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Louisville vs Winthrop Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-61
35-27 41-34
Position#26
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#69
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Winthrop winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#69
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A17/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A29/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
93-45
93
45
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H09/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
32-49
25-31
25-41
23-36
36-48
28-39
48-43
31-49
33-31
31-41
30-26
46-45
39-49
41-14
52-31
26-40
29-37
48-27
52-41
145.7Avg total
70.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.763.3146.0+19.367%
Season at home (3)82.763.3146.0+19.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.275.5145.7-5.320%
Last 5 (5)78.870.2149.0+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)71.581.5153.0-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (5)69.473.6143.0-4.260%
vs Weaker (3)87.062.7149.7+24.367%
This opponent (Winthrop) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WinthropUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#317
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/02
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
A29/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H08/03
NCAA
Piedmont
#597
W
125-65
125
65
+60
H04/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A12/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H15/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
43-37
34-41
52-45
31-36
33-29
33-34
23-35
59-33
66-32
32-28
50-39
25-23
27-35
39-46
47-39
34-39
53-50
39-40
38-35
155.5Avg total
80.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.873.2158.0+11.767%
Season at home (5)91.476.2167.6+15.280%
Season away (1)52.058.0110.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)80.874.7155.5+6.150%
Last 5 (5)76.874.8151.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.591.5180.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.374.1145.4-2.840%
vs Weaker (18)81.672.1153.6+9.567%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +5.6+5.6
LouisvilleWinthrop
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#69
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A12/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
41-14
41
14
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H09/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
32.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.037.469.4-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.035.767.7-3.728%-
Last 30 away (12)32.040.072.0-8.025%-
Last 10 (10)32.635.968.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.471.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.640.172.8-7.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)26.232.058.2-5.80%-
vs Weaker (3)37.026.363.3+10.767%-
This opponent (Winthrop) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WinthropLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#317
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H24/02
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A29/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Piedmont
#597
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H04/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H09/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A12/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/11
NCAA
72.3Avg total
36.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.570.4+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.534.673.1+3.944%-
Last 30 away (14)35.132.267.4+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.772.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.269.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.538.078.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.535.469.9-0.930%-
vs Weaker (18)37.931.969.8+5.961%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
Winthrop wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/24HBellarmine100-68
09/11/24HTennessee55-77
05/11/24HMorehead State93-45
12/03/24ANC State85-94
09/03/24HBoston College61-67
06/03/24HVirginia Tech64-80
03/03/24HSyracuse76-82
29/02/24ADuke59-84
22/02/24HNotre Dame50-72
17/02/24APittsburgh59-86
Winthroplast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HN. Carolina Central77-75
16/11/24HGeorgia Southern87-89
15/11/24HWilliam & Mary86-85
12/11/24AVirginia Tech52-58
09/11/24HUALR82-67
04/11/24HPiedmont125-65
08/03/24HLongwood56-69
02/03/24HGardner Webb64-65
29/02/24AHigh Point96-100 OT
24/02/24HUSC Upstate83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game82.782.7-
Allowed / game63.363.3-
Point differential+19.3+19.3-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Winthrop
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game84.891.452.0
Allowed / game73.276.258.0
Point differential+11.7+15.2-6.0
Avg total158.0167.6110.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh660100%85.860.2+25.7
2 Stanford550100%80.861.4+19.4
3 Notre Dame440100%83.564.5+19.0
4 NC State440100%83.064.2+18.8
5 Florida State65183%75.066.0+9.0
6 Wake Forest65183%73.867.8+6.0
7 SMU Mustangs54180%91.870.6+21.2
8 Clemson54180%80.864.6+16.2
9 California54180%79.073.2+5.8
10 Duke43175%88.558.0+30.5
11 Virginia43175%59.856.2+3.5
12 Syracuse43175%82.579.8+2.8
13 Boston College43175%69.567.5+2.0
14 North Carolina32167%95.374.3+21.0
15 Louisville32167%82.763.3+19.3
16 Miami (FL)53260%87.471.8+15.6
17 Virginia Tech53260%72.469.2+3.2
18 Georgia Tech42250%82.076.5+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point550100%79.464.0+15.4
2 Longwood660100%76.366.5+9.8
3 Winthrop64267%84.873.2+11.7
4 Radford64267%78.576.3+2.2
5 Presbyterian74357%76.366.3+10.0
6 Gardner Webb52340%70.076.8-6.8
7 USC Upstate62433%83.882.8+1.0
8 UNC Asheville31233%73.089.0-16.0
9 Charleston Southern61517%75.279.0-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville354176
Winthrop273461
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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