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LSU vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-74
34-36 44-38
Position#255
Record11-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game69.4
LSU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#118
Record11-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · LSU v Arkansas
10 Feb 2026
LSU62
ARKA91
14 Jan 2025
LSU78
ARKA74
03 Feb 2024
LSU95
ARKA74
28 Dec 2022
LSU60
ARKA57
15 Jan 2022
LSU58
ARKA65
13 Jan 2021
LSU92
ARKA76
08 Jan 2020
LSU79
ARKA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H08/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A14/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
99-53
99
53
+46
H18/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
110-45
110
45
+65
H30/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-26
52-27
32-35
53-40
42-27
38-44
33-27
31-47
47-10
52-43
30-29
56-41
55-13
55-32
27-34
45-46
27-42
40-41
26-28
39-49
148.6Avg total
80.5Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.269.4150.6+11.869%
Season at home (12)85.667.7153.2+17.983%
Season away (4)68.074.8142.8-6.825%
Last 10 (10)80.568.1148.6+12.460%
Last 5 (5)80.071.0151.0+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.485.0158.4-11.610%
vs Similar (12)78.173.4151.5+4.775%
vs Weaker (7)89.462.4151.9+27.0100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A28/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
82-57
82
57
+25
A14/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H09/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-49
43-41
32-40
44-33
27-32
48-28
45-49
44-38
46-28
36-29
54-31
41-36
42-39
50-23
27-42
25-34
33-33
33-40
25-28
38-43
148.3Avg total
76.7Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.466.9145.3+11.469%
Season at home (10)81.161.6142.7+19.580%
Season away (6)73.875.8149.7-2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.771.6148.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)73.669.8143.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.278.7149.9-7.520%
vs Similar (11)78.977.1156.0+1.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.066.2154.2+21.889%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +5.7+5.7
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +5.7+5.7
LSUArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H08/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A14/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
47-10
47
10
+37
H18/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
55-13
55
13
+42
H30/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A11/01
NCAA
61.5Avg total
34.4Scored
27.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.867.2+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.830.665.3+4.245%-
Last 30 away (10)33.637.270.8-3.630%-
Last 10 (10)34.427.161.5+7.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.029.262.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.939.171.0-7.220%-
vs Similar (12)33.332.065.3+1.342%-
vs Weaker (7)40.324.364.6+16.071%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A14/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H11/01
NCAA
73.6Avg total
36.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.172.1+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.931.668.6+5.359%-
Last 30 away (13)37.239.676.8-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.173.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.670.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.636.070.6-1.440%-
vs Similar (11)36.535.972.5+0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.333.173.4+7.256%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
LSU wins
6
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
07/03/24Arkansas v LSU94-83
03/02/24LSU v Arkansas95-74
25/01/23Arkansas v LSU60-40
29/12/22LSU v Arkansas60-57
11/03/22Arkansas v LSU79-67
03/03/22Arkansas v LSU77-76
15/01/22LSU v Arkansas58-65
13/03/21Arkansas v LSU71-78
27/02/21Arkansas v LSU83-75
14/01/21LSU v Arkansas92-76
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AOle Miss65-77
08/01/25AMissouri67-83
04/01/25HVanderbilt72-80
30/12/24HMiss. Valley St.110-45
22/12/24HNew Orleans86-70
18/12/24HStetson99-53
14/12/24ASMU Mustangs64-74
08/12/24HFlorida Gulf Coast80-71
04/12/24HFlorida State85-75
30/11/24HNorthwestern St.77-53
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HFlorida63-71
09/01/25HOle Miss66-73
04/01/25ATennessee52-76
31/12/24HOakland92-62
21/12/24HN. Carolina A&T95-67
14/12/24ACentral Arkansas82-57
11/12/24AMichigan89-87
07/12/24HUTSA Roadrunners75-60
04/12/24AMiami (FL)76-73
28/11/24AIllinois77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL69%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %69%83%25%
Points / game81.285.668.0
Allowed / game69.467.774.8
Point differential+11.8+17.9-6.8
Avg total150.6153.2142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%8%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL69%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game78.481.173.8
Allowed / game66.961.675.8
Point differential+11.4+19.5-2.0
Avg total145.3142.7149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn1716194%86.666.0+20.6
2 Florida1615194%86.264.8+21.4
3 Tennessee1615194%77.157.9+19.2
4 Ole Miss1715288%78.764.6+14.1
5 Georgia1614288%79.964.2+15.7
6 Kentucky1714382%88.774.6+14.1
7 Mississippi St.1714382%82.869.5+13.4
8 Alabama1714382%89.577.2+12.3
9 Missouri1613381%85.168.5+16.6
10 Vanderbilt1613381%83.467.6+15.8
11 Oklahoma1613381%81.271.1+10.1
12 Texas A&M1713476%76.966.3+10.6
13 Texas1611569%81.965.4+16.4
14 LSU1611569%81.269.4+11.8
15 Arkansas1611569%78.466.9+11.4
16 South Carolina1610662%72.868.2+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU344478
Arkansas363874
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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