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Lucca W vs Libertas Moncalieri W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-54
13-11 21-17 22-20 17-6
Position#12
Record7-20
FormWWWLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game73.7
Lucca W 🏆
Italy
vs
Libertas Moncalieri W
Italy
Position#10
Record8-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game70.6
ItalySerie A1 WSerie A1 Women - Semi-finals
Women2022-23
Meetings · Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W
10 Apr 2023
LUCC73
LIBE54
08 Mar 2023
LUCC78
LIBE60
17 Oct 2021
LUCC76
LIBE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Libertas Moncalieri W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valdarno W
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
45-86
45
86
-41
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
51-109
51
109
-58
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
77-50
77
50
+27
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H26/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A06/04
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-14
24-23
18-10
18-20
11-22
12-21
4-23
9-19
9-12
23-21
13-9
15-16
21-26
27-14
15-23
20-31
11-31
9-22
11-25
21-13
22-18
13-16
22-13
13-20
33-18
25-14
16-26
15-13
17-4
25-15
20-18
16-18
21-15
22-15
9-24
18-15
13-17
10-29
18-19
141.9Avg total
67.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)65.473.7139.1-8.326%
Season at home (13)67.770.6138.3-2.931%
Season away (14)63.276.6139.8-13.421%
Last 10 (10)67.974.0141.9-6.140%
Last 5 (5)73.868.0141.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)61.678.3139.9-16.812%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.470.2138.7-1.833%
vs Weaker (4)71.858.2130.0+13.575%
This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Libertas Moncalieri WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
46-69
46
69
-23
A04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H18/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A26/02
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H05/03
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#12
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A08/03
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H12/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H26/03
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#12
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H06/04
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
11-21
16-20
22-18
10-21
6-12
12-22
18-14
21-26
7-26
19-19
19-22
13-20
14-16
24-10
18-18
11-15
21-16
11-17
19-14
13-21
18-22
16-13
13-22
10-17
20-11
19-30
17-21
15-15
15-22
12-18
7-16
18-15
11-15
17-18
11-20
15-18
17-13
29-10
19-18
137.5Avg total
63.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)62.770.6133.2-7.930%
Season at home (14)66.870.3137.1-3.543%
Season away (13)58.270.8129.1-12.615%
Last 10 (10)63.474.1137.5-10.720%
Last 5 (5)62.471.0133.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)57.172.4129.6-15.37%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.768.2135.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (4)69.065.5134.5+3.575%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
Lucca WLibertas Moncalieri W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valdarno W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
18-31
18
31
-13
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
31-62
31
62
-31
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A06/04
Serie A1 W
70.3Avg total
34.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.337.669.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.635.470.1-0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)30.339.469.8-9.119%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.070.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.268.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.140.371.4-9.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.037.371.3-3.344%-
vs Weaker (4)31.826.057.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Libertas Moncalieri WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#4
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H18/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A26/02
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/03
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A08/03
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H12/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H26/03
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H06/04
Serie A1 W
64.4Avg total
28.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.835.166.9-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.833.667.4+0.269%-
Last 30 away (14)29.536.966.4-7.414%-
Last 10 (10)28.236.264.4-8.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.864.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.035.163.1-7.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.335.972.2+0.467%-
vs Weaker (4)31.533.064.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lucca W wins
2
Libertas Moncalieri W wins
DateGameScore
06/04/23Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W80-59
08/03/23Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W78-60
06/12/22Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W79-66
16/01/22Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W58-77
17/10/21Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W76-59
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/23ALibertas Moncalieri W59-80
26/03/23HFaenza W68-72
19/03/23ABrixia W77-50
12/03/23ARagusa W87-78
08/03/23HLibertas Moncalieri W78-60
05/03/23ASchio W51-109
01/03/23HSassari W78-79
26/02/23HSan Giovanni W54-61
19/02/23AVenezia W45-86
04/02/23HValdarno W82-65
Libertas Moncalieri Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/23HLucca W80-59
26/03/23HRagusa W57-68
19/03/23ACampobasso W49-71
12/03/23HVenezia W66-79
08/03/23ALucca W60-78
05/03/23HValdarno W76-81 OT
26/02/23ABrixia W69-64
18/02/23HSchio W66-93
04/02/23AVirtus Bologna W46-69
29/01/23HSassari W65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL26%
HomeWLLWL31%
AwayLLWWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %26%31%21%
Points / game65.467.763.2
Allowed / game73.770.676.6
Point differential-8.3-2.9-13.4
Avg total139.1138.3139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Libertas Moncalieri W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLLWLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%43%15%
Points / game62.766.858.2
Allowed / game70.670.370.8
Point differential-7.9-3.5-12.6
Avg total133.2137.1129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna W2725293%83.562.7+20.8
2 Schio W2825389%83.562.9+20.6
3 Venezia W2723485%78.263.0+15.2
4 Sassari W2718967%73.871.7+2.1
5 San Giovanni W27171063%66.864.5+2.3
6 Campobasso W28151354%65.866.4-0.7
7 Ragusa W27141352%72.469.2+3.2
8 Basket Crema W27121544%69.071.9-2.8
9 San Martino W26111542%66.170.4-4.3
10 Faenza W2781930%67.373.7-6.4
11 Libertas Moncalieri W2781930%62.770.6-7.9
12 Lucca W2772026%65.473.7-8.3
13 Valdarno W2742315%61.378.9-17.7
14 Brixia W262248%60.177.8-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lucca W1321221773
Libertas Moncalieri W111720654
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