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LTH Castings vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 88-96
21-25 23-30 25-19 19-22
Position#7
Record1-0
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game78.0
SloveniaSlovenian Cup· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2024-25
Meetings · LTH Castings v Sencur
04 Jan 2025
LTH 75
SENC94
30 Oct 2024
LTH 88
SENC96
16 Oct 2023
LTH 108
SENC72
13 Mar 2023
LTH 81
SENC74
16 Dec 2022
LTH 85
SENC86
25 Mar 2017
LTH 62
SENC92
25 Feb 2017
LTH 75
SENC73
02 Apr 2016
LTH 86
SENC78
06 Dec 2015
LTH 78
SENC70
30 Nov 2015
LTH 67
SENC78
31 Mar 2010
LTH 61
SENC59
17 Oct 2009
LTH 68
SENC55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
80avg 67
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 67
A26/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
54avg 67
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 67
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 67
A28/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
69avg 67
A05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Grosuplje
#22
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A09/10
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
79-60
79
60
+19
72avg 67
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 67
A18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 67
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
19-23
18-18
23-18
19-19
12-30
23-17
15-15
25-21
13-25
13-28
23-24
24-21
15-19
21-19
22-30
22-22
13-20
19-31
20-11
17-17
14-20
16-17
26-21
17-16
19-13
24-21
19-20
23-19
9-9
25-21
22-11
22-27
11-17
12-18
19-15
15-16
14-18
15-26
25-20
153.8Avg total
74.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.679.2153.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)72.872.4145.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.381.5154.8-8.221%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.781.3159.0-3.547%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
60avg 66
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
82avg 66
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 66
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
62avg 66
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
57-79
57
79
-22
42avg 66
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
91-100 OT
91
100
-9
80avg 66
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 66
A12/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#31
W
108-78
108
78
+30
no box
A15/10
Slovenian Cup
LTH Castings
#10
W
77-64
77
64
+13
66avg 66
H18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 66
A26/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
13-12
18-17
20-26
21-21
25-24
27-13
20-23
28-26
15-20
21-28
22-24
10-24
22-29
23-24
21-26
16-21
11-12
16-27
14-19
24-17
22-24
15-28
25-17
18-14
24-18
22-19
19-18
24-25
25-17
35-19
24-17
27-22
17-11
18-12
15-19
15-18
20-23
18-16
14-22
163.1Avg total
81.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)108.078.0186.0+30.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)108.078.0186.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.381.8163.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)85.278.0163.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.5-13.08%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.876.4153.2+0.358%
vs Weaker (5)83.471.4154.8+12.080%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
LTH CastingsSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A26/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Grosuplje
#22
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A09/10
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
73.7Avg total
34.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.577.7-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.436.674.1+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)37.043.880.8-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)34.639.173.7-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.466.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.040.276.2-4.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.441.579.9-3.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#31
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/10
Slovenian Cup
LTH Castings
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A26/10
Liga Nova KBM
79.1Avg total
40.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.781.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.084.6+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.577.9-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.079.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.881.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.843.781.5-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.239.981.1+1.267%-
vs Weaker (5)42.235.477.6+6.860%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.2
50.8%
51.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.9
28.7%
32.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.510.0
74.1%
76.6%10.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.0
51.1%
51.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.2
27.1%
32.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.611.8
67.0%
76.6%11.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
LLWWLLLLLW
Sencur
LWWWLLLLWW
#7
League position
#11
-10.3
Net rating
-1.1
97.7
Offensive rating
100.2
108.0
Defensive rating
101.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
47.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.7%
3-point %
27.1%
56.1%
Assist %
59.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 100.2Defence108.0 · 101.4Shooting47.5% · 47.2%3-point %28.7% · 27.1%Ball care19.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
LTH Castings wins
6
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
18/10/24Sencur v LTH Castings77-64
03/04/24Sencur v LTH Castings85-74
15/12/23Sencur v LTH Castings79-72
16/10/23LTH Castings v Sencur108-72
13/03/23LTH Castings v Sencur81-74
16/12/22LTH Castings v Sencur85-86
10/10/22Sencur v LTH Castings72-65
19/04/17Sencur v LTH Castings77-80
25/03/17LTH Castings v Sencur62-92
25/02/17LTH Castings v Sencur75-73 OT
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek69-80
18/10/24ASencur64-77
14/10/24HRogaska79-60
09/10/24AGrosuplje79-70
05/10/24ATajfun Sentjur73-75
28/09/24AZlatorog Lasko74-84
07/05/24HKK Krka Novo mesto82-89
04/05/24AKK Krka Novo mesto74-98
26/04/24APerspektiva Ilirija69-81
20/04/24ATajfun Sentjur83-78
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ARogaska67-79
18/10/24HLTH Castings77-64
15/10/24AGorica108-78
12/10/24AZlatorog Lasko83-69
07/10/24HPerspektiva Ilirija91-100 OT
30/09/24AHelios Domzale57-79
19/05/24ACedevita Olimpija76-103
15/05/24HCedevita Olimpija86-98
08/05/24HPerspektiva Ilirija93-81
02/05/24APerspektiva Ilirija75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Slovenian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Sencur
Slovenian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game108.0-108.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+30.0-+30.0
Avg total186.0-186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Polzela110100%111.047.0+64.0
2 Branik Maribor110100%87.052.0+35.0
3 Sencur110100%108.078.0+30.0
4 Jezica220100%88.560.0+28.5
5 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek110100%93.067.0+26.0
6 Litija220100%77.558.5+19.0
7 Tajfun Sentjur110100%81.063.0+18.0
8 Zlatorog Lasko110100%87.075.0+12.0
9 Dravograd110100%88.079.0+9.0
10 KK Triglav Kranj110100%86.077.0+9.0
11 LTH Castings110100%79.070.0+9.0
12 Nagode Postojna220100%73.070.0+3.0
13 Hidria21150%84.067.0+17.0
14 Ajdovscina21150%65.566.0-0.5
15 Hrastnik21150%68.070.0-2.0
16 KK Slovan21150%87.089.0-2.0
17 Koper1010%66.069.0-3.0
18 Tolmin1010%92.097.0-5.0
19 Cedevita Olimpija mladi1010%63.072.0-9.0
20 Grosuplje1010%70.079.0-9.0
21 KK Nazarje1010%79.088.0-9.0
22 Celje1010%75.087.0-12.0
23 Plama P.1010%56.070.0-14.0
24 Vrani Vransko1010%63.081.0-18.0
25 KK Slovenske Konjice1010%53.078.0-25.0
26 Bistrica Kety Emmi1010%67.093.0-26.0
27 Gorica1010%78.0108.0-30.0
28 Sentvid1010%52.087.0-35.0
29 Portoroz1010%57.094.0-37.0
30 Sezana1010%59.0101.0-42.0
31 Miklavz1010%47.0111.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LTH Castings2123251988
Sencur2530192296
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