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Long Beach State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-73
43-39 40-34
Position#140
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#329
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Long Beach State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
A04/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
L
68-88
68
88
-20
H08/03
NCAA
Portland
#305
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A15/11
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
44-34
40-35
28-53
31-32
42-46
37-21
40-52
39-47
37-41
48-50
46-36
24-32
28-29
40-41
40-35
43-40
39-52
30-34
45-35
157.3Avg total
76.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.177.9154.0-1.850%
Season at homeno games
Season away (8)76.177.9154.0-1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.980.4157.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)76.676.8153.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.787.7167.3-8.033%
vs Similar (15)74.075.7149.7-1.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.474.8155.2+5.675%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#159
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A11/11
NCAA
Pacific Union
#689
W
128-66
128
66
+62
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
57-92
57
92
-35
A18/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H20/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H22/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
32-34
38-36
38-38
25-41
39-29
30-39
33-38
39-47
34-44
64-29
64-37
30-41
27-51
38-30
33-45
44-35
27-39
26-29
43-34
150.0Avg total
74.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.076.9152.9-0.929%
Season at home (3)90.071.7161.7+18.333%
Season away (4)65.580.8146.2-15.225%
Last 10 (10)74.475.6150.0-1.230%
Last 5 (5)79.274.0153.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)63.173.0136.1-9.911%
vs Similar (19)66.467.7134.1-1.347%
vs Weaker (1)72.051.0123.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -1.9-1.9
Long Beach StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Portland
#305
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A18/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A26/11
NCAA
73.2Avg total
36.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.871.7+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.432.269.6+5.283%-
Last 30 away (18)36.536.673.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.173.2-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.476.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.780.7-8.70%-
vs Similar (15)35.736.472.1-0.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.630.368.9+8.383%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#159
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A26/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Pacific Union
#689
W
64-29
64
29
+35
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A27/11
NCAA
74.1Avg total
37.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.765.3-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.130.464.5+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)29.336.665.9-7.331%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.774.1+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.873.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.835.966.7-5.133%-
vs Similar (19)30.833.364.2-2.553%-
vs Weaker (1)19.027.046.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Long Beach State wins
1
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Sacramento State v Long Beach State76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23AMontana State75-69
22/11/23ALouisiana Lafayette82-92
21/11/23AIona80-76
20/11/23AIllinois State52-61
18/11/23AMichigan94-86
15/11/23ASan Diego State76-88
12/11/23ADePaul77-73
07/11/23APortland73-78
08/03/23HCal Poly68-88
04/03/23AUC Davis92-93 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23AUC Davis69-63
22/11/23HAustin Peay71-74
20/11/23HCSU Bakersfield71-75
18/11/23ATulane57-92
15/11/23HPacific Union128-66
11/11/23AStanford73-91
08/11/23ANevada63-77
07/03/23AWeber State64-70
28/02/23APortland State76-74
26/02/23AMontana72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Long Beach State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
Home--
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games8-8
Win %50%-50%
Points / game76.1-76.1
Allowed / game77.9-77.9
Point differential-1.8--1.8
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%-0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game76.090.065.5
Allowed / game76.971.780.8
Point differential-0.9+18.3-15.2
Avg total152.9161.7146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii54180%76.267.2+9.0
2 UC Irvine86275%79.265.2+14.0
3 UC Santa Barbara64267%79.774.3+5.3
4 CS Northridge85362%79.070.5+8.5
5 UC San Diego84450%76.070.0+6.0
6 Long Beach State84450%76.177.9-1.8
7 CS Fullerton73443%65.671.0-5.4
8 CSU Bakersfield73443%64.670.7-6.1
9 UC Davis52340%66.869.8-3.0
10 UC Riverside83538%70.271.2-1.0
11 Cal Poly83538%68.675.1-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State86275%69.965.6+4.2
2 Weber State64267%75.858.0+17.8
3 Idaho84450%74.269.1+5.1
4 Northern Colorado84450%74.572.2+2.2
5 Idaho State73443%68.160.1+8.0
6 Montana State73443%69.665.9+3.7
7 Montana73443%71.470.1+1.3
8 Northern Arizona83538%64.073.5-9.5
9 Sacramento State72529%76.076.9-0.9
10 East. Washington71614%74.384.3-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Long Beach State434083
Sacramento State393473
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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