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Lublin vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-107
20-31 19-19 27-27 19-30
Position#11
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.5
EuropeENBL· Globus (Lublin)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
82avg 87
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Juventus
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
61avg 87
H04/10
ENBL
Lancut
#16
W
99-83
99
83
+16
96avg 87
H08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
87-112
87
112
-25
77avg 87
A12/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
96avg 87
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
102-85
102
85
+17
100avg 87
H27/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
81avg 87
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Svendborg
#15
W
102-62
102
62
+40
105avg 87
A08/11
ENBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
71-100
71
100
-29
63avg 87
A12/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 87
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-21
24-18
22-18
20-28
23-25
20-23
10-27
19-20
26-23
31-20
23-20
24-31
25-27
19-28
19-26
20-23
23-23
36-20
21-27
12-26
26-18
28-20
36-21
25-23
15-17
27-22
18-19
28-20
23-10
21-11
30-21
13-21
19-30
23-23
16-26
22-23
27-20
23-20
26-25
177.9Avg total
89.9Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.582.5170.0+5.050%
Season at home (1)73.0103.0176.0-30.00%
Season away (1)102.062.0164.0+40.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.988.0177.9+1.970%
Last 5 (5)91.683.2174.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.690.2169.8-10.725%
vs Similar (11)88.685.5174.1+3.264%
vs Weaker (6)99.079.0178.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Plymouth City Patriots
#10
W
92-68
92
68
+24
92avg 70
A14/10
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 70
A19/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
97avg 70
H21/10
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 70
H27/10
SLB
Juventus
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
42avg 70
H31/10
ENBL
London Lions
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
59avg 70
A03/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
89avg 70
H05/11
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 70
A11/11
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
68-74
68
74
-6
61avg 70
H17/11
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 70
A18/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
20-12
28-20
16-22
17-23
31-15
28-32
15-17
28-25
21-19
22-15
26-24
17-15
14-20
27-11
16-24
23-27
15-14
15-15
22-20
18-23
17-21
10-30
22-21
26-13
24-15
22-27
22-22
22-23
16-16
19-15
18-26
21-17
22-11
18-29
7-17
13-26
17-24
25-16
18-16
159.8Avg total
80.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.574.5157.0+8.050%
Season at home (1)75.076.0151.0-1.00%
Season away (1)90.073.0163.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.679.2159.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)75.481.6157.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.484.2161.6-6.840%
vs Similar (11)82.582.5165.0-0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.774.9160.6+10.871%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
LublinBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Juventus
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H04/10
ENBL
Lancut
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A12/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H27/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Svendborg
#15
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A08/11
ENBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A12/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
87.1Avg total
42.6Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.386.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.443.987.3-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.685.3+0.036%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.587.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.683.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.244.986.2-3.725%-
vs Similar (11)42.943.986.8-1.036%-
vs Weaker (6)47.240.387.5+6.883%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plymouth City Patriots
#10
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A14/10
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A19/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H21/10
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H27/10
SLB
Juventus
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/10
ENBL
London Lions
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H05/11
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H17/11
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A18/11
SLB
78.3Avg total
41.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.179.2+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.477.3+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.881.1-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.378.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.877.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.440.076.4-3.620%-
vs Similar (11)40.941.081.9-0.155%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.035.178.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.3
53.1%
53.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
33.5%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
72.2%12.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.5
48.0%
53.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.9
30.0%
33.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.115.1
71.6%
72.2%15.1
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
WLWWWWLWLW
Bristol Flyers
LLLWLLWWWW
#11
League position
#10
+2.6
Net rating
+1.5
112.5
Offensive rating
101.2
109.9
Defensive rating
99.7
56.9%
Effective FG%
46.9%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
36.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.7%
3-point %
30.0%
64.6%
Assist %
65.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 101.2Defence109.9 · 99.7Shooting56.9% · 46.9%3-point %41.7% · 30.0%Ball care18.3% · 19.9%Off. rebounds28.6% · 36.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Lublin   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin wins
0
Bristol Flyers wins
No previous meetings.
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23HGdynia98-88
12/11/23AAnwil Wloclawek71-100
08/11/23ASvendborg102-62
02/11/23ASzczecin85-81
27/10/23HSlask Wroclaw102-85
21/10/23HGTK Gliwice100-93
12/10/23ADabrowa Gornicza87-112
08/10/23HLancut99-83
04/10/23HJuventus73-103
29/09/23ATrefl Sopot82-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ASurrey Scorchers73-82
17/11/23HManchester Giants68-74
11/11/23ASurrey Scorchers75-80
05/11/23HCaledonia Gladiators94-77
03/11/23ALondon Lions67-95
31/10/23HJuventus75-76
27/10/23HCheshire Phoenix74-70
21/10/23HNewcastle Eagles97-83
19/10/23AManchester Giants91-87
14/10/23APlymouth City Patriots92-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game87.573.0102.0
Allowed / game82.5103.062.0
Point differential+5.0-30.0+40.0
Avg total170.0176.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bristol Flyers
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.575.090.0
Allowed / game74.576.073.0
Point differential+8.0-1.0+17.0
Avg total157.0151.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus220100%89.574.0+15.5
2 Zwolle110100%77.062.0+15.0
3 Tartu Ulikool110100%83.071.0+12.0
4 Voluntari43175%80.869.5+11.2
5 Zielona Gora43175%95.089.8+5.2
6 Newcastle Eagles32167%89.783.0+6.7
7 Siauliai32167%87.392.7-5.3
8 Bristol Flyers21150%82.574.5+8.0
9 Lublin21150%87.582.5+5.0
10 Liege21150%85.084.0+1.0
11 Keila KK21150%75.086.5-11.5
12 Brno3030%75.782.7-7.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via3030%88.397.7-9.3
14 Spartak Pleven2020%72.086.5-14.5
15 Svendborg2020%62.089.5-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin2019271985
Bristol Flyers31192730107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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