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Sampaense vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-99
20-30 25-17 8-27 18-25
Position#10
Record9-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#3
Record13-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game76.2
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sampaense v Lusitania
02 May 2027
SAMP v LUSI
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SAMP71
LUSI99
04 Oct 2025
SAMP80
LUSI74
19 Apr 2025
SAMP84
LUSI103
29 Apr 2017
SAMP109
LUSI97
25 Feb 2017
SAMP65
LUSI96
18 Apr 2015
SAMP66
LUSI78
08 Dec 2013
SAMP89
LUSI81
22 Dec 2012
SAMP77
LUSI74
15 Oct 2011
SAMP56
LUSI61
13 Feb 2011
SAMP102
LUSI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
85-76 OT
85
76
+9
66avg 63
H20/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
55avg 63
A03/01
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
77avg 63
H10/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 63
H24/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 63
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H14/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
51-78
51
78
-27
34avg 63
A22/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
52-78
52
78
-26
no box
H28/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
54-67
54
67
-13
40avg 63
A07/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
59-76
59
76
-17
45avg 63
A14/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
19-18
24-20
16-15
8-26
21-20
14-19
26-18
21-15
22-14
13-11
25-20
21-17
21-23
21-20
15-17
9-20
18-16
22-12
15-13
13-17
29-12
17-19
16-18
19-24
9-16
7-25
16-13
13-22
14-21
7-22
18-13
16-10
18-14
4-18
16-25
14-22
17-12
6-21
22-21
139.0Avg total
66.8Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.875.9144.7-7.143%
Season at home (10)75.577.7153.2-2.260%
Season away (11)62.674.3136.9-11.627%
Last 10 (10)66.872.2139.0-5.450%
Last 5 (5)58.273.0131.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.981.1149.9-12.225%
vs Similar (6)80.778.0158.7+2.750%
vs Weaker (8)74.572.5147.0+2.062%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 77
A27/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 77
H04/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 77
A10/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
89-72
89
72
+17
94avg 77
H24/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
112avg 77
A31/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 77
H12/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 77
A22/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
78avg 77
H28/02
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
83-76
83
76
+7
70avg 77
A07/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
78avg 77
A14/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
24-18
25-16
17-27
24-16
25-17
28-22
11-19
23-23
16-23
14-16
19-20
22-8
28-24
25-20
14-20
17-23
24-23
22-24
28-21
16-19
17-20
22-12
21-22
24-20
20-25
23-21
18-11
26-16
9-25
27-10
29-34
28-18
16-21
18-20
21-17
32-18
19-20
22-25
15-23
167.5Avg total
86.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.276.2157.4+5.062%
Season at home (10)77.770.5148.2+7.270%
Season away (11)84.481.5165.8+2.955%
Last 10 (10)86.281.3167.5+4.980%
Last 5 (5)84.679.4164.0+5.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)72.773.8146.5-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.379.1167.4+9.177%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
SampaenseLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H20/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/01
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A22/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A07/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/03
Proliga
69.1Avg total
33.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.074.7-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.439.377.7-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)32.938.871.7-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)33.435.769.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.066.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.040.072.0-8.025%-
vs Similar (6)41.342.283.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (8)38.834.873.5+4.062%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H04/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A10/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H24/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A22/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/02
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A14/03
Proliga
82.6Avg total
42.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.881.7+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.836.777.5+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.485.3+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.182.6+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.481.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)35.336.872.2-1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.240.384.5+3.959%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.2
44.9%
50.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.7
26.6%
30.3%17.1
🏀 Free throws21.014.5
69.0%
67.4%14.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.126.7
55.5%
50.0%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.9
28.6%
30.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws22.514.6
64.9%
67.4%14.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LLLLWWWWLW
Lusitania
WWWWWWWLWL
#10
League position
#3
-9.1
Net rating
+5.1
83.1
Offensive rating
95.5
92.1
Defensive rating
90.4
43.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
43.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.6%
3-point %
28.6%
46.3%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence83.1 · 95.5Defence92.1 · 90.4Shooting43.1% · 51.7%3-point %26.6% · 28.6%Ball care18.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds29.4% · 43.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Sampaense   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sampaense wins
8
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Lusitania v Sampaense87-46
04/10/25Sampaense v Lusitania80-74
19/04/25Sampaense v Lusitania84-103
22/02/25Lusitania v Sampaense100-80
29/04/17Sampaense v Lusitania109-97
02/04/17Lusitania v Sampaense88-87
25/02/17Sampaense v Lusitania65-96
10/12/16Lusitania v Sampaense88-83
18/04/15Sampaense v Lusitania66-78
10/01/15Lusitania v Sampaense68-60
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ACB Queluz59-76
07/03/26AAcademica54-67
28/02/26HGalomar52-78
22/02/26ASanto Andre51-78
14/02/26HSangalhos75-66
01/02/26ABenfica Lisboa B64-61
24/01/26HCB Queluz78-77
10/01/26HAcademica81-60
03/01/26AIlliabum69-83
20/12/25HGinasio85-76 OT
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ABenfica Lisboa B88-86
07/03/26ACB Queluz83-76
28/02/26HAcademica91-85
22/02/26AGalomar85-77
12/02/26HSanto Andre76-73
31/01/26ASangalhos109-103 OT
24/01/26HBenfica Lisboa B89-72
10/01/26ACD Povoa72-82
04/01/26HSangalhos88-74
27/12/25AMaia81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game68.875.562.6
Allowed / game75.977.774.3
Point differential-7.1-2.2-11.6
Avg total144.7153.2136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game81.277.784.4
Allowed / game76.270.581.5
Point differential+5.0+7.2+2.9
Avg total157.4148.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2220291%85.567.3+18.2
2 CAB Madeira2118386%83.372.7+10.7
3 Portimonense2215768%80.975.6+5.3
4 Illiabum2214864%77.370.7+6.6
5 Lusitania2113862%81.276.2+5.0
6 Galomar2213959%84.779.6+5.1
7 Imortal B2213959%78.279.4-1.2
8 Maia2112957%82.173.1+9.0
9 Ginasio21111052%77.178.9-1.8
10 Ginasio Olhanense2191243%77.678.0-0.4
11 Sampaense2191243%68.875.9-7.1
12 Benfica Lisboa B2271532%71.573.9-2.5
13 Santo Andre2271532%73.878.1-4.3
14 CB Queluz2141719%70.583.0-12.5
15 Sangalhos2241818%71.186.2-15.1
16 Academica2131814%64.079.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense202581871
Lusitania3017272599
← all games of the day
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