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LKS Lodz vs Lancut Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 91-81
Projected total 172.2
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game79.9
Vs
80%
20%
■ LKS 80%■ LANC 20%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game84.4
Poland1 LigaRound 9· Sport Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · LKS Lodz v Lancut
15 Nov 2026
LKS v LANC
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
LKS 98
LANC77
15 Mar 2025
LKS 67
LANC101
Sections
Game preview & prediction

LKS Lodz will host Lancut on 15 November 2026 in the 1 Liga, and the Pythia model names Lodz the clear favourite, assigning them an 80% chance to win largely because of their 6-2 record and 89.2 points per game compared to Lancut's 4-4 record and 87.0 points per game; Lodz also lead the league at position 2 while Lancut sits at 8. Lodz have been flawless at home, 3-0 with 85.0 points per game and 68.0 allowed, and their last five games include a 98-91 win over Pelplin, a 96-105 loss to Spojnia Stargard, and a 82-73 home win over Krosno, while Lancut's road record is 2-3 with 85.6 points per game and 85.2 allowed, and their last five feature a 94-82 home win over Spojnia Stargard, a 73-92 loss to Krosno, and a 104-84 away win over Poli. Opolska. In previous encounters Lodz have won three of four meetings, most recently 90-77 on 12 April 2026. Pythia projects a 91-81 score for Lodz, a total of 172.2 points, and gives Lodz an 80% win probability, while Lancut has a 20% chance; the home line is -10.5 with a 46% probability that Lodz covers, and the over is 4% likely. The game will be played at Lodz's venue.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LKS Lodz win
79.8%fair 1.25
Best odds1.22
Implied81.6%
Edge-1.8pp
Lancut win
20.2%fair 4.94
Best odds5.00
Implied18.4%
Edge+1.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LKS LodzPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLodz
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
88-69
88
69
+19
81avg 79
H24/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
77avg 79
A27/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
87-52
87
52
+35
88avg 79
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
101-83
101
83
+18
106avg 79
A30/09
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 79
A03/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 79
H11/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 79
A17/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
72avg 79
H24/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
96-105
96
105
-9
93avg 79
A31/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
A07/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
26-18
21-13
26-18
20-20
21-18
19-30
27-28
17-7
22-6
26-13
22-26
20-12
29-29
27-25
25-17
14-12
25-16
28-28
19-16
18-12
23-24
22-24
23-19
26-17
18-19
16-22
18-26
16-21
20-25
22-7
24-20
24-24
26-31
22-22
24-28
19-29
23-23
29-21
27-18
169.3Avg total
88.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.279.9169.1+9.475%
Season at home (3)85.068.0153.0+17.0100%
Season away (5)91.887.0178.8+4.860%
Last 10 (10)88.980.4169.3+8.570%
Last 5 (5)88.086.4174.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)78.380.0158.3-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.079.0167.0+9.071%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
74avg 82
H25/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 82
H26/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
93-95
93
95
-2
88avg 82
A21/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
89avg 82
H26/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
80avg 82
A03/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
L
84-91
84
91
-7
79avg 82
H11/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
67avg 82
A18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
104-84
104
84
+20
111avg 82
A25/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
L
73-92
73
92
-19
60avg 82
A31/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
16-19
18-18
23-22
25-24
20-23
19-16
18-28
12-34
28-31
29-16
24-14
20-16
22-16
23-22
25-22
23-14
20-15
17-17
18-19
25-24
15-23
23-22
21-22
20-22
19-21
17-15
24-32
26-24
28-20
26-14
24-26
24-25
21-24
15-24
13-19
26-14
22-25
24-14
22-29
170.7Avg total
86.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.084.4171.4+2.650%
Season at home (3)89.383.0172.3+6.367%
Season away (5)85.685.2170.8+0.440%
Last 10 (10)86.084.7170.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)87.087.8174.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.789.7171.3-8.033%
vs Similar (14)88.287.0175.2+1.271%
vs Weaker (7)89.186.1175.3+3.057%
This opponent (LKS Lodz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
64.4%
Under 166
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.25 · main line
Over 171.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 171.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 176
Over 176
39.9%
Under 176
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

LKS Lodz total 86.5
Over 86.5
66.7%
Under 86.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LKS Lodz total 90.5 · main line
Over 90.5
51.3%
@ 1.83-0.3pp
Under 90.5
48.7%
@ 1.88+0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.78
LKS Lodz total 94.5
Over 94.5
35.6%
@ 2.27-2.8pp
Under 94.5
64.4%
@ 1.42+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.42
Lancut total 76
Over 76
70.2%
Under 76
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lancut total 80 · main line
Over 80
54.8%
@ 1.72+4.8pp
Under 80
45.2%
@ 1.72-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
1.72
Lancut total 84
Over 84
38.8%
Under 84
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread LKS Lodz -13.5
LKS -13.5
35.7%
@ 2.26-4.5pp
LANC +13.5
64.3%
@ 1.52+4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
LKS
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.17
LANC
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Spread LKS Lodz -10.5 · main line
LKS -10.5
46.2%
@ 1.84-3.7pp
LANC +10.5
53.8%
@ 1.91+3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
LKS
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.80
LANC
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Spread LKS Lodz -7.5
LKS -7.5
57.2%
@ 1.43-4.6pp
LANC +7.5
42.8%
@ 2.32+4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
LKS
1xBet
1.43
LANC
1xBet
2.32

