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Pittsburgh vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 86-59
37-27 49-32
Position#69
Record16-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#348
Record8-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pittsburgh v Louisville
17 Jan 2026
PITT59
LOUI100
11 Jan 2025
PITT78
LOUI82
17 Feb 2024
PITT86
LOUI59
07 Feb 2023
PITT91
LOUI57
15 Jan 2022
PITT65
LOUI53
22 Dec 2020
PITT54
LOUI64
14 Jan 2020
PITT68
LOUI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A06/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
53-75
53
75
-22
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H03/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
43-36
23-48
30-27
26-37
32-32
38-34
42-42
31-27
41-37
29-40
39-32
27-37
50-35
28-22
42-38
38-30
29-34
35-31
39-32
138.7Avg total
70.2Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.266.5141.8+8.767%
Season at home (16)75.565.2140.8+10.262%
Season away (8)74.669.1143.8+5.575%
Last 10 (10)70.268.5138.7+1.770%
Last 5 (5)71.266.2137.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.575.5142.0-9.050%
vs Similar (11)71.069.9140.9+1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)77.565.6143.1+11.876%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A20/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
48-45
29-46
41-40
33-48
32-42
34-45
35-38
13-41
39-28
22-34
42-36
47-35
54-57
45-49
47-45
30-32
49-35
47-39
30-50
158.1Avg total
75.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.078.6152.6-4.632%
Season at home (16)75.877.4153.2-1.644%
Season away (9)70.880.8151.6-10.011%
Last 10 (10)75.282.9158.1-7.720%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)71.480.7152.1-9.416%
vs Similar (3)80.773.0153.7+7.7100%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -7.8-7.82nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +0.1+0.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -7.8-7.82nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +0.1+0.1
PittsburghLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A27/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H03/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A14/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
31.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.868.1+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.531.166.6+4.453%-
Last 30 away (13)34.935.170.0-0.269%-
Last 10 (10)31.534.065.5-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.063.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.541.071.5-10.550%-
vs Similar (11)33.434.467.7-1.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.130.967.9+6.276%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
13-41
13
41
-28
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
33.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.537.669.2-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.736.167.8-4.424%-
Last 30 away (13)31.339.771.0-8.423%-
Last 10 (10)33.541.374.8-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)32.539.271.7-6.824%-
vs Similar (3)26.729.756.3-3.00%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pittsburgh wins
4
Louisville wins
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24AVirginia74-63
08/02/24ANC State67-64
03/02/24HNotre Dame70-60
01/02/24HWake Forest77-72
27/01/24AMiami (FL)68-72
24/01/24AGeorgia Tech72-64
21/01/24ADuke80-76
17/01/24HSyracuse58-69
10/01/24HDuke53-75
06/01/24ALouisville83-70
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24ABoston College77-89
10/02/24HGeorgia Tech79-67
08/02/24ASyracuse92-94
04/02/24HFlorida State101-92
31/01/24AClemson64-70
27/01/24HVirginia52-69
24/01/24HDuke69-83
20/01/24AWake Forest65-90
18/01/24ANorth Carolina70-86
13/01/24HNC State83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %67%62%75%
Points / game75.275.574.6
Allowed / game66.565.269.1
Point differential+8.7+10.2+5.5
Avg total141.8140.8143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL32%
HomeLLLWW44%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %32%44%11%
Points / game74.075.870.8
Allowed / game78.677.480.8
Point differential-4.6-1.6-10.0
Avg total152.6153.2151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2520580%80.367.6+12.7
2 North Carolina2620677%82.871.4+11.4
3 Virginia2620677%65.057.9+7.1
4 SMU Mustangs2518772%76.665.2+11.5
5 Clemson2417771%78.971.7+7.2
6 Pittsburgh2416867%75.266.5+8.7
7 Wake Forest2516964%79.069.8+9.2
8 NC State2415962%75.470.6+4.8
9 Syracuse26161062%75.474.3+1.1
10 Boston College25151060%76.272.8+3.4
11 Virginia Tech25141156%74.670.7+3.9
12 Miami (FL)27151256%77.472.5+4.9
13 Florida State25131252%76.274.8+1.4
14 Stanford25121348%77.576.0+1.5
15 Georgia Tech26111542%70.975.0-4.1
16 California25101540%74.676.2-1.6
17 Notre Dame2591636%61.965.3-3.4
18 Louisville2581732%74.078.6-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Pittsburgh374986
Louisville273259
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