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Lusitania vs Barcelos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 73-68
19-15 15-20 23-16 16-17
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalProligaRound 1· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lusitania v Barcelos
05 Oct 2026
LUSI73
BARC68
12 Dec 2015
LUSI72
BARC65
01 Nov 2014
LUSI77
BARC79
04 Jan 2014
LUSI70
BARC73
15 Dec 2012
LUSI80
BARC81
04 Dec 2011
LUSI68
BARC56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
78avg 79
H28/02
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
83-76
83
76
+7
70avg 79
A07/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
78avg 79
A14/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
99-71
99
71
+28
78avg 79
A15/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
89-69
89
69
+20
93avg 79
H22/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-60
87
60
+27
87avg 79
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 79
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 79
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 79
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 79
H02/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
9-25
27-10
29-34
28-18
16-21
18-20
21-17
32-18
19-20
22-25
15-23
30-20
17-25
27-8
25-18
20-16
23-22
25-8
21-23
25-10
20-16
23-18
19-16
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
165.6Avg total
90.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.475.2165.6+15.2100%
Last 5 (5)90.873.0163.8+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)78.376.8155.2+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.974.5161.5+12.486%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelos
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
57-93
57
93
-36
no box
H26/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A29/03
LPB
Galitos
#4
L
60-63
60
63
-3
no box
H09/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
58-82
58
82
-24
no box
A10/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
no box
H16/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
A17/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
A22/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
no box
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
no box
H01/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
18-21
10-21
11-24
22-25
19-22
16-17
12-21
22-11
13-25
18-19
7-8
11-19
14-21
15-21
18-21
21-28
16-23
17-18
11-18
21-12
13-16
12-12
12-24
26-21
14-12
18-22
10-17
20-15
17-16
19-20
15-11
18-22
20-16
9-13
18-18
10-17
12-19
17-10
17-20
137.0Avg total
62.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)62.774.3137.0-11.610%
Last 5 (5)63.666.6130.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.873.3137.1-9.520%
vs Similar (7)70.671.0141.6-0.457%
vs Weaker (3)69.757.3127.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -5.1-5.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -5.1-5.1
LusitaniaBarcelos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/02
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A14/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
83.7Avg total
46.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.280.3+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.834.575.3+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)43.342.085.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)46.037.783.7+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)48.035.283.2+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)37.540.077.5-2.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.837.481.2+6.568%-
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H26/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/03
LPB
Galitos
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H09/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A10/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H16/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A17/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H01/05
LPB
73.3Avg total
34.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.536.770.2-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.939.072.9-5.129%-
Last 30 away (16)33.134.767.8-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.873.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.267.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.538.271.8-4.735%-
vs Similar (7)33.636.770.3-3.129%-
vs Weaker (3)33.026.759.7+6.3100%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.428.5
56.5%
52.5%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.66.0
32.3%
30.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.914.1
67.5%
67.3%14.1
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelostheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lusitania wins
7
Barcelos wins
DateGameScore
12/12/15Lusitania v Barcelos72-65
10/10/15Barcelos v Lusitania70-53
24/01/15Barcelos v Lusitania93-64
01/11/14Lusitania v Barcelos77-79
06/04/14Barcelos v Lusitania86-73
04/01/14Lusitania v Barcelos70-73
29/03/13Barcelos v Lusitania63-64
15/12/12Lusitania v Barcelos80-81 OT
24/03/12Barcelos v Lusitania78-55
04/12/11Lusitania v Barcelos68-56
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70
29/03/26HSampaense87-60
22/03/26HSangalhos89-69
15/03/26ASampaense99-71
14/03/26ABenfica Lisboa B88-86
07/03/26ACB Queluz83-76
28/02/26HAcademica91-85
Barceloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/16HOvarense56-66
30/04/16HOvarense65-69
24/04/16AOvarense71-62
22/04/16AOvarense68-72
17/04/16AFC Porto58-64
16/04/16HOvarense65-87
10/04/16AOliveirense58-82
09/04/16HGalitos60-63
29/03/16ABenfica69-85
26/03/16HFC Porto57-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Barcelos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos110100%74.052.0+22.0
2 Illiabum110100%85.075.0+10.0
3 Maia110100%105.096.0+9.0
4 Galitos Aveiro110100%71.063.0+8.0
5 Galomar110100%72.064.0+8.0
6 Vasco Da Gama110100%90.082.0+8.0
7 CB Queluz110100%65.059.0+6.0
8 Benfica Lisboa B1010%59.065.0-6.0
9 Barreirense1010%63.071.0-8.0
10 Sampaense1010%82.090.0-8.0
11 Santo Andre1010%64.072.0-8.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense1010%96.0105.0-9.0
13 Academica1010%75.085.0-10.0
14 Galitos Barreiro1010%52.074.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1915231673
Barcelos1520161768
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