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UC Davis vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-69
29-26 34-43
Position#133
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#329
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UC Davis v Sacramento State
14 Nov 2025
UC D77
SACR73
26 Nov 2023
UC D63
SACR69
22 Nov 2022
UC D82
SACR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#354
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H16/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A18/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H20/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A25/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H03/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H04/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A10/03
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A13/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
34-28
31-39
45-39
33-31
43-35
24-26
34-26
37-36
49-53
39-29
34-44
24-28
28-40
31-48
48-30
32-42
33-36
38-29
30-24
144.2Avg total
72.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.769.7140.3+1.067%
Season at home (2)73.565.5139.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)65.078.0143.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)72.671.6144.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)71.473.8145.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.082.3153.3-11.30%
vs Similar (17)73.975.6149.6-1.741%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)70.060.8130.8+9.289%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#54
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A24/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A11/11
NCAA
Pacific Union
#689
W
128-66
128
66
+62
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
57-92
57
92
-35
A18/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H20/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
26-25
40-40
32-34
38-36
38-38
25-41
39-29
30-39
33-38
39-47
34-44
64-29
64-37
30-41
27-51
38-30
33-45
44-35
27-39
148.4Avg total
73.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.279.2156.3-2.017%
Season at home (3)90.071.7161.7+18.333%
Season away (3)64.386.7151.0-22.30%
Last 10 (10)73.175.3148.4-2.220%
Last 5 (5)80.079.6159.6+0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)62.474.2136.6-11.90%
vs Similar (20)67.468.5135.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (1)72.051.0123.0+21.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
UC DavisSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#354
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A18/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A25/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H04/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H09/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
32.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.665.7+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.232.868.0+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)31.032.563.5-1.520%-
Last 10 (10)32.834.267.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.268.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.038.067.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (17)33.633.867.4-0.141%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)31.229.460.7+1.856%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#54
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A26/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Pacific Union
#689
W
64-29
64
29
+35
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H22/11
NCAA
75.1Avg total
37.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.833.965.6-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.030.664.6+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)29.537.166.7-7.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.375.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.479.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.436.868.1-5.438%-
vs Similar (20)30.933.364.2-2.350%-
vs Weaker (1)19.027.046.0-8.00%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UC Davis wins
1
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
23/11/22UC Davis v Sacramento State82-71
24/11/21Sacramento State v UC Davis75-63
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HNorth Dakota St68-53
13/11/23AMontana65-78
09/11/23HPepperdine79-78
10/03/23AUC Riverside52-68
04/03/23HLong Beach State93-92 OT
03/03/23HUC Santa Barbara86-89
25/02/23ACal Poly58-52
20/02/23HUC San Diego76-66
18/02/23AUC Irvine76-78
16/02/23HCS Northridge73-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HAustin Peay71-74
20/11/23HCSU Bakersfield71-75
18/11/23ATulane57-92
15/11/23HPacific Union128-66
11/11/23AStanford73-91
08/11/23ANevada63-77
07/03/23AWeber State64-70
28/02/23APortland State76-74
26/02/23AMontana72-74
24/02/23AMontana State56-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game70.773.565.0
Allowed / game69.765.578.0
Point differential+1.0+8.0-13.0
Avg total140.3139.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game77.290.064.3
Allowed / game79.271.786.7
Point differential-2.0+18.3-22.3
Avg total156.3161.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii440100%78.864.2+14.5
2 UC Irvine76186%81.765.1+16.6
3 UC San Diego64267%81.769.0+12.7
4 CS Northridge64267%80.270.0+10.2
5 UC Davis32167%70.769.7+1.0
6 UC Santa Barbara42250%84.880.5+4.2
7 Long Beach State84450%76.177.9-1.8
8 CSU Bakersfield63350%64.569.0-4.5
9 UC Riverside73443%71.072.0-1.0
10 Cal Poly62433%66.373.2-6.8
11 CS Fullerton62433%65.873.8-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State65183%70.563.3+7.2
2 Weber State53260%69.660.6+9.0
3 Idaho State63350%69.257.3+11.8
4 Montana State63350%70.865.2+5.7
5 Idaho63350%74.069.3+4.7
6 Northern Colorado63350%74.872.2+2.7
7 Montana52340%71.871.2+0.6
8 Northern Arizona62433%62.576.7-14.2
9 East. Washington51420%74.080.4-6.4
10 Sacramento State61517%77.279.2-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis293463
Sacramento State264369
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