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Lithuania U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jul 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 58-64
17-8 12-28 18-20 11-8
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game54.0
Allowed / game62.0
Meetings · Lithuania U18 v Italy U18
28 Jul 2019
LITH58
ITAL64
02 Aug 2014
LITH57
ITAL80
11 Aug 2012
LITH81
ITAL71
22 Jul 2011
LITH82
ITAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lithuania U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia U18
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#4
W
97-88 OT
97
88
+9
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#2
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#12
W
100-68
100
68
+32
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
W
83-55
83
55
+28
A05/08
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-18
26-20
16-24
22-25
21-20
18-23
23-16
21-21
22-21
15-29
34-16
16-20
25-18
16-18
22-21
32-19
21-22
22-18
18-23
32-22
30-15
20-22
22-12
18-12
18-26
18-22
23-19
24-18
29-18
28-15
19-17
23-16
27-14
17-10
16-15
12-21
17-14
9-21
22-18
162.6Avg total
86.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)86.276.4162.6+9.870%
Last 5 (5)84.869.4154.2+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.072.7145.7+0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.174.1148.2+0.054%
vs Weaker (14)80.465.9146.3+14.486%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#6
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
68-90
68
90
-22
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
9-14
21-20
22-12
25-18
14-12
21-9
19-16
19-22
13-15
16-21
17-23
10-20
24-13
15-15
25-19
17-18
19-35
9-9
23-28
19-24
16-19
17-20
14-16
23-16
17-20
10-23
25-16
25-14
18-23
15-19
21-13
16-23
10-14
15-26
21-17
13-18
9-10
11-13
21-21
146.0Avg total
72.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)54.062.0116.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)54.062.0116.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.273.8146.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)71.877.2149.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.780.2148.8-11.517%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.967.1135.0+0.757%
vs Weaker (17)74.562.2136.7+12.288%
This opponent (Lithuania U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
Lithuania U18Italy U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lithuania U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia U18
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#12
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A05/08
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
82.6Avg total
44.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.173.4+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.336.776.0+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.533.671.1+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.182.6+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.281.2+10.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.332.765.0-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.735.870.5-1.138%-
vs Weaker (14)43.034.977.9+8.171%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#12
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
70.2Avg total
34.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.067.3+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.433.466.8-0.159%-
Last 30 away (13)37.830.268.0+7.777%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.170.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.269.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.842.276.0-8.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.731.466.1+3.371%-
vs Weaker (17)36.128.664.7+7.482%-
This opponent (Lithuania U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lithuania U18 wins
3
Italy U18 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/19ARussia U1860-74
05/08/18AGermany U1883-55
04/08/18AGreat Britain U18100-68
03/08/18ARussia U1877-79
01/08/18HBosnia & Herzegovina U18104-71
31/07/18HGreat Britain U1893-82
29/07/18AMontenegro U1879-77
28/07/18HSerbia U1892-87
06/08/17ATurkey U1897-88 OT
05/08/17HSerbia U1877-83
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/19HMontenegro U1854-62
05/08/18HSpain U1862-80
04/08/18ATurkey U1879-69
03/08/18HBosnia & Herzegovina U1898-96 OT
01/08/18ARussia U1866-79
31/07/18HLatvia U1868-90
29/07/18HCroatia U1874-67
28/07/18AGreece U1865-81
06/08/17AFrance U1879-55
05/08/17HBosnia & Herzegovina U1877-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania U18
EuroBasket U18 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game60.0-60.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential-14.0--14.0
Avg total134.0-134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game54.054.0-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total116.0116.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U18110100%98.065.0+33.0
2 Turkey U18220100%82.057.5+24.5
3 France U18110100%66.052.0+14.0
4 Russia U18110100%74.060.0+14.0
5 Greece U18110100%82.074.0+8.0
6 Montenegro U18110100%62.054.0+8.0
7 Serbia U1821150%80.077.5+2.5
8 Netherlands U1821150%81.580.5+1.0
9 Slovenia U1821150%62.568.5-6.0
10 Croatia U1821150%61.576.5-15.0
11 Great Britain U1821150%74.093.5-19.5
12 Finland U181010%55.060.0-5.0
13 Latvia U182020%72.577.5-5.0
14 Germany U182020%61.068.5-7.5
15 Italy U181010%54.062.0-8.0
16 Lithuania U181010%60.074.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania U181712181158
Italy U1882820864
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