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Lithuania vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 08:45
Final 68-87
25-24 13-25 17-24 13-14
Position#9
Record13-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Serbia 🏆
Position#13
Record12-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeWorld CupWorld Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Lithuania v Serbia
26 Nov 2026
LITH v SERB
upcoming
05 Sep 2023
LITH68
SERB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H07/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
A10/09
EuroBasket
France
#8
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H11/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A14/11
World Cup
Hungary
#42
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H23/02
World Cup
France
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A26/02
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
93-67
93
67
+26
A25/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H27/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
A29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H01/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
28-14
19-17
12-11
20-19
25-21
23-23
15-20
14-22
19-21
14-27
18-20
19-15
18-15
12-14
16-12
14-16
26-15
23-14
26-19
14-11
13-24
16-18
20-17
26-12
20-22
24-19
23-14
32-17
21-17
23-17
20-15
26-27
22-13
18-10
25-21
20-20
19-23
25-15
28-9
155.8Avg total
83.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.970.2151.1+10.781%
Season at home (8)83.871.0154.8+12.875%
Season away (8)78.069.4147.4+8.688%
Last 10 (10)83.572.3155.8+11.270%
Last 5 (5)87.068.2155.2+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.889.5166.2-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.476.5160.9+7.864%
vs Weaker (15)84.568.3152.9+16.293%
This opponent (Serbia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#11
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H11/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#75
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A11/11
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H14/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A24/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H27/02
World Cup
China
#20
W
105-63
105
63
+42
H26/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
115-83
115
83
+32
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
112-79
112
79
+33
A03/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
23-25
17-21
18-28
21-20
17-14
19-17
17-17
24-21
13-13
17-20
23-22
15-8
24-22
23-25
18-25
28-20
18-21
28-19
27-23
25-14
30-20
22-13
28-16
27-15
30-12
18-31
19-19
30-20
26-19
27-26
32-18
19-23
23-17
20-19
14-19
29-15
27-20
31-18
25-26
173.0Avg total
93.2Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.677.0163.6+9.671%
Season at home (8)88.578.9167.4+9.675%
Season away (9)85.075.3160.3+9.767%
Last 10 (10)93.279.8173.0+13.470%
Last 5 (5)100.476.0176.4+24.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)96.486.0182.4+10.460%
vs Weaker (25)87.175.8162.9+11.380%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
LithuaniaSerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H07/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/09
EuroBasket
France
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/11
World Cup
Hungary
#42
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H23/02
World Cup
France
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A26/02
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A25/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H27/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H01/09
World Cup
79.6Avg total
42.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.780.1+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.438.981.3+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.536.378.8+6.279%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.279.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.279.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.242.581.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.739.183.8+5.682%-
vs Weaker (15)41.735.377.0+6.380%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#11
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#75
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A11/11
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A24/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/02
World Cup
China
#20
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H26/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A03/09
World Cup
83.6Avg total
47.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.437.283.6+9.280%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.039.886.8+7.276%-
Last 30 away (13)45.633.979.5+11.785%-
Last 10 (10)47.735.983.6+11.8100%-
Last 5 (5)53.235.088.2+18.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)48.042.490.4+5.660%-
vs Weaker (25)46.136.282.3+9.984%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lithuania wins
0
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
12/09/10Serbia v Lithuania88-99
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/23HGreece92-67
29/08/23AMontenegro91-71
27/08/23HMexico96-66
25/08/23AEgypt93-67
26/02/23AFrance63-70
23/02/23HHungary89-64
14/11/22AMontenegro65-56
11/11/22HFrance65-90
10/09/22ASpain94-102 OT
07/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina87-70
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/23ADominican Republic112-79
01/09/23HItaly76-78
30/08/23ASouth Sudan115-83
28/08/23APuerto Rico94-77
26/08/23HChina105-63
27/02/23HGreat Britain101-83
24/02/23AGreece92-97 OT
14/11/22HTurkey77-76
11/11/22AGreat Britain74-68
11/09/22HItaly86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%75%88%
Points / game80.983.878.0
Allowed / game70.271.069.4
Point differential+10.7+12.8+8.6
Avg total151.1154.8147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Serbia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game86.688.585.0
Allowed / game77.078.975.3
Point differential+9.6+9.6+9.7
Avg total163.6167.4160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia2119290%85.473.1+12.3
3 Canada1715288%97.069.9+27.1
4 Germany1715288%83.971.6+12.3
5 Australia1714382%86.063.4+22.6
6 South Sudan1714382%82.370.8+11.5
7 Lithuania1613381%80.970.2+10.7
8 Spain1713476%83.969.5+14.4
9 France1713476%81.166.8+14.2
10 Italy1612475%85.281.1+4.1
11 Puerto Rico1511473%83.581.0+2.5
12 New Zealand1410471%91.675.2+16.4
13 Serbia1712571%86.677.0+9.6
14 Dominican Republic1712571%82.976.8+6.1
15 Montenegro2014670%77.372.0+5.3
16 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
17 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
18 Lebanon1711665%86.679.4+7.3
19 Angola1711665%73.966.8+7.1
20 China1711665%78.774.4+4.3
21 Slovenia1711665%84.580.4+4.1
22 Ivory Coast1711665%75.172.0+3.1
23 Finland1711665%82.581.4+1.2
24 Brazil159660%85.974.5+11.5
25 Greece159660%77.576.1+1.5
26 Mexico159660%83.182.5+0.5
27 Egypt1710759%76.169.2+6.8
28 Japan1710759%78.476.7+1.7
29 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
30 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
31 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
32 Georgia179853%79.179.8-0.7
33 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
34 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
35 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
36 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
37 Jordan168850%78.377.0+1.3
38 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
39 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
40 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
41 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
42 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
43 Venezuela178947%76.472.5+3.8
44 Philippines157847%80.079.1+0.9
45 Cape Verde167944%72.474.8-2.3
46 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
47 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
48 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
49 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
50 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
51 Iran1761135%69.273.1-3.9
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania2513171368
Serbia2425241487
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