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Louisville vs Virginia Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 73-71
36-31 37-40
Position#94
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game61.8
vs
Position#65
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Louisville v Virginia Tech
24 Jan 2026
LOUI85
VIRG71
05 Mar 2024
LOUI64
VIRG80
28 Feb 2023
LOUI54
VIRG71
06 Jan 2021
LOUI73
VIRG71
01 Mar 2020
LOUI68
VIRG52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#258
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H01/03
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
79-44
79
44
+35
H25/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#176
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#24
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H29/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#35
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H01/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
48-85
48
85
-37
A19/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H26/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-27
41-25
24-31
30-26
36-16
43-28
38-38
33-32
41-31
45-33
34-29
41-25
18-44
30-41
30-28
34-26
28-27
34-32
37-24
39-40
128.6Avg total
68.3Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.161.8131.9+8.488%
Season at home (5)74.658.2132.8+16.4100%
Season away (3)62.767.7130.3-5.067%
Last 10 (10)68.360.3128.6+8.080%
Last 5 (5)65.063.2128.2+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.568.5151.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (11)66.969.1136.0-2.255%
vs Weaker (17)74.261.9136.2+12.382%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#288
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H10/03
NCAA
Radford
#145
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Villanova
#41
W
81-73 OT
81
73
+8
A29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#244
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H30/11
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H09/12
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H15/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
97-57
97
57
+40
H19/12
NCAA
Longwood
#221
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-32
30-46
37-31
40-31
29-29
35-35
36-23
40-35
30-23
34-34
23-42
32-33
32-27
34-33
39-22
58-35
34-30
50-28
42-33
38-45
139.2Avg total
73.6Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.664.2139.8+11.389%
Season at home (8)74.963.1138.0+11.888%
Season away (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.665.6139.2+8.080%
Last 5 (5)76.465.6142.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)59.467.4126.9-8.022%
vs Similar (13)70.568.9139.5+1.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.662.6139.2+14.062%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +3.6+3.6
LouisvilleVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#258
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H25/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#176
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H27/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#24
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#35
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A19/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H26/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/01
NCAA
60.8Avg total
31.3Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.965.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.430.566.9+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)31.231.562.6-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)31.329.560.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.459.8-1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.531.573.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (11)31.732.564.3-0.855%-
vs Weaker (17)34.829.864.6+5.059%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#288
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H10/03
NCAA
Radford
#145
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H25/11
NCAA
Villanova
#41
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#244
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H30/11
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H09/12
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Longwood
#221
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/12
NCAA
62.0Avg total
32.8Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.630.960.5-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.029.561.5+2.565%-
Last 30 away (10)24.933.758.6-8.820%-
Last 10 (10)32.829.262.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)34.030.864.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)24.633.157.7-8.611%-
vs Similar (13)29.230.659.8-1.454%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.028.964.9+7.188%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
0
Virginia Tech wins
DateGameScore
01/03/20Louisville v Virginia Tech68-52
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/21ABoston College76-64
26/12/20HKentucky62-59
23/12/20APittsburgh64-54
19/12/20AWisconsin48-85
01/12/20HWestern Kentucky75-54
29/11/20HPrairie View A&M86-64
27/11/20HSeton Hall71-70
25/11/20HEvansville79-44
07/03/20AVirginia54-57
01/03/20HVirginia Tech68-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/20HMiami (FL)80-78
22/12/20HLongwood84-58
19/12/20HCoppin State97-57
15/12/20HClemson66-60
09/12/20HPenn State55-75
04/12/20HVMI64-57
30/11/20HSouth Florida76-58
29/11/20AVillanova81-73 OT
25/11/20HRadford77-62
10/03/20HNorth Carolina56-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game70.174.662.7
Allowed / game61.858.267.7
Point differential+8.4+16.4-5.0
Avg total131.9132.8130.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %89%88%100%
Points / game75.674.981.0
Allowed / game64.263.173.0
Point differential+11.3+11.8+8.0
Avg total139.8138.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%68.357.6+10.7
2 Virginia Tech98189%75.664.2+11.3
3 Louisville87188%70.161.8+8.4
4 SMU Mustangs76186%80.765.7+15.0
5 Wake Forest43175%76.560.8+15.8
6 NC State86275%79.665.9+13.8
7 Syracuse86275%80.867.2+13.5
8 Pittsburgh86275%70.964.0+6.9
9 Virginia75271%73.360.7+12.6
10 Florida State75271%75.068.4+6.6
11 Georgia Tech96367%80.173.3+6.8
12 Stanford96367%71.866.2+5.6
13 North Carolina117464%72.367.9+4.4
14 Duke53260%73.869.6+4.2
15 California115645%68.367.9+0.4
16 Miami (FL)94544%68.365.1+3.2
17 Notre Dame93633%71.474.2-2.8
18 Boston College92722%73.381.1-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville363773
Virginia Tech314071
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