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Mechelen vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-94
21-23 28-19 16-26 14-26
Position#13
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game100.0
Mechelen
vs
Okapi Aalst 🏆
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game87.0
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mechelen v Okapi Aalst
10 Oct 2026
MECH79
OKAP94
04 Apr 2026
MECH94
OKAP74
30 Apr 2025
MECH78
OKAP79
07 Oct 2023
MECH91
OKAP84
15 Jan 2023
MECH90
OKAP98
09 Oct 2021
MECH71
OKAP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-57
80
57
+23
75avg 71
H01/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
94-74
94
74
+20
98avg 71
H04/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
78-98
78
98
-20
73avg 71
A11/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
53avg 71
A17/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 71
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
44avg 71
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 71
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 71
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
99avg 71
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 71
A02/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
29-15
19-15
10-12
28-18
18-17
27-15
21-24
17-23
25-25
22-17
14-33
20-25
14-21
9-20
23-28
22-31
18-29
13-12
20-11
14-22
11-23
15-27
23-27
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
161.8Avg total
79.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.0100.0209.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)109.0100.0209.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.782.1161.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)81.283.0164.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.083.6158.6-8.644%
vs Similar (8)73.480.1153.5-6.838%
vs Weaker (6)81.875.7157.5+6.267%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
W
111-82
111
82
+29
119avg 89
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
64avg 89
A04/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
107-103
107
103
+4
106avg 89
H11/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
104-77
104
77
+27
103avg 89
A17/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-78
98
78
+20
98avg 89
H19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
97-85
97
85
+12
64avg 89
A25/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 89
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 89
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
118-90
118
90
+28
123avg 89
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
78avg 89
H03/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
30-30
27-18
20-20
18-28
17-18
15-27
24-21
32-22
20-24
30-30
25-27
26-21
24-16
21-20
33-20
22-19
35-23
22-16
19-20
31-31
27-19
21-23
18-12
23-29
25-12
22-27
32-24
19-22
22-28
16-25
28-24
27-25
25-16
32-18
34-31
23-17
25-24
26-18
21-28
187.8Avg total
99.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.087.0182.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)95.087.0182.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)99.188.7187.8+10.480%
Last 5 (5)99.490.6190.0+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.097.5200.5+5.550%
vs Similar (7)90.195.3185.4-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)98.884.6183.3+14.290%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
MechelenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H04/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A11/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A17/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
83.0Avg total
40.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.277.8-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.479.3+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)34.441.976.3-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.183.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.479.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.942.278.2-6.331%-
vs Similar (8)35.839.975.6-4.125%-
vs Weaker (6)44.735.079.7+9.767%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H11/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A17/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A25/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/10
BNXT League
94.3Avg total
50.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.044.492.4+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.643.993.5+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)46.145.091.1+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)50.543.894.3+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)49.444.694.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)44.647.792.3-3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)49.243.192.4+6.175%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.2
48.8%
53.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.6
37.4%
32.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
71.0%13.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.2
60.2%
53.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.511.1
43.5%
32.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.619.3
78.5%
71.0%19.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWLLLLLWW
Okapi Aalst
WWLWWWWWLW
#13
League position
#5
-2.9
Net rating
+11.1
92.5
Offensive rating
112.3
95.4
Defensive rating
101.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
62.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.4%
3-point %
43.5%
58.3%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 112.3Defence95.4 · 101.2Shooting51.4% · 62.3%3-point %37.4% · 43.5%Ball care15.8% · 14.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Mechelen   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mechelen wins
4
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Mechelen v Okapi Aalst94-74
06/12/25Okapi Aalst v Mechelen93-76
30/04/25Mechelen v Okapi Aalst78-79
01/03/25Okapi Aalst v Mechelen65-79
20/04/24Okapi Aalst v Mechelen72-81
12/01/24Okapi Aalst v Mechelen82-80
07/10/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst91-84
15/01/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst90-98
04/12/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen77-81
20/02/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen87-92 OT
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
25/04/26ADonar Groningen63-99
19/04/26HOostende73-83
17/04/26AOostende66-94
11/04/26ALWD Basket78-98
04/04/26HOkapi Aalst94-74
01/04/26HBAL Weert80-57
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HOostende95-87
09/05/26HLWD Basket118-90
06/05/26ALimburg85-99
02/05/26HRotterdam102-92
25/04/26ALeiden97-85
19/04/26HBelfius Mons98-78
17/04/26ABelfius Mons104-77
11/04/26HDen Bosch107-103
04/04/26AMechelen74-94
28/03/26HDonar Groningen111-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game109.0-109.0
Allowed / game100.0-100.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total209.0-209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total182.0182.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants110100%100.063.0+37.0
2 Brussels Basketball220100%85.565.5+20.0
3 Zwolle110100%70.059.0+11.0
4 Mechelen110100%109.0100.0+9.0
5 Okapi Aalst110100%95.087.0+8.0
6 Donar Groningen220100%83.077.0+6.0
7 Spirou Charleroi21150%81.564.5+17.0
8 Limburg21150%100.591.0+9.5
9 Den Bosch21150%69.060.0+9.0
10 Leuven Bears21150%73.573.0+0.5
11 Leiden21150%68.574.0-5.5
12 Oostende1010%87.095.0-8.0
13 Kortrijk1010%76.085.0-9.0
14 Rotterdam2020%60.577.5-17.0
15 CB Liege2020%71.597.5-26.0
16 Belfius Mons2020%61.599.0-37.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2128161479
Okapi Aalst2319262694
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