Loyola Chicago will host Citadel on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the home side at 63% to win over Citadel's 37%. Loyola has gone 3-2 in its last five outings, including a 75-67 victory over Richmond Spiders away on 11 March and a 68-62 win at home against George Washington on 7 March, while Citadel has struggled, winning only 2 of its last five with a 93-90 win over Wofford away on 28 February and a 88-85 win over Chattanooga Mocs away on 6 March. Their most recent encounters show Loyola losing to Davidson 59-64 away on 12 March and Citadel losing to East Tennessee St 76-83 away on 7 March. The Pythia model projects a 73-69 scoreline, with Loyola scoring 73 points and Citadel 69, for a total of 142.1 points. The home team's line is -15.0, with only a 15% chance of covering, and the over/under line is 143.0 with a 47% probability of the over; overtime is a 5% possibility. Loyola's recent form and the projected margin suggest a comfortable win for the home side, while Citadel's recent victories hint at a competitive contest.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 65.0 | 70.6 | 135.6 | -5.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.2 | 67.6 | 134.8 | -0.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 66.5 | 76.6 | 143.1 | -10.0 | 27% |
| vs Similar (4) | 64.0 | 71.0 | 135.0 | -7.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 70.0 | 80.7 | 150.7 | -10.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.0 | 84.6 | 160.6 | -8.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 68.8 | 80.5 | 149.3 | -11.8 | 30% |
| vs Similar (9) | 70.9 | 68.1 | 139.0 | +2.8 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 98.0 | 73.0 | 171.0 | +25.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 70.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.1 | 37.5 | 69.5 | -5.4 | 30% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 31.5 | 36.6 | 68.1 | -5.1 | 33% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 32.6 | 38.3 | 70.9 | -5.7 | 27% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 28.4 | 33.7 | 62.1 | -5.3 | 30% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.0 | 30.6 | 61.6 | +0.4 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 32.2 | 38.0 | 70.2 | -5.8 | 31% | 46% |
| vs Similar (4) | 31.5 | 34.0 | 65.5 | -2.5 | 25% | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 70.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.5 | 36.6 | 70.1 | -3.1 | 37% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 32.7 | 34.5 | 67.2 | -1.8 | 46% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 34.1 | 38.1 | 72.2 | -4.0 | 29% | 59% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.3 | 37.9 | 71.2 | -4.6 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.0 | 41.4 | 77.4 | -5.4 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 32.1 | 39.0 | 71.1 | -6.9 | 25% | 55% |
| vs Similar (9) | 34.3 | 30.8 | 65.1 | +3.6 | 56% | 22% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 54.0 | 40.0 | 94.0 | +14.0 | 100% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citadel +10 | 71.9% | 2.80 | 2.80 | - | - | - | - | +38.9pp | Lost |
| Citadel +11 | 74.9% | 2.55 | 2.55 | - | - | - | - | +38.4pp | Lost |
| Citadel +13 | 80.3% | 2.20 | 2.27 | 2.12 | - | - | - | +38.0pp | Lost |
| Citadel +10.5 | 72.8% | 2.62 | 2.62 | 2.62 | - | - | - | +37.5pp | Lost |
| Citadel +12 | 77.7% | 2.30 | 2.30 | - | - | - | - | +37.4pp | Lost |
| Citadel +11.5 | 75.6% | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 | - | - | - | +37.0pp | Lost |
| Citadel +13.5 | 80.7% | 2.06 | 2.18 | 2.07 | 2.05 | 1.96 | - | +36.8pp | Lost |
| Citadel +14 | 82.6% | 2.02 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.98 | - | - | +36.5pp | Lost |
| Citadel +12.5 | 78.3% | 2.16 | 2.22 | 2.20 | 2.07 | - | - | +36.2pp | Lost |
| Citadel +14.5 | 83.0% | 1.93 | 1.99 | 1.98 | 1.95 | 1.92 | 1.91 | +34.8pp | Lost |
| Citadel +15 | 84.7% | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.83 | 1.82 | - | - | +33.9pp | Lost |
| Citadel +15.5 | 85.0% | 1.78 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.78 | 1.75 | +31.8pp | Lost |
| Citadel +16 | 86.6% | 1.71 | 1.72 | 1.71 | 1.71 | - | - | +31.1pp | Lost |
| Citadel +17.5 | 88.6% | 1.60 | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.57 | - | - | +30.9pp | Lost |
| Citadel +16.5 | 86.9% | 1.68 | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.66 | +29.5pp | Lost |
| Citadel +17 | 88.4% | 1.60 | 1.61 | 1.60 | - | - | - | +29.0pp | Lost |
| Citadel +18 | 89.9% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +28.7pp | Lost |
| Citadel +18.5 | 90.1% | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +28.4pp | Lost |
| Citadel +19 | 91.3% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +26.7pp | Lost |
| Citadel +19.5 | 91.4% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +26.6pp | Lost |
| Citadel +20 | 92.5% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +24.9pp | Lost |
| Citadel +20.5 | 92.6% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +24.6pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 79 | 73.5% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +23.5pp | Won |
| Citadel +21.5 | 93.6% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +22.8pp | Lost |
| Citadel +21 | 93.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +22.6pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 79.5 | 74.4% | 1.81 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 | +22.5pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago under 78.5 | 71.1% | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.86 | - | - | +22.2pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago under 80.5 | 77.4% | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | - | - | +22.1pp | Won |
| Citadel +22.5 | 94.5% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +21.1pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 81.5 | 80.3% | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.53 | - | - | - | +20.6pp | Won |
| Citadel +22 | 94.5% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +20.4pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 82.5 | 82.9% | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | +20.2pp | Won |
| Citadel over 62.5 | 74.2% | 1.69 | 1.72 | 1.67 | - | - | - | +19.3pp | Lost |
