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Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-76
46-37 32-39
Position#26
Record7-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#155
Record6-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Eastern Kentucky
28 Dec 2024
LOUI78
EAST76
14 Dec 2019
LOUI99
EAST67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eastern Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H20/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
79-70 OT
79
70
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H04/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-27
52-41
35-27
41-34
37-29
52-32
24-28
38-34
32-39
32-30
31-40
32-46
37-33
28-43
32-36
45-38
40-46
45-47
36-34
54-42
152.2Avg total
78.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.071.3149.3+6.758%
Season at home (8)74.169.5143.6+4.650%
Season away (4)85.875.0160.8+10.875%
Last 10 (10)78.873.4152.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)76.081.0157.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.982.5154.4-10.612%
vs Similar (6)68.076.0144.0-8.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.666.1150.7+18.486%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A20/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A27/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#515
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H07/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
56-96
56
96
-40
A12/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H15/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-42
26-33
47-34
39-32
36-29
25-34
48-22
29-50
35-34
34-44
36-41
38-43
54-35
44-27
36-39
20-57
39-28
42-38
33-33
47-58
149.7Avg total
74.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.075.0152.0+2.050%
Season at home (5)83.670.2153.8+13.460%
Season away (7)72.378.4150.7-6.143%
Last 10 (10)74.475.3149.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)77.879.8157.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.079.5147.5-11.50%
vs Similar (14)75.277.4152.6-2.250%
vs Weaker (13)82.571.4153.8+11.185%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -7.2-7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -7.2-7.2
LouisvilleEastern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H04/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H12/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A21/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.437.570.9-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.736.168.8-3.429%-
Last 30 away (13)34.339.473.7-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.969.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.873.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.241.374.5-8.124%-
vs Similar (6)31.236.067.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.729.665.3+6.157%-
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/12
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#515
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H07/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A12/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H21/12
NCAA
73.7Avg total
40.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.734.976.6+6.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.134.577.7+8.693%-
Last 30 away (15)40.235.375.5+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)40.033.773.7+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.274.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.041.577.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (14)40.235.175.3+5.179%-
vs Weaker (13)43.233.876.9+9.492%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
0
Eastern Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
14/12/19Louisville v Eastern Kentucky99-67
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AFlorida State90-76
14/12/24AKentucky85-93
12/12/24HUTEP77-74
08/12/24HDuke65-76
04/12/24HOle Miss63-86
29/11/24HOklahoma64-69
28/11/24AWest Virginia79-70 OT
27/11/24AIndiana89-61
23/11/24HWinthrop76-61
20/11/24HBellarmine100-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HJacksonville State80-91
15/12/24HEastern Illinois81-66
12/12/24APittsburgh56-96
07/12/24HCampbellsville-Harrodsburg98-62
01/12/24ATroy74-84
27/11/24ALouisiana Tech69-78
26/11/24ASouthern Illinois77-72
25/11/24HBall State61-63
20/11/24AChicago State86-66
13/11/24AClemson62-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%50%75%
Points / game78.074.185.8
Allowed / game71.369.575.0
Point differential+6.7+4.6+10.8
Avg total149.3143.6160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%0%25%
Eastern Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game77.083.672.3
Allowed / game75.070.278.4
Point differential+2.0+13.4-6.1
Avg total152.0153.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1210283%78.958.5+20.4
2 SMU Mustangs1210283%86.269.8+16.4
3 Pittsburgh1210283%84.067.9+16.1
4 Clemson1310377%77.966.5+11.5
5 Stanford129375%78.169.9+8.2
6 Florida State139469%78.269.2+9.1
7 Wake Forest139469%67.564.9+2.6
8 NC State128467%74.465.8+8.7
9 Louisville127558%78.071.3+6.7
10 Notre Dame127558%75.869.3+6.5
11 North Carolina127558%85.779.2+6.4
12 California127558%78.975.8+3.1
13 Virginia127558%61.660.3+1.2
14 Boston College127558%70.871.8-1.1
15 Syracuse115645%77.580.2-2.6
16 Georgia Tech125742%74.875.1-0.3
17 Virginia Tech125742%70.471.3-0.9
18 Miami (FL)124833%78.774.0+4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Alabama138562%78.272.2+5.9
2 Lipscomb127558%75.367.8+7.6
3 Queens Royals137654%74.273.5+0.8
4 North Florida137654%84.683.9+0.7
5 Eastern Kentucky126650%77.075.0+2.0
6 Florida Gulf Coast124833%66.668.7-2.1
7 Austin Peay124833%62.872.1-9.3
8 Central Arkansas123925%70.577.8-7.3
9 Bellarmine1331023%72.879.8-7.0
10 Stetson1221017%74.083.2-9.2
11 West Georgia1321115%68.977.6-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville463278
Eastern Kentucky373976
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