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Luis Matte Larrain vs Municipal Chillan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 23 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Postponed
Position#9
Record6-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#8
Record7-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game62.4
Allowed / game67.6
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2024-25
Meetings · Luis Matte Larrain v Municipal Chillan
29 Jun 2024
LUIS49
MUNI64
22 Jun 2024
LUIS v MUNI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Municipal Chillan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
53-76
53
76
-23
42avg 59
A20/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
74-53
74
53
+21
74avg 59
H28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A04/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
61avg 59
H12/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
22avg 59
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
86avg 59
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 59
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
65avg 59
A02/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
66-70
66
70
-4
59avg 59
H15/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-98
62
98
-36
46avg 59
A16/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
12-26
11-18
14-19
13-10
11-15
23-11
27-17
–
–
–
–
19-12
6-15
17-16
20-8
11-17
15-20
20-16
26-22
29-20
24-18
20-31
21-23
17-25
11-15
19-19
11-11
14-19
21-20
21-20
16-16
25-23
19-11
12-24
10-12
13-30
18-23
16-24
15-21
141.9Avg total
67.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.772.8141.5-4.140%
Season at home (8)71.569.0140.5+2.562%
Season away (7)65.477.1142.6-11.714%
Last 10 (10)67.974.0141.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)70.481.0151.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.672.6137.2-8.136%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.864.9131.7+1.945%
vs Weaker (5)68.666.4135.0+2.260%
This opponent (Municipal Chillan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Municipal ChillanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChillan
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
L
52-70
52
70
-18
43avg 53
A28/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
62avg 53
A11/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
61-71
61
71
-10
no box
H18/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
no box
H19/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
69-67
69
67
+2
62avg 53
H25/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
40avg 53
H01/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
55-58
55
58
-3
45avg 53
H02/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
54-72
54
72
-18
41avg 53
H08/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
63-56
63
56
+7
no box
H09/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
73-62
73
62
+11
no box
H15/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
18-17
14-13
9-19
22-20
12-24
19-19
19-19
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
20-21
20-15
11-19
18-12
9-16
17-15
10-14
18-16
21-18
15-13
9-12
10-15
11-12
14-24
17-21
12-15
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
125.3Avg total
60.5Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)62.467.6130.0-5.241%
Season at home (9)61.961.0122.9+0.956%
Season away (8)63.075.0138.0-12.025%
Last 10 (10)60.564.8125.3-4.340%
Last 5 (5)59.861.8121.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)60.778.3139.0-17.621%
vs Similar ◀ (8)62.864.2127.0-1.550%
vs Weaker (3)74.369.3143.7+5.0100%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Luis Matte LarrainMunicipal Chillan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A20/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H28/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H12/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A02/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A16/06
LNB 2
69.6Avg total
32.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)32.936.869.7-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (9)35.634.269.8+1.356%-
Last 30 away (9)30.239.369.6-9.111%-
Last 10 (9)32.736.969.6-4.222%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.737.068.7-5.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.234.266.4-2.040%-
vs Weaker (2)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Municipal Chillan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Municipal ChillanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A28/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A11/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H25/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H01/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H02/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H08/06
LNB 2
67.7Avg total
31.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)31.438.569.9-7.132%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.135.168.2-2.050%-
Last 30 away (15)30.340.871.1-10.520%-
Last 10 (6)31.736.067.7-4.333%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.667.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.440.369.6-10.924%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.333.368.7+2.067%-
vs Weaker (2)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.219.4
46.0%
44.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.9
28.5%
28.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws16.310.7
65.6%
63.6%10.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Municipal Chillantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Municipal Chillan: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.913.8
37.4%
44.9%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
28.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.110.6
65.8%
63.6%10.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
LLLLWLWLWL
Municipal Chillan
WWLLLWWLLL
#9
League position
#8
-8.2
Net rating
-5.6
90.6
Offensive rating
87.4
98.8
Defensive rating
93.0
44.9%
Effective FG%
42.4%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
21.6%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.5%
3-point %
33.1%
56.1%
Assist %
59.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 87.4Defence98.8 · 93.0Shooting44.9% · 42.4%3-point %28.5% · 33.1%Ball care19.3% · 21.6%Off. rebounds27.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Municipal Chillan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luis Matte Larrain wins
1
Municipal Chillan wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Municipal Chillan v Luis Matte Larrain76-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/24AColo Colo62-98
15/06/24HArabe Valparaiso66-70
02/06/24ABoston C. C.72-75
26/05/24HBrisas58-70
19/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe94-92
19/05/24ATruenos De Talca72-75
12/05/24HStadio Italiano62-51
04/05/24AAleman66-80
28/04/24HSergio Ceppi74-53
20/04/24AMunicipal Chillan53-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe73-62
09/06/24HBoston C. C.63-56
08/06/24HTruenos De Talca54-72
02/06/24HSergio Ceppi55-58
01/06/24HStadio Italiano54-61
25/05/24HAleman69-67
19/05/24HArabe Valparaiso52-49
18/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol61-71
11/05/24AColo Colo72-82
28/04/24ABoston C. C.52-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%62%14%
Points / game68.771.565.4
Allowed / game72.869.077.1
Point differential-4.1+2.5-11.7
Avg total141.5140.5142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Municipal Chillan
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeLLLWW56%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game62.461.963.0
Allowed / game67.661.075.0
Point differential-5.2+0.9-12.0
Avg total130.0122.9138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo17170100%84.962.5+22.4
2 Sergio Ceppi1711665%74.673.4+1.2
3 Boston C. C.1610662%71.268.1+3.1
4 Aleman1710759%74.571.0+3.5
5 Truenos De Talca169756%71.868.3+3.5
6 Stadio Italiano158753%66.564.6+1.9
7 Quilpue Basquetbol167944%66.170.6-4.4
8 Arabe Valparaiso167944%65.771.4-5.8
9 Municipal Chillan1771041%62.467.6-5.2
10 Luis Matte Larrain156940%68.772.8-4.1
11 Brisas1531220%66.771.2-4.5
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1721512%71.784.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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