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Louisville vs Wright State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-73
37-34 35-39
Position#367
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#160
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game102.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wright State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H17/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H19/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
43-75
43
75
-32
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-35
34-28
25-35
38-35
28-27
42-34
36-36
27-34
36-44
41-55
21-33
22-42
17-36
44-35
45-28
39-46
24-20
26-31
30-41
36-26
133.5Avg total
63.4Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.067.0133.0-1.00%
Season at home (1)66.067.0133.0-1.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.470.1133.5-6.720%
Last 5 (5)60.867.6128.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.072.8137.8-7.817%
vs Similar (12)69.166.6135.7+2.567%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#113
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Detroit
#215
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Oakland
#113
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#79
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A08/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#115
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H16/03
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A18/03
NCAA
Davidson
#208
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-35
44-39
22-39
53-41
44-33
40-38
29-32
42-29
28-36
47-27
36-26
46-41
32-39
40-32
44-42
49-40
31-42
39-45
52-36
27-43
155.5Avg total
79.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.0102.0199.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)97.0102.0199.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.775.8155.5+3.970%
Last 5 (5)82.881.8164.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
vs Similar (16)75.672.1147.8+3.556%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.468.5146.9+9.885%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +5.2+5.2
LouisvilleWright State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H17/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H19/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H10/11
NCAA
62.0Avg total
28.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.933.865.7-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.733.366.0-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)31.034.365.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)28.533.562.0-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)27.431.659.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.835.465.2-5.622%-
vs Similar (12)35.031.466.4+3.675%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#113
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Detroit
#215
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A20/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H25/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H27/02
NCAA
Oakland
#113
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H04/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#79
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A08/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#115
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A09/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H16/03
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/03
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
35.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.470.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.833.269.0+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)35.935.671.5+0.243%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.071.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.076.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.042.073.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (16)33.934.968.8-1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.533.271.7+5.462%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
Wright State wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22HBellarmine66-67
10/03/22AVirginia50-51
09/03/22HGeorgia Tech84-74
05/03/22HVirginia61-71
02/03/22AVirginia Tech43-75
27/02/22AWake Forest77-99
22/02/22ANorth Carolina63-70
19/02/22HClemson70-61
17/02/22HMiami (FL)63-70
10/02/22ANotre Dame57-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22HDavidson97-102 OT
18/03/22AArizona70-87
16/03/22HBryant University93-82
09/03/22ANorthern Kentucky72-71
08/03/22ACleveland State82-67
04/03/22HOakland75-63
27/02/22HRobert Morris71-61
25/02/22HYoungstown State84-71
20/02/22ADetroit75-80
19/02/22AOakland78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game66.066.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential-1.0-1.0-
Avg total133.0133.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Wright State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game102.0102.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total199.0199.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%77.541.0+36.5
2 Virginia Tech220100%86.554.5+32.0
3 Georgia Tech110100%93.063.0+30.0
4 Virginia220100%81.051.5+29.5
5 NC State220100%86.058.5+27.5
6 Syracuse110100%90.072.0+18.0
7 North Carolina220100%85.571.0+14.5
8 Wake Forest220100%76.065.0+11.0
9 Boston College220100%74.571.5+3.0
10 Notre Dame110100%79.076.0+3.0
11 Miami (FL)32167%73.365.7+7.7
12 Clemson21150%69.064.5+4.5
13 SMU Mustangs21150%69.567.0+2.5
14 Stanford21150%69.069.0+0.0
15 Pittsburgh21150%68.069.5-1.5
16 Louisville1010%66.067.0-1.0
17 California2020%59.569.0-9.5
18 Florida State2020%64.075.5-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Youngstown State220100%91.076.5+14.5
2 Oakland21150%87.057.0+30.0
3 Wisc. Milwaukee21150%77.565.0+12.5
4 Detroit21150%79.567.5+12.0
5 Robert Morris21150%68.570.0-1.5
6 Wright State1010%97.0102.0-5.0
7 Cleveland State2020%63.070.5-7.5
8 IPFW1010%56.075.0-19.0
9 Northern Kentucky1010%57.079.0-22.0
10 Wisc. Green Bay2020%55.586.0-30.5
11 IUPUI2020%43.584.0-40.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville373572
Wright State343973
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