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Virginia vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 51-50
20-24 31-26
Position#135
Record18-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game60.4
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Louisville
USA
Position#265
Record13-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Virginia v Louisville
04 Jan 2025
VIRG50
LOUI70
03 Jan 2024
VIRG77
LOUI53
04 Mar 2023
VIRG75
LOUI60
09 Mar 2022
VIRG51
LOUI50
24 Jan 2022
VIRG64
LOUI52
06 Feb 2021
VIRG v LOUI
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
VIRG57
LOUI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
38-35
30-25
37-30
35-26
36-32
34-29
35-39
32-19
31-34
29-25
24-37
30-38
44-33
25-30
36-35
34-29
29-35
36-17
35-44
128.3Avg total
65.7Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)63.660.4124.0+3.260%
Season at home (16)63.857.6121.4+6.262%
Season away (14)63.463.6127.0-0.357%
Last 10 (10)65.762.6128.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)64.464.6129.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)58.965.8124.6-6.925%
vs Similar (11)64.061.5125.5+2.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)66.655.5122.2+11.191%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#41
L
83-90 OT
83
90
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A05/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H17/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H19/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
43-75
43
75
-32
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-36
39-38
26-43
43-49
23-35
34-28
25-35
38-35
28-27
42-34
36-36
27-34
36-44
41-55
21-33
22-42
17-36
44-35
45-28
39-46
143.5Avg total
67.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)67.970.7138.6-2.842%
Season at home (17)71.169.7140.8+1.453%
Season away (14)63.971.9135.9-8.029%
Last 10 (10)67.076.5143.5-9.520%
Last 5 (5)65.677.8143.4-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.874.1140.9-7.222%
vs Similar (12)69.166.6135.7+2.567%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -2.7-2.7
VirginiaLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-17
36
17
+19
A05/03
NCAA
58.4Avg total
31.2Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.428.458.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.426.958.2+4.575%-
Last 30 away (14)29.230.159.3-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.227.258.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)30.827.858.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.530.658.1-3.150%-
vs Similar (11)30.130.760.8-0.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)32.724.457.1+8.482%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#41
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A05/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H17/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H19/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H09/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
29.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.934.066.9-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.132.966.9+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)31.535.466.9-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)29.235.364.5-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.466.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.435.867.2-4.328%-
vs Similar (12)35.031.466.4+3.675%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virginia wins
1
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
05/03/22Louisville v Virginia61-71
25/01/22Virginia v Louisville64-52
06/03/21Louisville v Virginia58-68
07/03/20Virginia v Louisville57-54
08/02/20Louisville v Virginia80-73
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22ALouisville71-61
26/02/22HFlorida State63-64
24/02/22HDuke61-65
19/02/22AMiami (FL)74-71
15/02/22AVirginia Tech53-62
12/02/22HGeorgia Tech63-53
08/02/22ADuke69-68
05/02/22HMiami (FL)71-58
01/02/22HBoston College67-55
29/01/22ANotre Dame65-69
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/22HGeorgia Tech84-74
05/03/22HVirginia61-71
02/03/22AVirginia Tech43-75
27/02/22AWake Forest77-99
22/02/22ANorth Carolina63-70
19/02/22HClemson70-61
17/02/22HMiami (FL)63-70
10/02/22ANotre Dame57-63
05/02/22ASyracuse69-92
02/02/22HNorth Carolina83-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game63.663.863.4
Allowed / game60.457.663.6
Point differential+3.2+6.2-0.3
Avg total124.0121.4127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %42%53%29%
Points / game67.971.163.9
Allowed / game70.769.771.9
Point differential-2.8+1.4-8.0
Avg total138.6140.8135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3126584%80.466.0+14.4
2 SMU Mustangs2922776%74.467.4+7.1
3 North Carolina3123874%78.672.6+5.9
4 Wake Forest3223972%79.570.2+9.2
5 Notre Dame3122971%72.366.2+6.1
6 Miami (FL)3122971%74.970.8+4.1
7 Virginia Tech32201262%69.861.7+8.2
8 Virginia30181260%63.660.4+3.2
9 Florida State31171455%71.071.9-0.9
10 Stanford31161552%65.968.2-2.3
11 Clemson33171652%71.768.5+3.3
12 Syracuse32161650%77.374.7+2.7
13 Louisville31131842%67.970.7-2.8
14 Boston College32131941%66.968.0-1.2
15 California32122038%63.066.1-3.1
16 NC State32112134%73.075.6-2.6
17 Georgia Tech32112134%68.371.1-2.8
18 Pittsburgh32112134%61.568.1-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia203151
Louisville242650
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