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Treviglio vs Luiss Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-69
23-24 23-23 17-9 24-13
Position#16
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#22
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game89.1
ItalySerie A2Round 11· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luiss Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
90avg 83
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
90avg 83
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
48avg 83
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 83
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
96avg 83
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
89avg 83
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
76avg 83
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
104avg 83
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
92-90
92
90
+2
81avg 83
A19/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
23-25
19-16
22-14
23-23
25-17
22-24
20-25
30-20
17-20
26-29
16-19
20-28
20-20
13-14
10-22
18-18
19-18
13-14
26-19
16-15
24-22
17-20
31-22
21-11
28-24
18-16
28-18
23-28
16-27
26-19
13-22
23-20
22-25
37-22
18-29
25-28
19-25
24-20
24-17
171.1Avg total
85.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.985.2171.1+0.770%
Season at home (5)88.690.2178.8-1.660%
Season away (5)83.280.2163.4+3.080%
Last 10 (10)85.985.2171.1+0.770%
Last 5 (5)90.686.0176.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.791.0176.7-5.367%
vs Similar (13)83.978.5162.4+5.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.475.0154.4+4.457%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
66avg 65
A01/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 65
H07/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
77-101
77
101
-24
64avg 65
A11/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
77-108
77
108
-31
72avg 65
A16/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-79
71
79
-8
56avg 65
H21/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
62-70
62
70
-8
40avg 65
A29/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 65
H01/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
65-90
65
90
-25
51avg 65
H05/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
89-102
89
102
-13
82avg 65
A11/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
78avg 65
H18/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
19-17
17-17
20-23
21-16
23-22
19-19
16-14
21-24
24-29
16-22
16-26
21-23
19-36
19-29
18-20
21-21
17-20
12-17
21-21
13-20
13-18
20-12
16-20
24-14
27-26
15-24
10-22
15-25
20-15
10-22
20-28
27-20
27-24
17-25
18-33
14-28
31-22
15-30
24-26
165.0Avg total
75.9Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.989.1165.0-13.220%
Season at home (5)75.086.4161.4-11.420%
Season away (5)76.891.8168.6-15.020%
Last 10 (10)75.989.1165.0-13.220%
Last 5 (5)75.290.8166.0-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.297.0174.2-19.80%
vs Similar (5)74.681.2155.8-6.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
TreviglioLuiss Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Serie A2
87.5Avg total
43.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.881.6+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.640.583.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.139.180.1+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.244.387.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.088.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.745.089.7-0.367%-
vs Similar (13)42.540.282.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.638.378.9+2.450%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A29/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H01/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H05/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A11/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/11
Serie A2
86.1Avg total
42.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)42.044.186.1-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (5)42.641.884.4+0.840%-
Last 30 away (5)41.446.487.8-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.186.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.484.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.446.889.2-4.420%-
vs Similar (5)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.6%
50.3%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.8
38.5%
34.1%32.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.3%
74.2%13.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.6
49.8%
50.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.0
32.4%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.614.8
71.8%
74.2%14.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviglio
WWLWWWLWWL
Luiss Roma
LLLLLLLLWW
#16
League position
#22
+1.6
Net rating
-17.9
108.2
Offensive rating
102.7
106.6
Defensive rating
120.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
61.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.5%
3-point %
32.4%
68.6%
Assist %
50.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 102.7Defence106.6 · 120.6Shooting53.6% · 49.3%3-point %38.5% · 32.4%Ball care16.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds23.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Treviglio   ■ Luiss Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Treviglio wins
0
Luiss Roma wins
No previous meetings.
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ALatina92-90
12/11/23HJuVi Cremona100-96
05/11/23HTrapani78-96
01/11/23AVigevano95-69
29/10/23HMonferrato88-79
22/10/23AAgrigento76-69
15/10/23ABasket Torino63-84
11/10/23HSebastiani Rieti89-88
07/10/23ACantu90-89
01/10/23HUrania Milano88-92 OT
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HTrapani84-106
11/11/23AUrania Milano89-102
05/11/23HSebastiani Rieti65-90
01/11/23HLatina76-86
29/10/23AAgrigento62-70
21/10/23HBasket Torino71-79
16/10/23ACantu77-108
11/10/23AJuVi Cremona77-101
07/10/23HVigevano79-71
01/10/23AMonferrato79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game85.988.683.2
Allowed / game85.290.280.2
Point differential+0.7-1.6+3.0
Avg total171.1178.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game75.975.076.8
Allowed / game89.186.491.8
Point differential-13.2-11.4-15.0
Avg total165.0161.4168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani109190%93.381.2+12.1
2 Fortitudo Bologna109190%80.072.5+7.5
3 Cantu108280%90.580.5+10.0
4 Forli108280%80.673.8+6.8
5 Udine107370%81.271.9+9.3
6 Trieste107370%78.676.0+2.6
7 Treviglio107370%85.985.2+0.7
8 JuVi Cremona106460%89.582.9+6.6
9 Sebastiani Rieti106460%83.578.2+5.3
10 Verona106460%76.272.5+3.7
11 Basket Torino106460%84.180.8+3.3
12 Nardo106460%80.384.9-4.6
13 Urania Milano116555%85.585.3+0.3
14 Assigeco Piacenza104640%83.182.3+0.8
15 Cento104640%75.679.1-3.5
16 Cividale103730%75.277.0-1.8
17 Vigevano103730%79.284.8-5.6
18 Agrigento103730%74.680.4-5.8
19 Monferrato113827%81.686.1-4.5
20 Rimini102820%72.577.0-4.5
21 Orzinuovi102820%71.678.1-6.5
22 Latina102820%79.187.9-8.8
23 Chiusi102820%64.474.2-9.8
24 Luiss Roma102820%75.989.1-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio2323172487
Luiss Roma242391369
← all games of the day
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