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Louisville vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-71
17-36 44-35
Position#265
Record12-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game70.6
Louisville
USA
vs
Virginia 🏆
USA
Position#135
Record17-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game60.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Louisville v Virginia
13 Jan 2026
LOUI70
VIRG79
18 Jan 2025
LOUI81
VIRG67
27 Jan 2024
LOUI52
VIRG69
15 Feb 2023
LOUI58
VIRG61
05 Mar 2022
LOUI61
VIRG71
06 Mar 2021
LOUI58
VIRG68
08 Feb 2020
LOUI80
VIRG73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H29/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
83-90 OT
83
90
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A05/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H17/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H19/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
43-75
43
75
-32
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-35
29-29
35-40
30-34
35-36
39-38
26-43
43-49
23-35
34-28
25-35
38-35
28-27
42-34
36-36
27-34
36-44
41-55
21-33
22-42
140.0Avg total
64.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)67.670.6138.1-3.041%
Season at home (15)70.969.3140.3+1.653%
Season away (14)63.971.9135.9-8.029%
Last 10 (10)64.275.8140.0-11.610%
Last 5 (5)63.275.0138.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)67.473.4140.9-6.028%
vs Similar (12)66.866.2133.0+0.558%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#265
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-23
29-29
27-34
38-35
30-25
37-30
35-26
36-32
34-29
35-39
32-19
31-34
29-25
24-37
30-38
44-33
25-30
36-35
34-29
29-35
126.7Avg total
65.0Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)63.360.4123.8+2.959%
Season at home (16)63.857.6121.4+6.262%
Season away (13)62.863.8126.6-1.154%
Last 10 (10)65.061.7126.7+3.360%
Last 5 (5)62.863.0125.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)58.965.8124.6-6.925%
vs Similar (12)63.561.5125.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)66.255.0121.2+11.290%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.6-7.61st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.6-7.61st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
LouisvilleVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H29/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A05/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H17/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H19/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A02/03
NCAA
65.2Avg total
28.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.966.8-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.132.766.8+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)31.535.466.9-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)28.836.465.2-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.064.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.335.567.8-3.233%-
vs Similar (12)33.731.665.2+2.167%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#265
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A29/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/02
NCAA
58.9Avg total
31.1Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.128.758.8+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.226.958.1+4.376%-
Last 30 away (13)28.731.159.8-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)31.127.858.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)30.028.258.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.530.658.1-3.150%-
vs Similar (12)29.930.460.3-0.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)32.425.157.5+7.380%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
3
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
25/01/22Virginia v Louisville64-52
06/03/21Louisville v Virginia58-68
07/03/20Virginia v Louisville57-54
08/02/20Louisville v Virginia80-73
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22AVirginia Tech43-75
27/02/22AWake Forest77-99
22/02/22ANorth Carolina63-70
19/02/22HClemson70-61
17/02/22HMiami (FL)63-70
10/02/22ANotre Dame57-63
05/02/22ASyracuse69-92
02/02/22HNorth Carolina83-90 OT
29/01/22HDuke65-74
25/01/22AVirginia52-64
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22HFlorida State63-64
24/02/22HDuke61-65
19/02/22AMiami (FL)74-71
15/02/22AVirginia Tech53-62
12/02/22HGeorgia Tech63-53
08/02/22ADuke69-68
05/02/22HMiami (FL)71-58
01/02/22HBoston College67-55
29/01/22ANotre Dame65-69
25/01/22HLouisville64-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLLLLW53%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%53%29%
Points / game67.670.963.9
Allowed / game70.669.371.9
Point differential-3.0+1.6-8.0
Avg total138.1140.3135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %59%62%54%
Points / game63.363.862.8
Allowed / game60.457.663.8
Point differential+2.9+6.2-1.1
Avg total123.8121.4126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3026487%80.365.1+15.3
2 SMU Mustangs2821775%74.567.4+7.1
3 Wake Forest3123874%79.569.8+9.7
4 North Carolina3022873%78.172.4+5.7
5 Notre Dame3021970%72.166.6+5.5
6 Miami (FL)3021970%74.970.8+4.1
7 Virginia Tech30191163%70.061.2+8.8
8 Virginia29171259%63.360.4+2.9
9 Florida State29161355%70.971.0-0.1
10 Stanford29151452%66.168.2-2.1
11 Clemson30151550%72.068.7+3.3
12 Syracuse30151550%76.975.2+1.6
13 Louisville29121741%67.670.6-3.0
14 California30121840%63.265.3-2.1
15 Boston College29111838%66.068.0-2.0
16 NC State30111937%73.275.3-2.1
17 Pittsburgh30111937%62.367.8-5.5
18 Georgia Tech30102033%67.670.4-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville174461
Virginia363571
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