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Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev 2012 Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game87.7
BulgariaNBLRound 23· Hristo Bonev
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Botev 2012
27 Mar 2027
LOK. v BOTE
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
LOK.79
BOTE76
29 Mar 2026
LOK.90
BOTE98
17 Jan 2026
LOK.105
BOTE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Botev 2012 win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H30/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#19
L
83-106
83
106
-23
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#13
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#43
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
19-14
18-22
22-18
22-18
20-25
26-19
16-16
18-20
21-18
19-22
22-21
27-27
14-26
17-28
25-25
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
24-21
15-19
26-28
22-19
16-14
20-21
24-25
24-26
22-24
22-11
18-20
25-10
24-11
21-20
24-26
26-26
167.7Avg total
86.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.377.7170.0+14.7100%
Season at home (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)95.084.0179.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.481.3167.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)88.679.6168.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)85.387.3172.6-1.947%
vs Similar (1)76.079.0155.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.681.6174.1+11.086%
This opponent (Botev 2012) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev 2012BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H04/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A08/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H16/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A25/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A30/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H02/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H10/10
NBL
Shumen
#8
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
15-21
28-18
20-19
27-26
16-23
24-20
22-27
20-23
24-25
23-27
30-26
21-15
22-28
23-13
24-15
16-27
20-29
25-19
25-18
24-14
22-22
16-26
14-17
12-25
21-26
14-17
20-18
24-23
14-28
15-24
13-16
15-27
23-17
25-21
21-22
21-18
13-22
16-22
23-23
167.8Avg total
81.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.387.7162.0-13.30%
Season at home (2)69.588.0157.5-18.50%
Season away (1)84.087.0171.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)81.386.5167.8-5.220%
Last 5 (5)73.285.6158.8-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.592.2169.7-14.77%
vs Similar (3)79.371.0150.3+8.3100%
vs Weaker (12)84.976.8161.7+8.283%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
Lok. PlovdivBotev 2012
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#19
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#43
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.9Avg total
41.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.786.7+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.039.485.4+6.685%-
Last 30 away (17)44.243.487.6+0.859%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.479.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.877.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)43.241.885.0+1.467%-
vs Similar (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.041.988.9+5.171%-
This opponent (Botev 2012) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev 2012Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A08/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/04
NBL
Levski
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A25/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A30/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H02/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H10/10
NBL
Shumen
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/10
NBL
84.9Avg total
39.2Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.782.2-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.182.5-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.784.9-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.482.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.046.785.7-7.713%-
vs Similar (3)37.035.372.3+1.733%-
vs Weaker (12)43.337.180.4+6.275%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.6
54.4%
55.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.6
32.6%
30.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.517.5
77.8%
70.7%17.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botev 2012their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botev 2012: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
55.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.8
35.9%
30.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.012.8
61.0%
70.7%12.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
WWLWWWLLWW
Botev 2012
LLLLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#11
+7.4
Net rating
-12.2
97.5
Offensive rating
90.0
90.1
Defensive rating
102.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.6%
3-point %
35.9%
59.6%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 90.0Defence90.1 · 102.2Shooting52.1% · 51.5%3-point %32.6% · 35.9%Ball care13.7% · 15.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Botev 2012
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lok. Plovdiv wins
2
Botev 2012 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HFribourg Olympic95-83
24/10/26HPolytechnica87-65
20/10/26AMykonos84-86
17/10/26ABeroe98-95 OT
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73
07/10/26AVEF Riga83-106
05/06/26ABalkan80-81
01/06/26HBalkan84-78
30/05/26HBalkan82-77
Botev 2012last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBotev Academic73-85
16/10/26AShumen84-87
10/10/26HBalkan66-91
02/05/26HLok. Plovdiv67-86
30/04/26ALok. Plovdiv76-79
25/04/26ABalkan86-93
19/04/26HLevski90-71
16/04/26HMinyor97-101
08/04/26ARilski Sportist89-96
04/04/26HSpartak Pleven85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.387.095.0
Allowed / game77.765.084.0
Point differential+14.7+22.0+11.0
Avg total170.0152.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Botev 2012
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.369.584.0
Allowed / game87.788.087.0
Point differential-13.3-18.5-3.0
Avg total162.0157.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cherno More330100%91.766.3+25.3
2 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
3 Lok. Plovdiv330100%92.377.7+14.7
4 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Rilski Sportist32167%93.375.3+18.0
7 Spartak Pleven32167%87.077.7+9.3
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
10 Beroe3030%95.099.3-4.3
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
13 Polytechnica3030%77.096.3-19.3
14 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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