PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Lipscomb hosts Belmont on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the home side at 60% to 40% and projecting a 79-76 win for Lipscomb. Lipscomb has gone 1-2 this season, scoring 70.3 points per game and allowing 79.7, while Belmont is undefeated 2-0, averaging 73.5 points and conceding 49.5; Lipscomb has a perfect 1-0 home record, 78.0 points for and 77.0 against, whereas Belmont's last five games include three wins and two losses, with recent victories over Centre College 75-45 and Southern Indiana 72-54 and a loss to Drake 79-100. In head-to-head play Belmont leads 6-1, most recently beating Lipscomb 75-68 on 19 November 2025. The projected total of 155 points sits near the middle of the spread line, and the model gives a 5% chance of overtime. Lipscomb's 79 points will likely cover the home line, and the over on the total is a 55% probability. The game will feature Lipscomb's lone home victory of the season against Siu Edwardsville 78-77.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 70.3 | 79.7 | 150.0 | -9.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 78.0 | 77.0 | 155.0 | +1.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 66.5 | 81.0 | 147.5 | -14.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.5 | 74.8 | 147.3 | -2.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.8 | 78.6 | 147.4 | -9.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 73.7 | 83.5 | 157.2 | -9.8 | 33% |
| vs Similar (9) | 78.3 | 77.0 | 155.3 | +1.3 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 82.9 | 71.6 | 154.5 | +11.3 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 73.5 | 49.5 | 123.0 | +24.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 73.5 | 49.5 | 123.0 | +24.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 81.5 | 72.7 | 154.2 | +8.8 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.6 | 68.8 | 148.4 | +10.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (8) | 79.2 | 69.9 | 149.1 | +9.4 | 88% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 85.6 | 74.9 | 160.5 | +10.8 | 76% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.8 | 35.3 | 72.1 | +1.4 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.1 | 31.5 | 69.6 | +6.7 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 35.4 | 39.2 | 74.6 | -3.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.4 | 37.1 | 73.5 | -0.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.2 | 38.0 | 75.2 | -0.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 40.0 | 39.7 | 79.7 | +0.3 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 33.6 | 35.2 | 68.8 | -1.7 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker (15) | 37.4 | 33.7 | 71.1 | +3.7 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.3 | 33.9 | 72.1 | +4.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 39.6 | 34.1 | 73.8 | +5.5 | 76% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 36.5 | 33.5 | 70.0 | +2.9 | 85% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.4 | 32.1 | 68.5 | +4.3 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.0 | 31.0 | 68.0 | +6.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (8) | 37.2 | 33.8 | 71.0 | +3.5 | 75% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 38.9 | 34.3 | 73.2 | +4.6 | 81% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/11/25 | Belmont v Lipscomb | 75-68 |
| 13/11/24 | Lipscomb v Belmont | 79-80 |
| 07/12/23 | Belmont v Lipscomb | 72-71 |
| 15/11/22 | Lipscomb v Belmont | 77-75 |
| 03/12/21 | Belmont v Lipscomb | 94-65 |
| 13/12/20 | Lipscomb v Belmont | 71-81 |
| 04/12/19 | Belmont v Lipscomb | 80-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Siu Edwardsville | 78-77 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Iowa | 54-76 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Southeast Missouri State | 79-86 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast | 53-77 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Eastern Kentucky | 80-77 |
| 26/02/26 | A | West Georgia | 77-84 |
| 21/02/26 | H | North Alabama | 73-51 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Bellarmine | 75-72 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Queens Royals | 81-87 |
| 12/02/26 | H | Eastern Kentucky | 75-61 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Centre College | 75-45 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Southern Indiana | 72-54 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Drake | 79-100 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Illinois State | 74-81 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Evansville | 98-64 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Indiana State | 87-70 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Murray State | 87-70 |
| 13/02/26 | H | Northern Iowa | 91-86 |
| 10/02/26 | A | Bradley | 84-95 OT |
| 07/02/26 | A | Illinois (Chi.) | 68-62 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLW | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.3 | 78.0 | 66.5 |
| Allowed / game | 79.7 | 77.0 | 81.0 |
| Point differential | -9.3 | +1.0 | -14.5 |
| Avg total | 150.0 | 155.0 | 147.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 73.5 | 73.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 49.5 | 49.5 | - |
| Point differential | +24.0 | +24.0 | - |
| Avg total | 123.0 | 123.0 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eastern Kentucky | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.0 | 69.0 | +25.0 |
| 2 |  Central Arkansas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.7 | 67.0 | +23.7 |
| 3 |  North Alabama | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 75.7 | 74.0 | +1.7 |
| 4 |  Queens Royals | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 89.0 | 103.7 | -14.7 |
| 5 |  Austin Peay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 89.0 | 68.0 | +21.0 |
| 6 |  Florida Gulf Coast | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 85.3 | 81.0 | +4.3 |
| 7 | Lipscomb | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.3 | 79.7 | -9.3 |
| 8 |  North Florida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.7 | 88.7 | -27.0 |
| 9 |  West Georgia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 55.5 | 75.5 | -20.0 |
| 10 |  Bellarmine | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 63.0 | 88.3 | -25.3 |
| 11 |  Stetson | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 60.0 | 85.7 | -25.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Drake | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 88.0 | 58.0 | +30.0 |
| 2 |  Illinois (Chi.) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.7 | 58.3 | +27.3 |
| 3 |  Murray State | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 93.5 | 67.5 | +26.0 |
| 4 | Belmont | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 73.5 | 49.5 | +24.0 |
| 5 |  Valparaiso | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 81.5 | 69.0 | +12.5 |
| 6 |  Evansville | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 75.3 | 73.0 | +2.3 |
| 7 |  Southern Illinois | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 87.5 | 70.0 | +17.5 |
| 8 |  Northern Iowa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 94.5 | 84.0 | +10.5 |
| 9 |  Indiana State | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 69.5 | 72.0 | -2.5 |
| 10 |  Illinois State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 73.7 | +7.7 |
| 11 |  Bradley | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 60.7 | 55.3 | +5.3 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lipscomb | 40 | 48 | 88 |
| Belmont | 32 | 43 | 75 |
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