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Florida vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-67
29-33 50-34
Position#205
Record15-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game68.7
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
LSU
USA
Position#264
Record13-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Florida v LSU
20 Jan 2026
FLOR79
LSU61
13 Feb 2024
FLOR82
LSU80
04 Mar 2023
FLOR79
LSU67
12 Jan 2022
FLOR58
LSU64
02 Jan 2021
FLOR83
LSU79
26 Feb 2020
FLOR81
LSU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A09/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
16-37
34-27
27-21
40-33
22-33
45-39
23-52
46-45
41-42
39-46
39-29
40-35
31-37
34-47
37-36
37-46
36-46
36-42
43-33
34-34
146.0Avg total
70.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.868.7140.5+3.150%
Season at home (16)78.166.0144.1+12.169%
Season away (14)64.671.8136.4-7.129%
Last 10 (10)70.076.0146.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)73.477.0150.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.075.5141.5-9.525%
vs Similar (17)68.570.3138.8-1.829%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.762.7143.3+18.0100%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#204
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H04/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A09/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H12/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A15/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-41
35-35
35-48
42-39
37-44
32-35
22-25
31-39
17-41
45-33
28-26
35-39
31-36
42-46
39-32
45-45
26-35
43-47
47-34
29-47
146.1Avg total
69.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)67.570.4137.8-2.943%
Season at home (19)69.769.2138.9+0.558%
Season away (11)63.572.4135.9-8.818%
Last 10 (10)69.476.7146.1-7.310%
Last 5 (5)73.077.4150.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)63.671.5135.1-7.926%
vs Similar (10)74.367.0141.3+7.380%
vs Weaker (1)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -2.6-2.6
FloridaLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A28/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A09/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/03
NCAA
68.1Avg total
31.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.364.6+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.929.865.8+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)28.235.163.3-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.536.668.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.273.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.036.063.0-9.025%-
vs Similar (17)30.932.363.2-1.441%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.330.667.9+6.878%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#204
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A02/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
17-41
17
41
-24
H12/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A15/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H02/03
NCAA
67.7Avg total
31.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.033.565.5-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.931.164.9+2.863%-
Last 30 away (11)28.637.866.5-9.218%-
Last 10 (10)31.536.267.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.666.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.836.366.1-6.432%-
vs Similar (10)36.128.164.2+8.080%-
vs Weaker (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida wins
2
LSU wins
DateGameScore
11/01/23LSU v Florida56-67
13/01/22Florida v LSU58-64
02/01/21Florida v LSU83-79
27/02/20Florida v LSU81-66
22/01/20LSU v Florida84-82
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23AGeorgia77-67
25/02/23AVanderbilt72-88
23/02/23HKentucky74-82
18/02/23AArkansas65-84
15/02/23HOle Miss79-64
11/02/23HVanderbilt80-88
09/02/23AAlabama69-97
05/02/23AKentucky67-72
02/02/23HTennessee67-54
28/01/23AKansas State50-64
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23HMissouri76-81
26/02/23AOle Miss69-82
23/02/23HVanderbilt84-77
18/02/23HSouth Carolina73-82
15/02/23AGeorgia63-65
12/02/23HTexas A&M62-74
09/02/23AMississippi St.53-64
04/02/23HAlabama69-79
02/02/23AMissouri77-87
28/01/23HTexas Tech68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLWL69%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %50%69%29%
Points / game71.878.164.6
Allowed / game68.766.071.8
Point differential+3.1+12.1-7.1
Avg total140.5144.1136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LSU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeLLLWL58%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %43%58%18%
Points / game67.569.763.5
Allowed / game70.469.272.4
Point differential-2.9+0.5-8.8
Avg total137.8138.9135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3126584%82.869.5+13.3
2 Texas3123874%78.868.7+10.2
3 Texas A&M3123874%73.365.6+7.7
4 Missouri3123874%80.174.8+5.3
5 Tennessee3122971%71.957.5+14.4
6 Kentucky31211068%75.167.6+7.5
7 Auburn31201165%72.766.8+5.9
8 Mississippi St.30191163%65.560.5+5.0
9 Arkansas31191261%74.867.2+7.6
10 Vanderbilt30171357%71.971.7+0.2
11 Georgia31161552%68.671.5-2.9
12 Florida30151550%71.868.7+3.1
13 Oklahoma31151648%68.367.9+0.4
14 LSU30131743%67.570.4-2.9
15 Ole Miss31112035%67.969.3-1.4
16 South Carolina31112035%64.572.8-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida295079
LSU333467
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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