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Louisville vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-70
25-35 38-35
Position#265
Record11-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#58
Record18-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Louisville v Miami (FL)
19 Jan 2027
LOUI v MIAM
upcoming
08 Feb 2025
LOUI88
MIAM78
04 Dec 2022
LOUI53
MIAM80
16 Feb 2022
LOUI63
MIAM70
07 Jan 2020
LOUI74
MIAM58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#168
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A09/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H29/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
83-90 OT
83
90
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A05/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-50
30-29
27-35
36-44
24-28
29-37
30-28
37-26
45-38
25-44
23-35
29-29
35-40
30-34
35-36
39-38
26-43
43-49
23-35
34-28
139.1Avg total
64.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)68.569.7138.1-1.246%
Season at home (13)71.669.9141.5+1.754%
Season away (11)64.769.4134.1-4.636%
Last 10 (10)64.974.2139.1-9.310%
Last 5 (5)65.276.6141.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.372.5140.8-4.229%
vs Similar (16)67.467.6135.0-0.262%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#12
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A12/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H19/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
44-42
29-28
35-37
49-22
36-35
19-43
41-18
36-31
42-44
36-28
37-34
28-30
36-38
26-35
32-36
34-36
45-34
33-40
43-32
138.8Avg total
71.3Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.871.2146.0+3.672%
Season at home (14)79.272.4151.6+6.971%
Season away (11)69.269.8139.0-0.673%
Last 10 (10)71.367.5138.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)70.068.6138.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.471.3142.7+0.170%
vs Similar (10)73.974.9148.8-1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.066.4142.4+9.680%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +4.1+4.1
LouisvilleMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#168
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A09/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H29/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A05/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A10/02
NCAA
67.6Avg total
30.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.266.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.131.865.8+2.365%-
Last 30 away (13)31.835.166.8-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)30.836.867.6-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)28.437.866.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.635.167.8-2.536%-
vs Similar (16)33.431.564.9+1.969%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#12
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A12/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H19/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A12/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.266.8+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.933.968.8+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)32.232.664.8-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)32.232.564.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.433.865.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.235.969.1-2.740%-
vs Similar (10)32.932.165.0+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.631.766.3+2.960%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
1
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
17/01/21Miami (FL) v Louisville78-72
08/01/20Louisville v Miami (FL)74-58
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/22ANotre Dame57-63
05/02/22ASyracuse69-92
02/02/22HNorth Carolina83-90 OT
29/01/22HDuke65-74
25/01/22AVirginia52-64
22/01/22HNotre Dame70-82
20/01/22HBoston College67-54
15/01/22APittsburgh53-65
13/01/22HNC State63-79
09/01/22AFlorida State70-79
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22AWake Forest76-72
10/02/22HGeorgia Tech79-70
05/02/22AVirginia58-71
03/02/22HNotre Dame64-68
29/01/22AGeorgia Tech73-62
27/01/22AVirginia Tech78-75
22/01/22HFlorida State60-61
19/01/22HNorth Carolina85-57
12/01/22AFlorida State64-65
09/01/22ADuke76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeLWLLL54%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%54%36%
Points / game68.571.664.7
Allowed / game69.769.969.4
Point differential-1.2+1.7-4.6
Avg total138.1141.5134.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %72%71%73%
Points / game74.879.269.2
Allowed / game71.272.469.8
Point differential+3.6+6.9-0.6
Avg total146.0151.6139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)50% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2622485%79.865.1+14.7
2 SMU Mustangs2318578%75.867.7+8.0
3 Wake Forest2720774%78.468.8+9.6
4 North Carolina2518772%78.772.9+5.8
5 Notre Dame2518772%70.065.0+5.0
6 Miami (FL)2518772%74.871.2+3.6
7 Virginia Tech26161062%70.661.5+9.0
8 Virginia26161062%63.059.7+3.3
9 Stanford25151060%68.068.6-0.6
10 Florida State25141156%71.770.6+1.0
11 Syracuse25131252%77.474.6+2.9
12 Clemson26121446%72.369.1+3.2
13 Louisville24111346%68.569.7-1.2
14 California26111542%64.666.1-1.5
15 NC State27111641%73.574.3-0.8
16 Boston College2391439%64.966.5-1.6
17 Pittsburgh26101638%62.066.5-4.5
18 Georgia Tech2591636%68.470.2-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville253863
Miami (FL)353570
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