Okapi Aalst 🏆
vs
LWD Basket
Position#15
Record10-23
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game93.4
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 34· Okapi Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket
09 May 2026
OKAP118
LWD 90
14 Dec 2024
OKAP64
LWD 82
06 Apr 2024
OKAP103
LWD 74
15 May 2022
OKAP83
LWD 67
26 Mar 2022
OKAP87
LWD 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
106-90
106
90
+16
102avg 88
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 88
H21/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
111-82
111
82
+29
119avg 88
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
64avg 88
A04/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
107-103
107
103
+4
106avg 88
H11/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
104-77
104
77
+27
103avg 88
A17/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-78
98
78
+20
98avg 88
H19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
97-85
97
85
+12
64avg 88
A25/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 88
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 88
A06/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
27-27
19-22
34-20
25-28
20-28
15-16
30-37
34-14
30-30
27-18
20-20
18-28
17-18
15-27
24-21
32-22
20-24
30-30
25-27
26-21
24-16
21-20
33-20
22-19
35-23
22-16
19-20
31-31
27-19
21-23
18-12
23-29
25-12
22-27
32-24
19-22
22-28
16-25
28-24
188.3Avg total
97.4Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)95.887.7183.5+8.273%
Season at home (16)99.886.6186.4+13.188%
Season away (17)92.288.7180.9+3.559%
Last 10 (10)97.490.9188.3+6.570%
Last 5 (5)97.286.2183.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.097.5200.5+5.550%
vs Similar (6)89.396.7186.0-7.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)97.484.8182.2+12.786%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 77
H29/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
72avg 77
A01/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
65-75
65
75
-10
51avg 77
A03/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
98-78
98
78
+20
92avg 77
H11/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
98-99
98
99
-1
98avg 77
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 77
A19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
79avg 77
H22/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
79-106
79
106
-27
69avg 77
H25/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
76-93
76
93
-17
65avg 77
A03/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
74-100
74
100
-26
71avg 77
H06/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
22-30
24-13
20-27
22-17
17-37
28-22
15-16
17-14
16-28
16-17
16-16
23-17
25-25
17-22
33-14
32-23
24-33
26-16
16-27
20-21
19-23
25-25
19-20
24-18
24-28
13-24
28-18
18-28
20-28
31-24
10-26
18-21
12-25
29-23
17-24
21-21
18-19
14-30
21-30
173.0Avg total
82.8Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.893.4177.2-9.530%
Season at home (17)86.492.0178.4-5.641%
Season away (16)81.194.8175.9-13.819%
Last 10 (10)82.890.2173.0-7.430%
Last 5 (5)80.295.2175.4-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)82.195.5177.6-13.521%
vs Similar (2)92.082.5174.5+9.5100%
vs Weaker (4)89.082.8171.8+6.275%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
Okapi AalstLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H21/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H11/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A17/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A25/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/05
BNXT League
96.3Avg total
50.3Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.944.992.8+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.544.894.2+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)46.145.091.1+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)50.346.096.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)50.844.094.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (6)44.048.892.8-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)49.143.792.8+5.571%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A01/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A03/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H11/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H22/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H25/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/05
BNXT League
87.8Avg total
41.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.946.087.8-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.244.586.7-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)41.547.488.9-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.046.887.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.846.485.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)40.447.287.6-6.917%-
vs Similar (2)54.043.097.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)44.839.884.5+5.0100%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.4
59.6%
54.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.5
40.7%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.720.6
80.2%
72.4%20.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
54.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.2
33.7%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.915.0
65.5%
72.4%15.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LWWWWWLWLW
LWD Basket
LLLWLLWLLW
#3
League position
#15
+7.2
Net rating
-8.4
112.1
Offensive rating
90.8
104.9
Defensive rating
99.1
60.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.35
40.7%
3-point %
33.7%
59.3%
Assist %
63.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 90.8Defence104.9 · 99.1Shooting60.2% · 51.6%3-point %40.7% · 33.7%Ball care13.3% · 17.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Okapi Aalst wins
4
LWD Basket wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst94-105
10/05/25LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst99-88
14/12/24Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket64-82
30/04/24LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst67-66
06/04/24Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket103-74
15/05/22Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket83-67
11/05/22LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst61-78
01/04/22LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst82-75
26/03/22Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket87-75
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26ALimburg85-99
02/05/26HRotterdam102-92
25/04/26ALeiden97-85
19/04/26HBelfius Mons98-78
17/04/26ABelfius Mons104-77
11/04/26HDen Bosch107-103
04/04/26AMechelen74-94
28/03/26HDonar Groningen111-82
21/03/26HOostende90-109
15/03/26ALeuven Bears106-90
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26HLeiden74-100
03/05/26ABrussels Basketball76-93
25/04/26HLimburg79-106
22/04/26HDonar Groningen89-88
19/04/26ADen Helder83-89
16/04/26HDen Helder98-99
11/04/26HMechelen98-78
03/04/26ADen Bosch65-75
01/04/26ADonar Groningen82-92
29/03/26HLeuven Bears84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWLWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %73%88%59%
Points / game95.899.892.2
Allowed / game87.786.688.7
Point differential+8.2+13.1+3.5
Avg total183.5186.4180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%69%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %9%6%12%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWLWLL41%
AwayWLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %30%41%19%
Points / game83.886.481.1
Allowed / game93.492.094.8
Point differential-9.5-5.6-13.8
Avg total177.2178.4175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants3328585%96.777.0+19.7
2 Oostende3324973%88.980.2+8.8
3 Okapi Aalst3324973%95.887.7+8.2
4 Kortrijk33231070%88.080.7+7.3
5 Limburg33221167%91.780.8+10.9
6 Den Bosch33191458%84.682.2+2.4
7 Donar Groningen33191458%83.183.1+0.0
8 Brussels Basketball33181555%84.479.8+4.6
9 Mechelen33181555%76.579.1-2.5
10 Leiden33171652%84.281.8+2.4
11 Spirou Charleroi33161748%82.484.9-2.5
12 Den Helder33151845%82.582.1+0.4
13 Leuven Bears33141942%79.880.6-0.8
14 Zwolle33141942%80.382.4-2.1
15 LWD Basket33102330%83.893.4-9.5
16 Belfius Mons3392427%82.892.8-10.1
17 Rotterdam3342912%74.290.9-16.7
18 BAL Weert333309%69.189.4-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst27253234118
LWD Basket2516183190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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