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BC Wolves vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 106-79
31-17 27-17 22-19 26-26
Position#3
Record20-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#5
Record16-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game85.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Juventus
23 Mar 2025
WOL87
JUV83
19 Oct 2024
WOL67
JUV72
30 Mar 2024
WOL100
JUV88
05 Nov 2023
WOL77
JUV71
27 Apr 2023
WOL106
JUV79
02 Nov 2022
WOL100
JUV85
03 Oct 2022
WOL95
JUV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#2
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
no box
A18/03
ENBL
Gargzdai
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 78
A21/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 78
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 78
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
65avg 78
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
no box
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
no box
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 78
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-58
94
58
+36
no box
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
49avg 78
A22/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
15-23
16-14
21-17
20-23
17-22
25-27
20-13
20-16
22-17
30-15
22-15
22-17
18-22
18-11
27-24
22-18
20-21
14-14
14-12
11-12
19-17
12-13
16-13
17-9
15-25
22-13
12-23
25-21
22-18
24-22
17-20
21-22
27-16
23-14
23-6
20-22
12-20
14-11
19-18
149.0Avg total
78.9Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.878.3163.1+6.669%
Season at home (14)86.474.3160.6+12.179%
Season away (15)83.482.0165.4+1.460%
Last 10 (10)78.970.1149.0+8.870%
Last 5 (5)74.267.0141.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.579.5154.0-5.033%
vs Similar (7)81.479.4160.9+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.675.1160.8+10.576%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
58avg 80
H15/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
88-77
88
77
+11
86avg 80
A05/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 80
A12/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
86-90
86
90
-4
87avg 80
H18/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 80
H27/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
101-103
101
103
-2
94avg 80
A01/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
96avg 80
A11/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
62avg 80
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
95avg 80
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
134-143 OT
134
143
-9
no box
A22/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
22-19
11-22
20-23
24-19
22-27
21-24
21-7
18-19
11-32
18-19
24-21
25-24
25-18
20-21
16-27
26-19
18-20
21-18
24-23
31-27
25-24
22-23
23-29
16-23
26-11
25-27
21-15
14-14
29-26
9-18
24-19
28-12
16-36
24-23
23-22
21-29
30-27
23-21
29-26
179.9Avg total
89.1Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.385.9173.2+1.455%
Season at home (14)87.183.4170.6+3.757%
Season away (15)87.588.2175.7-0.753%
Last 10 (10)89.190.8179.9-1.730%
Last 5 (5)98.098.4196.4-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.693.2174.9-11.612%
vs Similar (13)91.291.1182.2+0.154%
vs Weaker (9)89.879.0168.8+10.878%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
BC WolvesJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
ENBL
Gargzdai
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/04
LKL
76.5Avg total
38.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.278.1+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.177.6+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)39.339.278.5+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.876.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.474.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.841.276.0-6.317%-
vs Similar (7)40.639.179.7+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.336.878.1+4.582%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A12/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A01/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A11/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A22/04
LKL
88.1Avg total
44.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.187.6+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.840.786.5+5.277%-
Last 30 away (17)43.644.988.5-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.088.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.893.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.944.986.8-3.038%-
vs Similar (13)44.244.889.0-0.562%-
vs Weaker (9)47.439.086.4+8.478%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.821.3
59.5%
54.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.8
39.4%
35.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.511.7
70.9%
74.2%11.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.0
57.4%
54.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.1
33.6%
35.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
74.2%15.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LWWLWWWWLW
Juventus
LLLWLWLLWL
#3
League position
#5
+13.7
Net rating
-2.2
117.4
Offensive rating
107.6
103.6
Defensive rating
109.8
59.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
20.5%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.4%
3-point %
33.6%
63.3%
Assist %
66.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 107.6Defence103.6 · 109.8Shooting59.3% · 54.7%3-point %39.4% · 33.6%Ball care16.9% · 20.5%Off. rebounds29.1% · 28.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BC Wolves wins
0
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Juventus v BC Wolves81-86
24/11/22Juventus v BC Wolves79-94
02/11/22BC Wolves v Juventus100-85
03/10/22BC Wolves v Juventus95-68
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas65-71
19/04/23HPrienai94-58
15/04/23ANevezis88-81
12/04/23HOstrow Wielkopolski66-70
11/04/23ASzczecin58-55
08/04/23HLietkabelis70-65
02/04/23AJonava85-74
27/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes94-63
21/03/23AGargzdai82-85
18/03/23ABudivelnyk87-79 OT
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23ANevezis134-143 OT
19/04/23HLietkabelis91-93
16/04/23AGargzdai76-77
11/04/23AJonava88-76
01/04/23ARytas101-103
27/03/23HSiauliai89-80
18/03/23HPrienai86-90
12/03/23ALietkabelis71-91
05/03/23ARytas88-77
15/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %69%79%60%
Points / game84.886.483.4
Allowed / game78.374.382.0
Point differential+6.6+12.1+1.4
Avg total163.1160.6165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Juventus
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayLLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%57%53%
Points / game87.387.187.5
Allowed / game85.983.488.2
Point differential+1.4+3.7-0.7
Avg total173.2170.6175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)38% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2925486%86.771.4+15.3
2 Rytas3024680%92.782.7+9.9
3 BC Wolves2920969%84.878.3+6.6
4 Lietkabelis29191066%85.481.7+3.7
5 Juventus29161355%87.385.9+1.4
6 Jonava29151452%79.880.3-0.5
7 Neptunas30151550%80.181.6-1.5
8 Nevezis30131743%86.788.2-1.5
9 Siauliai29121741%82.686.3-3.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3082227%78.889.5-10.7
11 Gargzdai3062420%76.283.9-7.7
12 Prienai3042613%79.089.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves31272226106
Juventus1717192679
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