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Duke vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-59
36-23 48-36
Position#32
Record21-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game67.7
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#348
Record8-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Duke v Louisville
26 Jan 2026
DUKE83
LOUI52
15 Mar 2025
DUKE73
LOUI62
28 Feb 2024
DUKE84
LOUI59
20 Feb 2023
DUKE79
LOUI62
27 Feb 2021
DUKE73
LOUI80
18 Jan 2020
DUKE73
LOUI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-55
84
55
+29
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-34
38-35
32-26
40-45
35-29
42-38
35-45
49-48
33-25
38-28
36-32
44-33
29-27
48-42
44-34
32-33
40-23
44-32
38-36
41-47
147.5Avg total
78.3Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.467.7148.1+12.778%
Season at home (16)83.166.6149.7+16.488%
Season away (11)76.569.4145.9+7.264%
Last 10 (10)78.369.2147.5+9.180%
Last 5 (5)79.267.8147.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (4)73.572.5146.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.766.2146.8+14.583%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A20/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A17/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-48
32-42
34-45
35-38
13-41
39-28
22-34
42-36
47-35
54-57
45-49
47-45
30-32
49-35
47-39
30-50
27-37
32-49
25-31
25-41
152.0Avg total
70.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.678.6151.2-6.130%
Season at home (17)74.377.1151.4-2.841%
Season away (10)69.681.3150.9-11.710%
Last 10 (10)70.881.2152.0-10.420%
Last 5 (5)71.481.6153.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.480.9152.3-9.517%
vs Similar (4)73.072.8145.8+0.275%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -3.6-3.6
DukeLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
36.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.330.466.7+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.431.168.5+6.376%-
Last 30 away (13)34.829.564.3+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.167.8+5.690%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.467.8+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (4)31.533.865.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.630.367.9+7.379%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
13-41
13
41
-28
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H22/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
32.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.137.068.1-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.335.867.1-4.422%-
Last 30 away (12)30.838.869.6-8.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.339.171.4-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.672.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.238.871.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (4)26.230.056.2-3.80%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Duke wins
3
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Louisville v Duke69-83
21/02/23Duke v Louisville79-62
29/01/22Louisville v Duke65-74
10/03/21Louisville v Duke56-70
27/02/21Duke v Louisville73-80 OT
23/01/21Louisville v Duke70-65
18/01/20Duke v Louisville73-79
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AWake Forest79-83
22/02/24AMiami (FL)84-55
17/02/24AFlorida State76-67
13/02/24HWake Forest77-69
10/02/24HBoston College80-65
08/02/24HNotre Dame71-53
03/02/24ANorth Carolina84-93
30/01/24AVirginia Tech77-67
27/01/24HClemson72-71
24/01/24ALouisville83-69
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HNotre Dame50-72
17/02/24APittsburgh59-86
14/02/24ABoston College77-89
10/02/24HGeorgia Tech79-67
08/02/24ASyracuse92-94
04/02/24HFlorida State101-92
31/01/24AClemson64-70
27/01/24HVirginia52-69
24/01/24HDuke69-83
20/01/24AWake Forest65-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %78%88%64%
Points / game80.483.176.5
Allowed / game67.766.669.4
Point differential+12.7+16.4+7.2
Avg total148.1149.7145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLLWWL41%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %30%41%10%
Points / game72.674.369.6
Allowed / game78.677.181.3
Point differential-6.1-2.8-11.7
Avg total151.2151.4150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2822679%81.570.4+11.1
2 Duke2721678%80.467.7+12.7
3 Clemson2820871%78.470.8+7.6
4 Virginia2820871%63.458.4+5.0
5 SMU Mustangs2819968%77.166.7+10.5
6 Syracuse29191066%76.674.9+1.7
7 Wake Forest28181064%79.069.7+9.3
8 Pittsburgh28181064%74.667.1+7.5
9 NC State28171161%76.272.1+4.1
10 Boston College27151256%76.073.5+2.4
11 Virginia Tech28151354%74.170.4+3.7
12 Florida State28151354%76.575.1+1.4
13 Miami (FL)30151550%76.473.2+3.1
14 California28131546%74.975.8-0.9
15 Stanford27121544%76.976.4+0.4
16 Georgia Tech28121643%70.775.2-4.5
17 Notre Dame28111739%63.465.6-2.2
18 Louisville2781930%72.678.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke364884
Louisville233659
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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