| Citadel over 63.5 | 70.9% | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 | +19.2pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 83.5 | 85.3% | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +18.4pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago under 84.5 | 87.4% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +17.6pp | Won |
| Citadel +24.5 | 96.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +16.5pp | Lost |
| Citadel over 61.5 | 77.2% | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Lost |
| Citadel over 60.5 | 80.1% | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.43 | - | - | +15.6pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 85.5 | 89.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +15.2pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago under 86.5 | 91.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Citadel over 59.5 | 82.7% | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Lost |
| Citadel over 58.5 | 85.1% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 87.5 | 92.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| Citadel over 57.5 | 87.3% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 88.5 | 93.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago under 89.5 | 94.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Citadel over 56.5 | 89.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 90.5 | 95.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Citadel over 55.5 | 90.9% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Lost |
| Loyola Chicago under 91.5 | 96.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 94.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Under 167.5 | 93.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Under 151 | 71.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 90.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Under 151.5 | 72.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| Under 153.5 | 75.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Under 162.5 | 89.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Over 118.5 | 92.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Over 117.5 | 93.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Under 152.5 | 74.0% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Under 158.5 | 84.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| Under 157.5 | 82.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Over 122.5 | 88.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -2.2pp | Won |
| Over 123.5 | 87.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -2.7pp | Won |
| Over 127.5 | 81.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -5.1pp | Won |
| Citadel under 81.5 | 88.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -5.6pp | Won |
| Over 132.5 | 71.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -6.2pp | Lost |
| Over 128.5 | 79.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -6.3pp | Won |
| Citadel under 80.5 | 86.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -6.7pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago over 62.5 | 84.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -7.0pp | Won |
| Citadel under 79.5 | 83.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -7.6pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago over 63.5 | 82.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -8.7pp | Won |
| Citadel under 78.5 | 81.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -9.6pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago over 64.5 | 79.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -10.3pp | Won |
| Citadel under 77.5 | 78.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -10.8pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago over 65.5 | 76.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -12.3pp | Won |
| Citadel under 76.5 | 76.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -13.0pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago +6.5 | 80.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -13.2pp | Won |
| Citadel under 75.5 | 73.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -14.5pp | Won |
| Loyola Chicago over 66.5 | 73.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -14.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 | A | Davidson | 59-64 OT |
| 11/03/26 | A | Richmond Spiders | 75-67 |
| 07/03/26 | H | George Washington | 68-62 |
| 05/03/26 | A | St. Louis Billikens | 65-79 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Richmond Spiders | 69-66 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks | 61-75 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Fordham | 59-62 |
| 14/02/26 | H | St. Louis Billikens | 59-86 |
| 06/02/26 | A | Davidson | 64-84 |
| 04/02/26 | H | La Salle | 71-61 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | A | East Tennessee St | 76-83 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Chattanooga Mocs | 88-85 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Wofford | 93-90 OT |
| 25/02/26 | A | Furman | 51-72 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Chattanooga Mocs | 72-93 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Samford | 75-78 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Mercer | 54-70 |
| 11/02/26 | A | Western Carolina | 49-87 |
| 07/02/26 | A | Chattanooga Mocs | 78-71 |
| 06/02/26 | A | Samford | 64-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 143 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 143 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 39.0 | +52.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 58.0 | +31.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 54.0 | +28.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 77.0 | +23.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 72.0 | +10.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 71.0 | 79.0 | -8.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 53.0 | +37.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 115.0 | 83.0 | +32.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 87.0 | 58.0 | +29.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 80.0 | -8.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 41 | 77 | |
| 27 | 25 | 52 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.