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Svendborg vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-102
20-28 10-23 11-21 21-30
Position#15
Record0-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Lublin 🏆
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game103.0
EuropeENBL· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 73
H14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
62avg 73
A19/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
93-65
93
65
+28
87avg 73
H23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
80avg 73
A01/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
62avg 73
H13/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 73
A22/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 73
H26/10
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
50avg 73
A31/10
ENBL
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 73
H05/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
17-28
26-16
21-19
25-11
18-24
17-20
20-22
15-24
18-12
18-12
22-19
31-13
15-20
24-20
23-12
17-23
20-13
29-15
21-15
11-31
23-28
20-26
31-25
27-21
11-28
18-13
27-17
22-21
28-29
22-25
26-30
13-21
20-17
9-19
20-20
25-21
22-21
18-30
26-17
165.9Avg total
83.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)62.077.0139.0-15.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)62.077.0139.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)83.482.5165.9+0.960%
Last 5 (5)83.892.0175.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.493.9177.3-10.523%
vs Similar (6)90.889.8180.7+1.050%
vs Weaker (10)93.275.5168.7+17.7100%
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
103avg 87
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
82avg 87
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Juventus
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
61avg 87
H04/10
ENBL
Lancut
#16
W
99-83
99
83
+16
96avg 87
H08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
87-112
87
112
-25
77avg 87
A12/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
96avg 87
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
102-85
102
85
+17
100avg 87
H27/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
81avg 87
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
18-23
22-23
29-18
25-21
24-21
27-29
30-28
23-18
33-26
24-19
22-22
20-16
16-21
24-18
22-18
20-28
23-25
20-23
10-27
19-20
26-23
31-20
23-20
24-31
25-27
19-28
19-26
20-23
23-23
36-20
21-27
12-26
26-18
28-20
36-21
25-23
15-17
27-22
18-19
183.0Avg total
92.7Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.0103.0176.0-30.00%
Season at home (1)73.0103.0176.0-30.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.790.3183.0+2.480%
Last 5 (5)94.690.8185.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.488.1167.5-8.725%
vs Similar (13)86.883.0169.8+3.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)98.581.0179.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
SvendborgLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A19/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H13/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A22/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H26/10
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
ENBL
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H05/11
Basketligaen
82.9Avg total
39.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.686.5-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.042.088.0+4.069%-
Last 30 away (14)39.245.584.7-6.329%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.382.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.688.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.047.987.9-7.923%-
vs Similar (6)44.345.089.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker (10)45.338.784.0+6.680%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Juventus
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H04/10
ENBL
Lancut
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A12/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H27/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
89.4Avg total
43.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.085.8-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.843.085.8-0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)42.942.985.8+0.038%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.589.4-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.289.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.244.286.4-1.933%-
vs Similar (13)42.642.785.3-0.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.842.288.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.6
47.6%
53.4%35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.8
36.6%
33.5%32.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.7
77.5%
72.2%15.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.4
55.3%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.6
39.4%
33.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
72.2%11.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WLLWLWWWWL
Lublin
WWWLWLWWWW
#15
League position
#11
+3.0
Net rating
-1.9
106.0
Offensive rating
109.6
103.0
Defensive rating
111.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
56.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.6%
3-point %
39.4%
48.2%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 109.6Defence103.0 · 111.5Shooting50.8% · 56.9%3-point %36.6% · 39.4%Ball care18.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.9% · 26.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Svendborg   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Svendborg wins
0
Lublin wins
No previous meetings.
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HTeam FOG Naestved91-89
31/10/23AZwolle62-77
26/10/23HRanders98-105
22/10/23AVaerlose83-79
13/10/23HBakken Bears85-110
01/10/23AHolbaek-Stenhus87-66
23/09/23HBears Academy93-65
19/09/23ACopenhagen73-67
14/09/23HHorsens80-77
20/04/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-90
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23ASzczecin85-81
27/10/23HSlask Wroclaw102-85
21/10/23HGTK Gliwice100-93
12/10/23ADabrowa Gornicza87-112
08/10/23HLancut99-83
04/10/23HJuventus73-103
29/09/23ATrefl Sopot82-73
22/09/23HTorun102-85
03/05/23ASpojnia Stargard106-99
28/04/23HDabrowa Gornicza91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game62.0-62.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential-15.0--15.0
Avg total139.0-139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Lublin
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game103.0103.0-
Point differential-30.0-30.0-
Avg total176.0176.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liege110100%102.079.0+23.0
2 Juventus220100%89.574.0+15.5
3 Zwolle110100%77.062.0+15.0
4 Tartu Ulikool110100%83.071.0+12.0
5 Voluntari32167%78.070.0+8.0
6 Newcastle Eagles32167%89.783.0+6.7
7 Zielona Gora32167%98.095.0+3.0
8 Siauliai32167%87.392.7-5.3
9 Bristol Flyers21150%82.574.5+8.0
10 Brno2020%76.581.0-4.5
11 Valmiera Glass Via2020%87.098.0-11.0
12 Spartak Pleven2020%72.086.5-14.5
13 Svendborg1010%62.077.0-15.0
14 Keila KK1010%53.082.0-29.0
15 Lublin1010%73.0103.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg2010112162
Lublin28232130102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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