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East Tennessee St vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-76
0-0 36-32 0-0 47-44
Position#61
Record21-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game68.9
East Tennessee St 🏆
USA
vs
Citadel
USA
Position#302
Record12-20
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · East Tennessee St v Citadel
07 Mar 2026
EAST83
CITA76
23 Jan 2026
EAST84
CITA55
11 Jan 2025
EAST70
CITA52
03 Feb 2024
EAST62
CITA60
22 Feb 2023
EAST78
CITA70
04 Mar 2022
EAST76
CITA84
22 Jan 2022
EAST73
CITA75
30 Jan 2021
EAST112
CITA84
12 Feb 2020
EAST91
CITA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A02/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
H05/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A07/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
72-82 OT
72
82
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A18/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-49
0-0
53-41
0-0
41-39
0-0
45-33
0-0
23-35
0-0
38-26
0-0
40-33
0-0
47-37
0-0
32-27
0-0
41-34
0-0
37-38
0-0
31-30
0-0
34-34
0-0
44-35
0-0
39-36
0-0
48-39
0-0
37-33
0-0
32-39
0-0
35-49
0-0
41-33
153.5Avg total
79.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.268.9147.2+9.368%
Season at home (17)81.266.1147.3+15.176%
Season away (14)74.672.4147.0+2.357%
Last 10 (10)79.174.4153.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)76.476.0152.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)73.972.7146.6+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.068.2147.2+10.771%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A06/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
49-87
49
87
-38
A11/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
54-70
54
70
-16
H14/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
72-93
72
93
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A25/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-30
0-0
28-30
0-0
32-39
0-0
32-39
0-0
37-32
0-0
41-39
0-0
25-52
0-0
24-35
0-0
25-18
0-0
29-52
0-0
34-31
0-0
41-47
0-0
29-50
0-0
43-43
0-0
31-33
0-0
20-39
0-0
39-39
0-0
44-44
0-0
49-49
0-0
39-36
148.5Avg total
69.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.176.5147.5-5.438%
Season at home (15)75.074.2149.2+0.847%
Season away (17)67.678.5146.1-10.929%
Last 10 (10)69.579.0148.5-9.540%
Last 5 (5)75.883.6159.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.381.2150.5-11.930%
vs Similar (9)70.968.1139.0+2.844%
vs Weaker (1)98.073.0171.0+25.0100%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: -6.3-6.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: -6.3-6.3
East Tennessee StCitadel
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H05/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A28/02
NCAA
72.6Avg total
35.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.370.3+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.932.469.4+4.575%-
Last 30 away (14)35.036.471.4-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.372.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.074.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)32.938.070.9-5.122%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.432.770.0+4.776%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A11/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/03
NCAA
70.6Avg total
33.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.970.9-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.835.369.1-1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)34.238.272.5-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)33.337.370.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.476.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.939.572.3-6.630%-
vs Similar (9)34.330.865.1+3.656%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
East Tennessee St wins
1
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26East Tennessee St v Citadel84-55
30/12/25Citadel v East Tennessee St49-74
01/03/25Citadel v East Tennessee St66-81
11/01/25East Tennessee St v Citadel70-52
29/02/24Citadel v East Tennessee St63-81
03/02/24East Tennessee St v Citadel62-60
23/02/23East Tennessee St v Citadel78-70
12/01/23Citadel v East Tennessee St74-96
04/03/22East Tennessee St v Citadel76-84 OT
19/02/22Citadel v East Tennessee St67-77
East Tennessee Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AMercer76-82
26/02/26HWofford69-72
21/02/26ANC Greensboro87-75
18/02/26AFurman78-69
14/02/26HSamford72-82 OT
12/02/26HChattanooga Mocs73-61
07/02/26AVMI87-70
05/02/26HFurman75-71 OT
02/02/26AWofford86-72
30/01/26HWestern Carolina88-90
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AChattanooga Mocs88-85
28/02/26AWofford93-90 OT
25/02/26AFurman51-72
21/02/26HChattanooga Mocs72-93
20/02/26HSamford75-78
14/02/26HMercer54-70
11/02/26AWestern Carolina49-87
07/02/26AChattanooga Mocs78-71
06/02/26ASamford64-78
31/01/26HNC Greensboro71-66 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL68%
HomeLWWLL76%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %68%76%57%
Points / game78.281.274.6
Allowed / game68.966.172.4
Point differential+9.3+15.1+2.3
Avg total147.2147.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%65%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %38%47%29%
Points / game71.175.067.6
Allowed / game76.574.278.5
Point differential-5.4+0.8-10.9
Avg total147.5149.2146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %16%20%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St31211068%78.268.9+9.3
2 Mercer31191261%83.075.5+7.5
3 Furman31191261%76.070.3+5.7
4 Wofford31191261%79.077.2+1.8
5 Samford31181358%78.874.9+3.9
6 Western Carolina29141548%78.977.8+1.1
7 NC Greensboro32141844%78.880.7-1.9
8 Chattanooga Mocs32131941%76.775.2+1.4
9 Citadel32122038%71.176.5-5.4
10 VMI3262619%72.080.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
East Tennessee St03604783
Citadel03204476
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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