PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
The LIU Sharks will host the NC Wilmington Seahawks on 18 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that pits a team on a starkly different run against one that has yet to taste defeat, with LIU entering the game 0-4 and Wilmington standing at 3-0. LIU has averaged 61.5 points while allowing 73.8, a stark contrast to Wilmington's 90.0 points scored and 71.0 points allowed, and the Sharks have lost all five of their recent games, including 46-66 to Towson, 80-88 to La Salle and 60-67 to Seton Hall, whereas the Seahawks have won four of their last five, with victories over Kent State, East Carolina and Mount Olive. The two teams have not met this season, so there is no head-to-head history to consider. Pythia rates the Sharks as the favourite with a 66% chance of victory against Wilmington's 34%, projecting a 76-71 score for a total of 147.1 points, and the model assigns a 5% chance of overtime. The Sharks' line is 66% to cover, while the over is 5% likely. Wilmington's recent road win and strong offensive output suggest they could challenge the Sharks, but the Sharks' defensive struggles and losing streak give them the edge in this contest.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 60.8 | 75.0 | 135.8 | -14.2 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (5) | 60.8 | 75.0 | 135.8 | -14.2 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 65.8 | 72.8 | 138.6 | -7.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 60.8 | 75.0 | 135.8 | -14.2 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 59.3 | 78.0 | 137.3 | -18.7 | 0% |
| vs Similar (16) | 72.4 | 67.4 | 139.8 | +4.9 | 69% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 75.9 | 68.0 | 143.9 | +7.9 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 90.0 | 71.0 | 161.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 96.0 | 69.0 | 165.0 | +27.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 78.0 | 75.0 | 153.0 | +3.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.2 | 70.2 | 150.4 | +10.0 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 71.0 | 154.2 | +12.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (5) | 74.2 | 70.4 | 144.6 | +3.8 | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (24) | 76.7 | 66.9 | 143.6 | +9.8 | 92% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.1 | 34.6 | 68.7 | -0.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 34.3 | 30.5 | 64.8 | +3.8 | 75% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 34.0 | 37.3 | 71.3 | -3.3 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.0 | 35.9 | 66.9 | -4.9 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 29.0 | 36.0 | 65.0 | -7.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 30.2 | 39.2 | 69.3 | -9.0 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 35.0 | 33.8 | 68.8 | +1.2 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (8) | 35.4 | 32.9 | 68.2 | +2.5 | 75% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.1 | 32.1 | 68.1 | +4.0 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 36.5 | 28.6 | 65.1 | +7.9 | 83% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 35.4 | 37.2 | 72.7 | -1.8 | 58% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.9 | 29.2 | 66.1 | +7.7 | 90% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.8 | 29.0 | 65.8 | +7.8 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (5) | 35.8 | 34.4 | 70.2 | +1.4 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (24) | 36.1 | 31.8 | 67.9 | +4.3 | 75% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Fordham | 58-80 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Towson | 46-66 |
| 07/11/26 | A | La Salle | 80-88 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Seton Hall | 60-67 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Florida Atlantic | 60-74 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Arizona | 58-92 |
| 10/03/26 | H | Mercyhurst Lakers | 79-70 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Wagner | 64-56 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Chicago State | 79-75 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson | 74-60 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Kent State | 91-73 |
| 07/11/26 | A | East Carolina | 78-75 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Mount Olive Trojans | 101-65 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Campbell | 70-85 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Elon | 76-57 |
| 02/03/26 | H | Charleston | 76-79 |
| 27/02/26 | H | N. Carolina A&T | 88-65 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Campbell | 73-68 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Monmouth | 79-69 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Hofstra | 70-66 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | LLLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | - | 5 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 60.8 | - | 60.8 |
| Allowed / game | 75.0 | - | 75.0 |
| Point differential | -14.2 | - | -14.2 |
| Avg total | 135.8 | - | 135.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 90.0 | 96.0 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 71.0 | 69.0 | 75.0 |
| Point differential | +19.0 | +27.0 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 161.0 | 165.0 | 153.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Central Connecticut State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 65.5 | 79.0 | -13.5 |
| 2 |  Chicago State | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 68.0 | 78.8 | -10.8 |
| 3 |  Fairleigh Dickinson | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 68.2 | 85.0 | -16.8 |
| 4 |  Le Moyne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.0 | 76.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 |  Stonehill | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 71.3 | -4.0 |
| 6 |  New Haven Chargers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 58.3 | 70.0 | -11.7 |
| 7 |  Wagner | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 66.2 | 73.2 | -7.0 |
| 8 |  Mercyhurst Lakers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 61.2 | 70.8 | -9.5 |
| 9 | LIU Sharks | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 60.8 | 75.0 | -14.2 |
| 10 |  St. Francis (ILL) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 47.0 | 96.0 | -49.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleston | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 104.7 | 67.3 | +37.3 |
| 2 | NC Wilmington | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 71.0 | +19.0 |
| 3 |  William & Mary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 91.3 | 78.0 | +13.3 |
| 4 |  Hofstra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.0 | 63.8 | +6.2 |
| 5 |  Towson | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.8 | 65.5 | +5.2 |
| 6 |  Elon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.5 | 70.5 | -1.0 |
| 7 |  Northeastern | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 78.8 | 83.2 | -4.5 |
| 8 |  Stony Brook | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 64.7 | +9.0 |
| 9 |  N. Carolina A&T | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.3 | 68.3 | +8.0 |
| 10 |  Hampton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.0 | 68.7 | -7.7 |
| 11 |  Drexel | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.0 | 76.3 | -9.3 |
| 12 |  Monmouth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 61.0 | 79.2 | -18.2 |
| 13 |  Campbell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 62.7 | 79.3 | -16.7 |
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