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Russia U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Aug 2018
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-66
24-19 19-16 20-17 16-14
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game79.3
Meetings · Russia U18 v Italy U18
29 Jul 2019
RUSS63
ITAL56
01 Aug 2018
RUSS79
ITAL66
02 Aug 2017
RUSS64
ITAL82
24 Jul 2015
RUSS54
ITAL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Russia U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Russia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro U18
#11
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#9
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H02/08
EuroBasket U18
Slovakia U18
#16
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#9
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-16
22-21
14-16
24-21
18-23
24-21
11-25
13-5
15-19
17-23
12-10
11-30
17-17
16-18
20-17
20-15
21-16
22-13
13-11
19-14
23-15
9-17
12-17
17-16
17-13
17-20
24-20
26-20
23-24
21-16
12-20
18-20
22-12
23-19
9-24
23-14
13-16
14-15
15-11
144.5Avg total
72.9Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.070.3143.3+2.767%
Season at home (1)82.080.0162.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)68.565.5134.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)72.971.6144.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)72.869.8142.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.675.4139.0-11.914%
vs Similar (11)67.266.9134.1+0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.761.4138.1+15.383%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U18
#15
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#1
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#5
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#6
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
68-90
68
90
-22
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
17-14
18-11
16-15
21-15
14-11
7-18
4-19
12-11
22-14
11-16
23-20
30-11
17-17
18-16
17-20
14-23
16-19
18-14
19-17
25-13
9-14
21-20
22-12
25-18
14-12
21-9
19-16
19-22
13-15
16-21
17-23
10-20
24-13
15-15
25-19
17-18
19-35
9-9
23-28
136.0Avg total
69.5Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.079.3148.3-10.333%
Season at home (2)71.078.5149.5-7.550%
Season away (1)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)69.566.5136.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)72.670.4143.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)64.279.0143.2-14.80%
vs Similar (8)69.067.5136.5+1.562%
vs Weaker (18)74.061.6135.6+12.489%
This opponent (Russia U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
Russia U18Italy U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Russia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro U18
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#9
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H02/08
EuroBasket U18
Slovakia U18
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
72.9Avg total
38.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.167.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.831.567.3+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)34.432.666.9+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)38.534.472.9+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.873.0+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.732.665.3+0.157%-
vs Similar (11)33.833.267.0+0.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.330.968.2+6.458%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U18
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#5
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#12
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
68.3Avg total
35.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.967.2+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.634.168.7+0.456%-
Last 30 away (12)36.328.765.0+7.775%-
Last 10 (10)35.632.768.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.071.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.242.072.2-11.80%-
vs Similar (8)35.132.467.5+2.862%-
vs Weaker (18)36.429.565.9+6.978%-
This opponent (Russia U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Russia U18 wins
3
Italy U18 wins
DateGameScore
02/08/17Russia U18 v Italy U1864-82
01/08/15Italy U18 v Russia U1867-82
24/07/15Russia U18 v Italy U1854-63
21/07/11Italy U18 v Russia U1889-48
24/07/10Italy U18 v Russia U1886-87
Russia U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/18ATurkey U1865-56
29/07/18AGermany U1872-75
28/07/18HFrance U1882-80
06/08/17AFinland U1875-69
05/08/17HGermany U1870-69 OT
04/08/17HSlovakia U1876-55
02/08/17HItaly U1864-82
01/08/17AGermany U1867-69 OT
30/07/17ATurkey U1877-90
29/07/17HMontenegro U1881-71
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/18HLatvia U1868-90
29/07/18HCroatia U1874-67
28/07/18AGreece U1865-81
06/08/17AFrance U1879-55
05/08/17HBosnia & Herzegovina U1877-59
04/08/17HLithuania U1867-73
02/08/17ARussia U1882-64
01/08/17HSpain U1868-61
30/07/17HSerbia U1846-63
29/07/17AUkraine U1869-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Russia U18
EuroBasket U18 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game73.082.068.5
Allowed / game70.380.065.5
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.0
Avg total143.3162.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game69.071.065.0
Allowed / game79.378.581.0
Point differential-10.3-7.5-16.0
Avg total148.3149.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U18330100%92.057.3+34.7
2 Lithuania U18330100%88.082.0+6.0
3 Serbia U1832167%95.386.0+9.3
4 Latvia U1832167%81.073.0+8.0
5 Finland U1832167%74.067.3+6.7
6 Greece U1832167%77.070.7+6.3
7 Germany U1832167%78.373.7+4.7
8 Russia U1832167%73.070.3+2.7
9 France U1831233%78.080.7-2.7
10 Croatia U1831233%70.374.3-4.0
11 Turkey U1831233%65.370.0-4.7
12 Italy U1831233%69.079.3-10.3
13 Great Britain U1831233%80.091.0-11.0
14 Ukraine U1831233%63.084.0-21.0
15 Montenegro U183030%83.387.7-4.3
16 Bosnia & Herzegovina U183030%66.386.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Russia U182419201679
Italy U181916171466
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