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Louisville vs Virginia Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 54-71
27-35 27-36
Position#367
Record4-25
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#138
Record16-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Louisville v Virginia Tech
24 Jan 2026
LOUI85
VIRG71
05 Mar 2024
LOUI64
VIRG80
28 Feb 2023
LOUI54
VIRG71
06 Jan 2021
LOUI73
VIRG71
01 Mar 2020
LOUI68
VIRG52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A26/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H19/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
30-46
24-46
38-30
33-28
35-30
36-45
42-36
27-47
30-44
41-42
44-51
26-29
32-32
39-36
44-37
33-42
29-37
32-45
35-38
145.5Avg total
68.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)64.575.8140.3-11.314%
Season at home (17)65.171.8136.9-6.824%
Season away (12)63.781.5145.2-17.80%
Last 10 (10)68.577.0145.5-8.520%
Last 5 (5)71.077.8148.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)64.175.7139.8-11.610%
vs Similar (1)61.055.0116.0+6.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A01/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-38
33-37
52-33
33-37
44-45
39-47
32-30
42-38
27-39
49-43
43-40
50-47
31-41
39-36
41-30
38-42
32-36
38-40
32-43
33-38
155.3Avg total
77.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.269.9144.1+4.355%
Season at home (19)75.666.1141.6+9.579%
Season away (10)71.677.2148.8-5.610%
Last 10 (10)77.378.0155.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)75.478.6154.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.077.0152.0-2.00%
vs Similar (20)72.270.4142.6+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.669.2147.8+9.367%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -1.1-1.1
LouisvilleVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A26/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H19/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A25/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
32.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.636.465.9-6.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.635.464.9-5.835%-
Last 30 away (13)29.537.767.2-8.215%-
Last 10 (10)32.638.971.5-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.873.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)29.836.966.8-7.124%-
vs Similar (1)22.020.042.0+2.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H09/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A16/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A26/02
NCAA
75.4Avg total
37.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.232.870.0+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.830.269.1+8.684%-
Last 30 away (11)34.537.371.7-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.575.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.035.065.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (20)36.232.668.8+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.332.973.2+7.478%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Louisville wins
1
Virginia Tech wins
DateGameScore
02/03/22Virginia Tech v Louisville75-43
06/01/21Louisville v Virginia Tech73-71
01/03/20Louisville v Virginia Tech68-52
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AGeorgia Tech67-83
21/02/23ADuke62-79
19/02/23HClemson83-73
16/02/23HVirginia58-61
12/02/23AMiami (FL)85-93
08/02/23APittsburgh57-91
04/02/23HFlorida State78-81
02/02/23HGeorgia Tech68-58
28/01/23ANotre Dame62-76
26/01/23ABoston College65-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23ADuke65-81
22/02/23HMiami (FL)70-76
18/02/23HPittsburgh79-72
16/02/23AGeorgia Tech70-77
11/02/23ANotre Dame93-87
09/02/23HBoston College76-82
04/02/23HVirginia74-68
01/02/23AMiami (FL)83-92
29/01/23HSyracuse85-70
24/01/23HDuke78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLWLLW24%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %14%24%0%
Points / game64.565.163.7
Allowed / game75.871.881.5
Point differential-11.3-6.8-17.8
Avg total140.3136.9145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL55%
HomeWWLWL79%
AwayLLWLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %55%79%10%
Points / game74.275.671.6
Allowed / game69.966.177.2
Point differential+4.3+9.5-5.6
Avg total144.1141.6148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%37%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)71% (7)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2822679%67.960.5+7.4
2 Duke3022873%72.164.0+8.1
3 Pittsburgh2921872%75.868.4+7.4
4 NC State3122971%78.470.3+8.1
5 Clemson3021970%75.168.2+6.9
6 North Carolina30191163%77.171.6+5.5
7 Wake Forest30181260%77.273.8+3.4
8 Miami (FL)59352459%76.872.9+3.9
9 Virginia Tech29161355%74.269.9+4.3
10 Syracuse30161453%74.273.1+1.1
11 Boston College30151550%66.469.9-3.5
12 Georgia Tech30131743%69.570.7-1.2
13 Stanford29121741%69.467.8+1.6
14 Notre Dame29101934%69.371.4-2.1
15 SMU Mustangs29101934%70.474.6-4.2
16 Florida State3092130%70.076.5-6.6
17 Louisville2942514%64.575.8-11.3
18 California2932610%58.569.7-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville272754
Virginia Tech353671
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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