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Luiss Roma vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-80
23-21 20-25 13-18 28-16
Position#22
Record6-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#14
Record11-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game83.8
ItalySerie A2Round 20· Palazzetto dello Sport
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luiss Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
78avg 71
H18/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
69-87
69
87
-18
49avg 71
A26/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
79-74
79
74
+5
69avg 71
H02/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
71-61
71
61
+10
68avg 71
A06/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
89-92
89
92
-3
78avg 71
H09/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
no box
H17/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
87avg 71
A22/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
83-80
83
80
+3
129avg 71
H30/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
94-88
94
88
+6
88avg 71
A06/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 71
A14/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
31-22
15-30
24-26
24-23
23-23
9-17
13-24
22-18
22-17
17-24
18-15
22-20
20-15
11-9
18-17
17-11
27-26
13-28
32-27
23-23
22-24
18-20
26-22
26-29
17-26
25-22
30-28
17-18
17-20
24-25
25-17
28-26
17-18
24-18
25-26
19-18
23-23
13-17
17-23
170.7Avg total
83.2Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.387.4166.7-8.132%
Season at home (9)79.986.6166.4-6.733%
Season away (10)78.888.1166.9-9.330%
Last 10 (10)83.287.5170.7-4.340%
Last 5 (5)88.091.0179.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.895.4175.2-15.70%
vs Similar (10)78.980.1159.0-1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
W
70-65
70
65
+5
62avg 76
H17/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
83-97
83
97
-14
69avg 76
A25/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 76
H01/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
65-63
65
63
+2
48avg 76
A06/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
83-104
83
104
-21
75avg 76
A10/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
86-83
86
83
+3
80avg 76
H16/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
80-69
80
69
+11
67avg 76
A23/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
90avg 76
A30/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 76
H06/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 76
H13/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-11
16-12
22-19
20-23
12-21
25-22
25-25
21-29
31-22
11-21
21-23
18-13
14-13
12-18
22-16
17-16
18-23
17-31
23-29
25-21
21-25
27-18
23-16
15-24
10-22
24-13
23-13
23-21
16-15
23-24
20-22
26-23
21-12
17-33
25-18
21-23
24-18
18-25
25-18
14-26
161.5Avg total
79.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.583.8167.3-0.458%
Season at home (10)83.483.4166.8+0.050%
Season away (9)83.684.3167.9-0.867%
Last 10 (10)79.881.7161.5-1.960%
Last 5 (5)83.281.8165.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.888.0170.8-5.236%
vs Similar (16)80.483.0163.4-2.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)92.780.0172.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
Luiss RomaUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A26/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A06/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A22/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/01
Serie A2
85.9Avg total
43.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)42.443.185.5-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (9)42.240.782.9+1.644%-
Last 30 away (10)42.645.387.9-2.760%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.885.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.247.090.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (10)41.739.681.3+2.170%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H17/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A25/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A10/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H16/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A30/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/01
Serie A2
76.8Avg total
36.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.783.7-1.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.143.585.7-1.427%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.981.7-2.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.976.8-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.645.586.1-4.80%-
vs Similar (16)40.941.081.9-0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.342.084.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.1
50.3%
50.3%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.4
35.6%
34.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
74.2%15.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.914.1
47.2%
50.3%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.6
35.4%
34.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.815.6
78.8%
74.2%15.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luiss Roma
LWWLLLWWLL
Urania Milano
LLWWWLWWLW
#22
League position
#14
-7.1
Net rating
-3.1
111.2
Offensive rating
105.3
118.3
Defensive rating
108.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.6%
3-point %
35.4%
54.2%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 105.3Defence118.3 · 108.3Shooting51.9% · 50.2%3-point %35.6% · 35.4%Ball care16.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.5% · 21.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Luiss Roma   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luiss Roma wins
1
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Urania Milano v Luiss Roma102-89
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ASebastiani Rieti72-81
06/01/24ALatina94-88
30/12/23HAgrigento83-80
22/12/23ABasket Torino98-105
17/12/23HCantu93-101 OT
09/12/23HJuVi Cremona89-92
06/12/23AVigevano71-61
02/12/23HMonferrato79-74
26/11/23ATreviglio69-87
18/11/23HTrapani84-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HJuVi Cremona81-87
06/01/24HSebastiani Rieti84-86
30/12/23ACantu85-84
23/12/23ALatina80-69
16/12/23HVigevano86-83
10/12/23ATrapani83-104
06/12/23AAgrigento65-63
01/12/23HTreviglio81-79
25/11/23AMonferrato83-97
17/11/23HBasket Torino70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%33%30%
Points / game79.379.978.8
Allowed / game87.486.688.1
Point differential-8.1-6.7-9.3
Avg total166.7166.4166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game83.583.483.6
Allowed / game83.883.484.3
Point differential-0.4+0.0-0.8
Avg total167.3166.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2019195%92.377.0+15.3
2 Fortitudo Bologna1916384%77.171.1+6.0
3 Forli1915479%79.474.3+5.2
4 Udine1914574%80.068.9+11.1
5 Cantu1914574%88.080.7+7.3
6 Trieste1913668%79.675.9+3.7
7 Basket Torino2013765%84.881.5+3.2
8 Verona1912763%76.773.1+3.6
9 Sebastiani Rieti1912763%82.178.9+3.2
10 JuVi Cremona1911858%87.885.3+2.5
11 Urania Milano1911858%83.583.8-0.4
12 Treviglio1910953%81.982.0-0.1
13 Assigeco Piacenza1991047%77.075.0+2.0
14 Nardo1981142%77.983.8-5.9
15 Vigevano1971237%79.383.0-3.7
16 Cento1971237%73.478.6-5.2
17 Cividale2071335%73.476.6-3.2
18 Rimini1961332%76.177.7-1.6
19 Luiss Roma1961332%79.387.4-8.1
20 Agrigento1951426%75.881.2-5.4
21 Orzinuovi1941521%71.276.0-4.8
22 Monferrato1941521%79.184.1-5.0
23 Chiusi1831517%62.773.9-11.2
24 Latina1931616%78.288.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luiss Roma2320132884
Urania Milano2125181680
← all games of the day
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