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
LKS LodzLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LKS LodzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
39-13
39
13
+26
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A30/09
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A17/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H24/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A31/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A07/11
1 Liga
80.5Avg total
42.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)44.139.483.5+4.860%43%
Last 30 at home (13)44.838.383.1+6.569%38%
Last 30 away (17)43.640.283.8+3.553%47%
Last 10 (10)42.238.380.5+3.970%30%
Last 5 (5)42.645.087.6-2.440%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.838.579.3+2.350%17%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.039.684.5+5.462%50%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A21/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A03/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A25/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A31/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/11
1 Liga
87.3Avg total
43.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)44.245.489.6-1.137%67%
Last 30 at home (13)43.041.884.8+1.238%54%
Last 30 away (17)45.248.193.2-2.935%76%
Last 10 (10)43.743.687.3+0.140%60%
Last 5 (5)45.244.489.6+0.840%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.446.689.0-4.122%67%
vs Similar (14)44.943.087.9+1.950%57%
vs Weaker (7)45.148.693.7-3.429%86%
This opponent (LKS Lodz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
LKS win
no forecast
@ 1.40
LANC win
no forecast
@ 3.00
1st half Spread LKS Lodz -4.5 · main line
LKS -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
LANC +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
LKS Lodz 1st half total 45.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Lancut 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: LKS + total 85.5
LKS & over
no forecast
@ 2.90
LKS & under
no forecast
@ 2.70
1st half: Draw + total 85.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: LANC + total 85.5
LANC & over
no forecast
@ 5.50
LANC & under
no forecast
@ 5.25
1st half Spread LKS Lodz -5.5
LKS -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
LANC +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread LKS Lodz -6.5
LKS -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
LANC +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread LKS Lodz 0
LKS 0
no forecast
@ 1.30
LANC 0
no forecast
@ 3.20
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
LKS
no forecast
@ 1.44
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
LANC
no forecast
@ 3.31

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LKS win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
LANC win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LKS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LANC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
LKS Lodz win79.8%1.14
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.14
WilliamHill
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.12
-1.8pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 2 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LKS Lodztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LKS Lodz: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.4
54.0%
53.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.3
35.6%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws26.417.5
66.3%
70.8%17.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.5
54.6%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.3
33.0%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.818.4
74.2%
70.8%18.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LKS Lodz
WLWLWWWWLW
Lancut
WLWLLWWLLW
#3
League position
#9
+8.0
Net rating
-0.3
99.5
Offensive rating
95.0
91.6
Defensive rating
95.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.6%
3-point %
33.0%
62.3%
Assist %
69.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 95.0Defence91.6 · 95.3Shooting53.8% · 52.3%3-point %35.6% · 33.0%Ball care12.9% · 16.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ LKS Lodz   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
LKS Lodz wins
1
Lancut wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Lancut v LKS Lodz77-90
20/12/25LKS Lodz v Lancut98-77
15/03/25LKS Lodz v Lancut67-101
11/12/24Lancut v LKS Lodz84-90
LKS Lodzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26APelplin98-91
31/10/26ASpojnia Stargard96-105
24/10/26HKrosno82-73
17/10/26APoli. Opolska78-84
11/10/26HPoznan86-79
03/10/26ABytom86-72
30/09/26AStarogard Gdanski101-83
27/09/26HGKS Tychy87-52
27/05/26ABydgoszcz87-96
24/05/26HBydgoszcz88-69
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HSpojnia Stargard94-82
31/10/26AKrosno73-92
25/10/26APoli. Opolska104-84
18/10/26APoznan80-90
11/10/26HBytom84-91
03/10/26AGKS Tychy78-65
26/09/26HStarogard Gdanski90-76
21/09/26APolonia Warszawa93-95
26/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-91
25/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LKS Lodz
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game89.285.091.8
Allowed / game79.968.087.0
Point differential+9.4+17.0+4.8
Avg total169.1153.0178.8
Over 171.2538%0%60%
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lancut
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game87.089.385.6
Allowed / game84.483.085.2
Point differential+2.6+6.3+0.4
Avg total171.4172.3170.8
Over 171.2550%67%40%
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz86275%89.279.9+9.4
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
9 Lancut84450%87.084.4+2.6
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 Bytom82625%81.686.4-4.8
13 R. Rzeszow82625%78.287.9-9.6
14 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
15 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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