PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev 2012 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 105-87
19-27 31-18 23-21 32-21
Position#4
Record9-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#6
Record7-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game79.6
BulgariaNBLRound 17
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Botev 2012
27 Mar 2027
LOK. v BOTE
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
LOK.79
BOTE76
29 Mar 2026
LOK.90
BOTE98
17 Jan 2026
LOK.105
BOTE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botev 2012 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 83
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 83
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
88avg 83
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 83
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
81avg 83
H15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
91-107
91
107
-16
79avg 83
A20/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
79avg 83
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
110avg 83
A28/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
124avg 83
H04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
15-24
19-24
19-17
15-15
30-28
15-11
18-20
26-28
12-12
30-32
19-15
21-16
18-18
25-22
18-14
18-26
23-18
25-16
25-15
31-18
20-25
20-16
17-13
25-32
22-25
23-17
21-33
24-18
22-27
19-26
24-23
33-18
18-24
35-23
21-24
34-21
29-26
38-21
16-20
175.5Avg total
91.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.782.5172.2+7.264%
Season at home (7)93.781.0174.7+12.771%
Season away (7)85.784.0169.7+1.757%
Last 10 (10)91.484.1175.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)98.490.0188.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.383.7166.0-1.333%
vs Similar (2)84.096.5180.5-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.479.0172.4+14.489%
This opponent (Botev 2012) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev 2012BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2012
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 69
H09/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
68-65
68
65
+3
55avg 69
A15/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
88-84
88
84
+4
86avg 69
A22/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
68-97
68
97
-29
48avg 69
H25/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
83avg 69
H06/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-88
65
88
-23
57avg 69
H14/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
60avg 69
A19/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-96
76
96
-20
65avg 69
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 69
H03/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
92-72
92
72
+20
92avg 69
H10/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
24-15
24-19
17-19
19-15
12-16
13-20
24-14
17-16
18-13
25-29
28-26
22-25
17-25
12-24
17-23
23-14
27-20
17-19
17-14
20-14
15-18
14-32
16-24
16-17
21-23
23-18
14-26
22-24
16-23
20-20
18-29
28-20
12-17
15-16
17-11
22-22
30-13
17-17
23-20
155.6Avg total
76.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.279.6156.8-2.450%
Season at home (8)77.880.9158.6-3.150%
Season away (6)76.577.8154.3-1.350%
Last 10 (10)76.679.0155.6-2.460%
Last 5 (5)75.880.8156.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.887.2158.0-16.420%
vs Similar (1)68.065.0133.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (8)82.476.6159.0+5.862%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
Lok. PlovdivBotev 2012
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A20/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H04/01
NBL
88.9Avg total
45.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)43.942.686.6+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (7)47.041.488.4+5.671%-
Last 30 away (7)40.943.984.7-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.388.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)51.646.898.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.744.785.3-4.067%-
vs Similar (2)43.047.590.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.240.986.1+4.356%-
This opponent (Botev 2012) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev 2012Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A15/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H25/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H06/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H14/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H03/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H10/01
NBL
76.5Avg total
39.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)40.137.877.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.240.182.4+2.162%-
Last 30 away (6)37.334.772.0+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.076.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.638.273.8-2.660%-
vs Similar (1)31.031.062.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker (8)44.138.482.5+5.862%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.8
52.0%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.718.4
77.6%
71.3%18.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botev 2012their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botev 2012: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.4
54.0%
54.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.6
31.1%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.4
62.9%
71.3%14.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
WWLLWWWWWL
Botev 2012
WWLLLWLWWW
#4
League position
#6
+6.7
Net rating
-2.8
114.1
Offensive rating
99.6
107.4
Defensive rating
102.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.4%
3-point %
31.1%
64.0%
Assist %
57.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 99.6Defence107.4 · 102.3Shooting53.0% · 51.1%3-point %36.4% · 31.1%Ball care14.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 24.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Botev 2012
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lok. Plovdiv wins
1
Botev 2012 wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Botev 2012 v Lok. Plovdiv79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HBeroe117-88
28/12/25AShumen107-89
23/12/25HBalkan89-94
20/12/25ACherno More91-107
15/12/25HMinyor88-72
03/12/25HSpartak Pleven91-75
24/11/25ALevski82-70
19/11/25HAcademic Plovdiv98-93 OT
15/11/25ARilski Sportist78-74
09/11/25ABotev 201273-79
Botev 2012last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HAcademic Plovdiv92-72
03/01/26HShumen72-64
23/12/25HCherno More76-96
19/12/25ABeroe74-84
14/12/25HBalkan65-88
06/12/25HLevski84-67
25/11/25HRilski Sportist68-97
22/11/25AMinyor88-84
15/11/25ASpartak Pleven68-65
09/11/25HLok. Plovdiv79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game89.793.785.7
Allowed / game82.581.084.0
Point differential+7.2+12.7+1.7
Avg total172.2174.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Botev 2012
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.277.876.5
Allowed / game79.680.977.8
Point differential-2.4-3.1-1.3
Avg total156.8158.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan1513287%92.774.7+18.0
2 Rilski Sportist1512380%90.578.3+12.2
3 Cherno More1611569%90.882.3+8.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv149564%89.782.5+7.2
5 Spartak Pleven158753%81.982.9-0.9
6 Botev 2012147750%77.279.6-2.4
7 Beroe157847%83.987.6-3.7
8 Minyor157847%83.789.2-5.5
9 Academic Plovdiv1651131%81.286.2-5.0
10 Levski1421214%74.888.4-13.6
11 Shumen151147%77.893.5-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lok. Plovdiv19312332105
Botev 20122718212187
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.