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LSU vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 60-57
24-19 36-38
Position#264
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game63.9
LSU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#112
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game61.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · LSU v Arkansas
10 Feb 2026
LSU62
ARKA91
14 Jan 2025
LSU78
ARKA74
03 Feb 2024
LSU95
ARKA74
28 Dec 2022
LSU60
ARKA57
15 Jan 2022
LSU58
ARKA65
13 Jan 2021
LSU92
ARKA76
08 Jan 2020
LSU79
ARKA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#290
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A24/11
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H27/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A10/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-25
44-37
45-18
32-43
33-35
40-23
41-33
18-28
37-33
41-42
29-22
34-37
33-41
39-29
40-26
27-31
38-39
51-42
37-24
35-44
139.3Avg total
74.1Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.063.9136.9+9.192%
Season at home (9)74.764.2138.9+10.4100%
Season away (3)68.063.0131.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)74.165.2139.3+8.990%
Last 5 (5)72.667.0139.6+5.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.864.2134.0+5.680%
vs Similar (14)70.766.7137.4+4.064%
vs Weaker (11)71.569.5140.9+2.045%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#154
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H17/11
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H21/11
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H29/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
99-58
99
58
+41
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H10/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H17/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
85-51
85
51
+34
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-29
30-27
36-28
44-26
34-40
53-50
26-35
41-32
31-33
43-28
40-35
59-23
21-26
44-32
43-40
45-38
37-25
39-32
44-24
41-27
144.0Avg total
80.3Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.461.9141.3+17.592%
Season at home (11)79.560.8140.4+18.791%
Season away (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.363.7144.0+16.690%
Last 5 (5)82.660.4143.0+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.272.5145.8+0.875%
vs Similar (16)73.165.2138.2+7.981%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.762.5142.2+17.290%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +12.4+12.4
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +12.4+12.4
LSUArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#290
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
45-18
45
18
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A10/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H22/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
38.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.329.964.3+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.728.263.9+7.678%-
Last 30 away (12)32.232.664.8-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.029.667.6+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)35.430.465.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.833.670.4+3.260%-
vs Similar (14)34.827.362.1+7.571%-
vs Weaker (11)32.631.664.3+1.045%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#154
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H29/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H22/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
35.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.630.864.4+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.928.561.3+4.471%-
Last 30 away (9)35.336.371.7-1.056%-
Last 10 (10)35.331.566.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.067.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.232.265.5+1.075%-
vs Similar (16)30.129.759.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.332.171.4+7.290%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
LSU wins
5
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
11/03/22Arkansas v LSU79-67
03/03/22Arkansas v LSU77-76
15/01/22LSU v Arkansas58-65
13/03/21Arkansas v LSU71-78
27/02/21Arkansas v LSU83-75
14/01/21LSU v Arkansas92-76
05/03/20Arkansas v LSU99-90
09/01/20LSU v Arkansas79-77
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HEast Tennessee St72-68
18/12/22HWinthrop89-81
14/12/22HN. Carolina Central67-57
10/12/22AWake Forest72-70
03/12/22HUT Arlington63-59
27/11/22HWofford78-75
24/11/22AKansas State59-61
22/11/22AAkron73-58
21/11/22HIllinois State77-61
18/11/22HNew Orleans91-62
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HUNC Asheville85-51
17/12/22HBradley76-57
10/12/22HOklahoma88-78
07/12/22HNC Greensboro65-58
03/12/22HSan Jose State99-58
29/11/22HTroy74-61
24/11/22ASan Diego State78-74 OT
23/11/22HCreighton87-90
21/11/22HLouisville80-54
17/11/22HSouth Dakota St.71-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %92%100%67%
Points / game73.074.768.0
Allowed / game63.964.263.0
Point differential+9.1+10.4+5.0
Avg total136.9138.9131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %92%91%100%
Points / game79.479.578.0
Allowed / game61.960.874.0
Point differential+17.5+18.7+4.0
Avg total141.3140.4152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%82%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri1312192%88.874.7+14.1
2 Texas1211192%83.862.2+21.6
3 Arkansas1211192%79.461.9+17.5
4 LSU1211192%73.063.9+9.1
5 Tennessee1311285%73.853.2+20.5
6 Auburn1311285%72.761.8+10.9
7 Mississippi St.1210283%66.754.2+12.5
8 Alabama1210283%83.772.1+11.6
9 Georgia1310377%71.364.0+7.3
10 Oklahoma129375%69.060.7+8.3
11 Kentucky128467%78.466.4+12.0
12 Ole Miss138562%69.263.5+5.7
13 Texas A&M127558%74.868.8+6.0
14 Florida137654%75.166.7+8.4
15 Vanderbilt126650%67.966.8+1.1
16 South Carolina126650%64.169.5-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU243660
Arkansas193857
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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