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Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 May 2023
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 85-83
13-19 25-18 22-21 25-25
Position#5
Record17-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#7
Record16-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 80
A12/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
86-90
86
90
-4
87avg 80
H18/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 80
H27/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
101-103
101
103
-2
94avg 80
A01/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
96avg 80
A11/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
62avg 80
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
95avg 80
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
134-143 OT
134
143
-9
no box
A22/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
79-106
79
106
-27
69avg 80
A27/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
78avg 80
H30/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
11-32
18-19
24-21
25-24
25-18
20-21
16-27
26-19
18-20
21-18
24-23
31-27
25-24
22-23
23-29
16-23
26-11
25-27
21-15
14-14
29-26
9-18
24-19
28-12
16-36
24-23
23-22
21-29
30-27
23-21
29-26
17-31
17-27
19-22
26-26
23-21
18-14
23-19
20-27
183.9Avg total
89.9Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)87.086.4173.4+0.655%
Season at home (15)86.983.3170.2+3.760%
Season away (16)87.089.3176.3-2.350%
Last 10 (10)89.994.0183.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)92.8100.0192.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.092.9174.9-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.790.3182.0+1.358%
vs Weaker (10)89.279.2168.4+10.080%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-54
73
54
+19
68avg 73
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 73
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 73
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 73
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 73
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 73
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 73
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
98avg 73
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 73
H29/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
21-19
19-10
23-8
17-23
18-13
33-22
12-33
18-18
16-11
24-22
18-19
19-31
17-22
17-14
20-19
18-25
29-26
19-19
20-20
18-19
28-15
26-25
17-28
15-27
27-24
34-18
21-22
18-20
27-19
21-13
21-26
26-18
24-32
22-16
22-18
20-19
22-28
18-18
31-21
166.3Avg total
84.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.581.7162.2-1.352%
Season at home (16)85.283.7168.9+1.556%
Season away (15)75.479.6155.0-4.247%
Last 10 (10)84.681.7166.3+2.970%
Last 5 (5)91.685.2176.8+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.782.0156.7-7.322%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.879.3161.1+2.478%
vs Weaker (12)89.180.0169.1+9.175%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A12/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A01/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A11/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A22/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A27/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/04
LKL
88.8Avg total
43.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.787.1+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.540.385.8+5.279%-
Last 30 away (16)43.444.888.2-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.445.488.8-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.490.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.246.487.6-5.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.543.788.2+0.867%-
vs Weaker (10)46.838.685.4+8.280%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/04
LKL
83.4Avg total
40.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.980.4+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.884.9-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.075.9+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.683.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.289.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.240.879.0-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.938.879.7+2.167%-
vs Weaker (12)41.840.181.9+1.850%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.5
58.2%
54.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.0
30.6%
35.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.9
74.6%
74.2%15.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.5
54.8%
54.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.0
34.5%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
74.2%15.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WLLLLWLWLL
Neptunas
WWWWWLLWLW
#5
League position
#7
-3.7
Net rating
+3.8
106.7
Offensive rating
116.5
110.4
Defensive rating
112.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.6%
3-point %
34.5%
64.9%
Assist %
74.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 116.5Defence110.4 · 112.7Shooting53.7% · 53.5%3-point %30.6% · 34.5%Ball care19.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds28.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Juventus wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
13/02/23Neptunas v Juventus98-97
30/11/22Neptunas v Juventus99-86
27/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-86
08/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-77
14/03/22Juventus v Neptunas82-79
27/01/22Juventus v Neptunas76-64
06/11/21Neptunas v Juventus79-88
14/04/21Neptunas v Juventus89-91
03/03/21Juventus v Neptunas98-58
14/02/21Neptunas v Juventus69-86
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-81
27/04/23ABC Wolves79-106
22/04/23ANevezis134-143 OT
19/04/23HLietkabelis91-93
16/04/23AGargzdai76-77
11/04/23AJonava88-76
01/04/23ARytas101-103
27/03/23HSiauliai89-80
18/03/23HPrienai86-90
12/03/23ALietkabelis71-91
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23HGargzdai91-86
25/04/23APrienai94-84
22/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes87-78
18/04/23HNevezis97-91
15/04/23ASiauliai89-87
10/04/23HRytas86-90
03/04/23HLietkabelis73-86
26/03/23HJonava76-70
19/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-91
13/03/23AGargzdai73-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game87.086.987.0
Allowed / game86.483.389.3
Point differential+0.6+3.7-2.3
Avg total173.4170.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)44% (9)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayLWWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%56%47%
Points / game80.585.275.4
Allowed / game81.783.779.6
Point differential-1.3+1.5-4.2
Avg total162.2168.9155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3026487%87.072.0+15.0
2 Rytas3125681%93.083.2+9.7
3 BC Wolves31211068%85.979.1+6.9
4 Lietkabelis31211068%85.581.1+4.5
5 Juventus31171455%87.086.4+0.6
6 Jonava31171455%80.280.5-0.3
7 Neptunas31161552%80.581.7-1.3
8 Nevezis31131842%86.888.5-1.6
9 Siauliai31131842%83.586.4-2.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3282425%79.489.6-10.2
11 Gargzdai3262619%76.184.2-8.1
12 Prienai3242812%79.089.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1325222585
Neptunas1918212583
← all games of the day
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