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Troy vs Eastern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-74
41-36 43-38
Position#68
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game70.1
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#155
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Troy v Eastern Kentucky
01 Dec 2024
TROY84
EAST74
21 Dec 2023
TROY88
EAST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eastern Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H05/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-39
44-34
39-30
32-41
30-33
38-41
43-29
41-45
43-20
35-41
27-26
22-39
23-38
38-44
47-28
37-37
42-29
44-43
32-43
36-29
146.4Avg total
74.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.970.1143.0+2.757%
Season at home (3)79.372.7152.0+6.767%
Season away (4)68.068.2136.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)74.472.0146.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)69.671.2140.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)58.769.7128.3-11.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)79.070.6149.6+8.370%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#171
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A29/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A02/03
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#468
W
98-69
98
69
+29
H05/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A09/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A20/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-37
36-46
38-30
29-51
34-33
31-34
55-39
43-30
51-38
31-40
36-42
26-33
47-34
39-32
36-29
25-34
48-22
29-50
35-34
34-44
147.8Avg total
74.6Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.471.6148.0+4.957%
Season at home (2)79.566.0145.5+13.550%
Season away (5)75.273.8149.0+1.460%
Last 10 (10)74.673.2147.8+1.440%
Last 5 (5)71.070.8141.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.888.5154.2-22.80%
vs Similar (14)75.375.4150.6-0.150%
vs Weaker (12)82.671.8154.4+10.883%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -7.1-7.1
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -7.1-7.1
TroyEastern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H05/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.431.468.8+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.531.570.9+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)35.331.466.7+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)36.931.568.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.867.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)24.330.054.3-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)38.931.670.4+7.378%-
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#171
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A29/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#468
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H05/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A09/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A27/11
NCAA
76.1Avg total
42.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.376.4+3.773%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.235.577.6+6.792%-
Last 30 away (17)38.437.075.4+1.459%-
Last 10 (10)42.333.876.1+8.590%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.272.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.248.581.8-15.20%-
vs Similar (14)39.034.673.6+4.479%-
vs Weaker (12)43.534.277.8+9.292%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Troy wins
1
Eastern Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Troy v Eastern Kentucky88-81
28/11/23Eastern Kentucky v Troy77-76
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HMerrimack Warriors68-72
26/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners86-72
20/11/24AWest Georgia84-65
17/11/24AOregon61-82
14/11/24AArkansas49-65
09/11/24ANew Orleans78-61
05/11/24HToledo84-74
09/03/24HTexas State68-74
02/03/24ATexas State79-82 OT
29/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette87-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24ALouisiana Tech69-78
26/11/24ASouthern Illinois77-72
25/11/24HBall State61-63
20/11/24AChicago State86-66
13/11/24AClemson62-75
09/11/24AEast Tennessee St82-78
05/11/24HAlice Loyd98-69
06/03/24HJacksonville Dolphins65-67
02/03/24ALipscomb67-81
29/02/24AAustin Peay79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game72.979.368.0
Allowed / game70.172.768.2
Point differential+2.7+6.7-0.2
Avg total143.0152.0136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eastern Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %57%50%60%
Points / game76.479.575.2
Allowed / game71.666.073.8
Point differential+4.9+13.5+1.4
Avg total148.0145.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State75271%79.170.1+9.0
2 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
3 Appalachian State85362%71.267.0+4.2
4 Georgia Southern85362%76.275.6+0.6
5 Marshall74357%77.070.7+6.3
6 Texas State74357%74.668.7+5.9
7 Troy74357%72.970.1+2.7
8 James Madison84450%77.270.6+6.6
9 Georgia State84450%75.477.8-2.4
10 Coastal Carolina73443%65.165.3-0.1
11 Southern Miss73443%77.179.7-2.6
12 Louisiana Monroe93633%72.169.4+2.7
13 Old Dominion82625%64.877.5-12.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette81712%69.881.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Florida75271%86.777.3+9.4
2 North Alabama85362%81.473.1+8.2
3 Eastern Kentucky74357%76.471.6+4.9
4 Lipscomb84450%72.869.6+3.1
5 Austin Peay84450%66.670.6-4.0
6 Queens Royals73443%70.772.7-2.0
7 Florida Gulf Coast83538%63.865.9-2.1
8 Central Arkansas72529%73.677.9-4.3
9 Bellarmine82625%73.278.5-5.2
10 Stetson71614%72.182.7-10.6
11 West Georgia9090%63.279.3-16.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy414384
Eastern Kentucky363874
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