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Juventus vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 69-79
17-15 19-26 14-25 19-13
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game55.0
LithuaniaLKL· Utenos arena (Utena)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Juventus v Zalgiris Kaunas
09 May 2027
JUV v ZAL
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
JUV85
ZAL94
09 Jun 2026
JUV69
ZAL100
29 Mar 2026
JUV83
ZAL94
14 Dec 2025
JUV75
ZAL91
26 Apr 2025
JUV75
ZAL96
29 Dec 2024
JUV67
ZAL128
28 Sep 2023
JUV69
ZAL79
15 Feb 2023
JUV67
ZAL78
28 Apr 2022
JUV76
ZAL84
27 Dec 2021
JUV71
ZAL78
26 May 2021
JUV80
ZAL116
07 Mar 2021
JUV78
ZAL102
31 Jan 2021
JUV90
ZAL87
08 Mar 2020
JUV82
ZAL91
30 Dec 2019
JUV77
ZAL101
27 Jan 2019
JUV80
ZAL98
30 Sep 2018
JUV80
ZAL87
14 Jan 2018
JUV79
ZAL81
30 Dec 2017
JUV74
ZAL78
19 Mar 2017
JUV71
ZAL73
06 Nov 2016
JUV66
ZAL90
13 May 2016
JUV73
ZAL88
20 Mar 2016
JUV65
ZAL88
18 Oct 2015
JUV65
ZAL83
16 May 2015
JUV58
ZAL91
07 Apr 2015
JUV68
ZAL73
07 Dec 2014
JUV75
ZAL76
17 Nov 2013
JUV56
ZAL75
02 Oct 2012
JUV53
ZAL71
18 Dec 2011
JUV60
ZAL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
95avg 81
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
134-143 OT
134
143
-9
no box
A22/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
79-106
79
106
-27
69avg 81
A27/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
78avg 81
H30/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A05/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 81
A12/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 81
H15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
99-101
99
101
-2
100avg 81
A18/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 81
H18/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
16-36
24-23
23-22
21-29
30-27
23-21
29-26
17-31
17-27
19-22
26-26
23-21
18-14
23-19
20-27
13-19
25-18
22-21
25-25
13-30
22-19
27-26
16-17
18-18
27-18
16-33
12-16
17-17
24-17
23-28
22-15
21-23
25-29
31-27
22-22
26-13
17-22
13-27
25-12
182.5Avg total
89.0Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.093.5182.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)83.485.8169.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.092.0173.0-11.012%
vs Similar (14)91.489.4180.8+1.957%
vs Weaker (8)86.178.1164.2+8.075%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
69-58
69
58
+11
67avg 78
H22/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A24/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
66-67
66
67
-1
62avg 78
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
95-66
95
66
+29
103avg 78
A28/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 78
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 78
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 78
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
53avg 78
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 78
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 78
A17/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
15-14
16-20
15-9
14-14
24-27
21-26
27-16
22-21
15-22
20-8
9-16
18-18
26-13
26-18
25-17
26-21
20-25
34-25
28-22
19-24
22-24
15-27
15-19
27-22
20-20
27-16
21-22
23-14
17-18
10-13
18-24
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
161.4Avg total
86.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)107.055.0162.0+52.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)107.055.0162.0+52.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.275.2161.4+11.070%
Last 5 (5)87.677.0164.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.081.0152.0-10.025%
vs Similar (4)84.077.8161.8+6.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.274.2161.5+13.082%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
JuventusZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A22/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A27/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A05/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H18/09
LKL
85.8Avg total
41.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.985.2+1.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.238.081.2+5.285%-
Last 30 away (17)43.544.888.3-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.844.085.8-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.283.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.446.186.5-5.838%-
vs Similar (14)43.741.985.6+1.871%-
vs Weaker (8)45.637.583.1+8.188%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H22/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A28/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
81.2Avg total
43.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.781.6+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.983.4+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)42.037.479.4+4.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.238.081.2+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.083.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.877.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.241.283.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.237.782.0+6.577%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.222.2
59.7%
55.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
34.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
73.2%15.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.119.8
59.8%
55.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.7
36.7%
34.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.418.4
75.4%
73.2%18.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WLWLLWWLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#1
-4.4
Net rating
+15.7
106.9
Offensive rating
124.0
111.3
Defensive rating
108.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
57.7%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.1%
3-point %
36.7%
58.1%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 124.0Defence111.3 · 108.3Shooting54.6% · 57.7%3-point %31.1% · 36.7%Ball care19.3% · 14.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Juventus   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Juventus wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/09/23HMazeikiai81-74
18/05/23ALietkabelis99-101
15/05/23HLietkabelis86-77
12/05/23ALietkabelis73-85
05/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas78-92
02/05/23HNeptunas85-83
30/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-81
27/04/23ABC Wolves79-106
22/04/23ANevezis134-143 OT
19/04/23HLietkabelis91-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
10/06/23HRytas97-87
08/06/23ARytas68-69
06/06/23HRytas95-80
03/06/23ARytas71-94
01/06/23HRytas108-93
28/05/23ALietkabelis95-66
26/05/23HLietkabelis66-67
24/05/23ALietkabelis86-83
22/05/23HLietkabelis69-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game107.0-107.0
Allowed / game55.0-55.0
Point differential+52.0-+52.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%107.055.0+52.0
2 BC Wolves220100%86.067.0+19.0
3 Rytas220100%101.587.5+14.0
4 Jonava220100%88.078.0+10.0
5 Juventus110100%81.074.0+7.0
6 Siauliai21150%78.075.0+3.0
7 Neptunas21150%86.585.5+1.0
8 Lietkabelis21150%88.091.5-3.5
9 Mazeikiai2020%76.581.5-5.0
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2020%91.0100.5-9.5
11 Nevezis2020%81.095.5-14.5
12 Gargzdai2020%61.5105.5-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1719141969
Zalgiris Kaunas1526251379
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