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Lusitania vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 91-85
26-16 9-25 27-10 29-34
Position#3
Record10-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#16
Record1-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game62.4
Allowed / game81.3
PortugalProligaRound 6· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lusitania v Academica
10 Apr 2027
LUSI v ACAD
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
LUSI91
ACAD85
25 Oct 2025
LUSI66
ACAD56
21 Dec 2021
LUSI96
ACAD79
17 Oct 2020
LUSI93
ACAD83
09 Mar 2013
LUSI61
ACAD76
03 Dec 2011
LUSI74
ACAD70
11 Dec 2010
LUSI57
ACAD64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
64-65
64
65
-1
59avg 78
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 78
A08/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
100-71
100
71
+29
110avg 78
A13/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 78
A27/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 78
H04/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 78
A10/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
89-72
89
72
+17
94avg 78
H24/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
112avg 78
A31/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 78
H12/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 78
A22/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
13-8
18-16
17-19
28-19
25-23
23-20
24-12
22-23
21-18
34-3
23-27
15-24
24-18
25-16
17-27
24-16
25-17
28-22
11-19
23-23
16-23
14-16
19-20
22-8
28-24
25-20
14-20
17-23
24-23
22-24
28-21
16-19
17-20
22-12
21-22
24-20
20-25
23-21
18-11
164.0Avg total
86.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.275.2155.4+4.956%
Season at home (9)76.268.9145.1+7.367%
Season away (9)84.181.6165.7+2.644%
Last 10 (10)86.477.6164.0+8.870%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (7)71.775.0146.7-3.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.078.8167.8+10.376%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
58-90
58
90
-32
41avg 48
A29/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
59-88
59
88
-29
37avg 48
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
71-100
71
100
-29
48avg 48
H13/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
65-75
65
75
-10
50avg 48
A20/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 48
H03/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
60-81
60
81
-21
49avg 48
A10/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
65-69
65
69
-4
57avg 48
A25/01
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 48
H01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 48
A07/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
58avg 48
H21/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
14-19
8-27
18-21
15-25
16-18
16-25
12-20
23-22
18-21
3-34
27-23
16-26
17-18
17-11
15-20
16-21
21-24
18-20
11-24
15-21
14-22
11-13
20-25
24-26
15-19
17-10
9-14
22-19
15-20
22-16
27-19
16-20
20-21
17-24
22-16
16-22
18-11
14-16
16-21
148.6Avg total
66.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)62.481.3143.7-18.86%
Season at home (9)63.879.1142.9-15.311%
Season away (9)61.183.4144.6-22.30%
Last 10 (10)66.981.7148.6-14.810%
Last 5 (5)70.075.0145.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)62.278.4140.6-16.319%
vs Similar (3)63.369.0132.3-5.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
LusitaniaAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H04/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A10/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H24/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A22/02
Proliga
81.6Avg total
42.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.881.3+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.937.278.1+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.584.5-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.681.6+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.683.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (7)34.137.471.6-3.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.440.484.8+4.062%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A29/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H03/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A25/01
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/02
Proliga
76.7Avg total
34.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.541.473.9-8.910%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.338.170.3-5.813%-
Last 30 away (15)32.744.877.5-12.17%-
Last 10 (10)34.941.876.7-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.275.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)32.741.974.6-9.211%-
vs Similar (3)30.737.067.7-6.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.226.8
58.0%
50.0%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.0
28.6%
30.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
67.4%13.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.719.7
47.2%
50.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.94.5
23.8%
30.3%13.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
67.4%13.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WWWWLWLWWL
Academica
LLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#16
+9.8
Net rating
-17.9
101.2
Offensive rating
80.5
91.4
Defensive rating
98.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
43.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.5%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.6%
3-point %
23.8%
63.1%
Assist %
45.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 80.5Defence91.4 · 98.3Shooting53.3% · 43.6%3-point %28.6% · 23.8%Ball care19.7% · 20.5%Off. rebounds41.7% · 20.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Lusitania   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lusitania wins
2
Academica wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Academica v Lusitania71-100
25/10/25Lusitania v Academica66-56
12/02/22Academica v Lusitania89-99
21/12/21Lusitania v Academica96-79
17/01/21Academica v Lusitania83-84
17/10/20Lusitania v Academica93-83
09/03/13Lusitania v Academica61-76
01/12/12Academica v Lusitania66-55
17/03/12Academica v Lusitania70-77
03/12/11Lusitania v Academica74-70
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AGalomar85-77
12/02/26HSanto Andre76-73
31/01/26ASangalhos109-103 OT
24/01/26HBenfica Lisboa B89-72
10/01/26ACD Povoa72-82
04/01/26HSangalhos88-74
27/12/25AMaia81-85
13/12/25AAcademica100-71
08/12/25ASangalhos100-74
07/12/25HIlliabum64-65
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HBenfica Lisboa B64-70
07/02/26ASangalhos75-81
01/02/26HGalomar86-74
25/01/26ASanto Andre65-69
10/01/26ASampaense60-81
03/01/26HCD Povoa66-89
20/12/25ASangalhos65-75
13/12/25HLusitania71-100
07/12/25HMaia59-88
29/11/25AIlliabum58-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game80.276.284.1
Allowed / game75.268.981.6
Point differential+4.9+7.3+2.6
Avg total155.4145.1165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL6%
HomeLLLWL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %6%11%0%
Points / game62.463.861.1
Allowed / game81.379.183.4
Point differential-18.8-15.3-22.3
Avg total143.7142.9144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa1918195%85.666.7+18.9
2 CAB Madeira1916384%84.172.6+11.5
3 Portimonense1914574%81.474.9+6.4
4 Illiabum1913668%78.969.9+8.9
5 Imortal B1912763%79.579.6-0.1
6 Maia1810856%81.874.0+7.8
7 Lusitania1810856%80.275.2+4.9
8 Galomar2011955%84.580.5+4.1
9 Ginasio189950%76.279.2-3.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense1991047%79.176.4+2.7
11 Sampaense1991047%70.176.4-6.3
12 Benfica Lisboa B2071335%70.572.8-2.2
13 Santo Andre1961332%74.279.1-4.9
14 CB Queluz1931616%69.984.2-14.3
15 Sangalhos1931616%70.086.1-16.1
16 Academica181176%62.481.3-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania269272991
Academica1625103485
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