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Lusitania vs Santo Andre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-85
13-18 13-33 22-19 32-15
Position#6
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game70.2
Vs
81%
19%
■ LUSI 81%■ SANT 19%
Pythia win probability
Projected 83-73
Projected total 155.0
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game72.8
PortugalProligaRound 5· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lusitania v Santo Andre
31 Oct 2026
LUSI80
SANT85
12 Feb 2026
LUSI76
SANT73
08 Feb 2025
LUSI66
SANT82
07 Dec 2024
LUSI92
SANT79
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Lusitania host Santo Andre in the Proliga. Pythia makes Lusitania the favourite at 81% and projects 83-73, about 155 points in all (over 152.5: 56%). On the market's main spread (Lusitania -9.5) Pythia gives Lusitania 52% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Lusitania are 3-1 this season (78.8 scored, 70.2 allowed a game), form WWWWL; Santo Andre are 3-1 this season (77.5 scored, 72.8 allowed a game), form LLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
81.2%fair 1.23
Best odds1.29
Implied75.7%
Edge+5.5pp
Santo Andre winWon
18.8%fair 5.31
Best odds3.75
Implied24.3%
Edge-5.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
89-69
89
69
+20
93avg 81
H22/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-60
87
60
+27
87avg 81
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 81
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 81
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 81
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 81
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#12
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 81
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 81
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#4
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 81
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 81
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
23-22
25-8
21-23
25-10
20-16
23-18
19-16
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
157.3Avg total
85.8Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.870.2149.0+8.575%
Season at home (2)75.071.5146.5+3.5100%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.871.5157.3+14.390%
Last 5 (5)80.869.8150.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.081.7155.7-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.376.8155.2+1.550%
vs Weaker (21)86.872.4159.1+14.490%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndrePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAndre
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#14
L
72-73 OT
72
73
-1
65avg 65
H21/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
56avg 65
H28/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
57avg 65
H03/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 65
A19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
94-61
94
61
+33
98avg 65
A25/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 65
H02/05
Proliga
Galomar
#4
L
64-72
64
72
-8
40avg 65
H03/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
56avg 65
A10/10
Proliga
Maia
#9
W
72-59
72
59
+13
67avg 65
H17/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#7
W
96-87
96
87
+9
87avg 65
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
10-16
23-14
12-10
16-11
15-14
21-13
8-13
12-29
15-21
29-17
14-18
20-21
20-22
22-26
18-18
21-19
19-12
30-23
24-7
13-17
23-27
18-21
20-21
13-19
22-18
11-19
18-16
25-15
21-12
13-23
19-23
10-20
21-11
18-16
23-12
26-18
30-21
19-23
21-25
149.4Avg total
76.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.572.8150.2+4.875%
Season at home (2)68.065.5133.5+2.550%
Season away (2)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.073.4149.4+2.650%
Last 5 (5)76.875.4152.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.282.5154.7-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.173.9143.0-4.729%
vs Weaker (13)79.771.1150.8+8.677%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
67.3%
@ 1.59+12.4pp
Under 147.5
32.7%
@ 1.94-12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
1.94
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Over 152.5
Over 152.5
55.6%
@ 1.83+6.7pp
Under 152.5
44.4%
@ 1.83-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.68
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5
Over 157.5
43.5%
Under 157.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Lusitania total 75.5Actual: Lusitania over 75.5
Over 75.5
75.9%
@ 1.36+11.5pp
Under 75.5
24.1%
@ 2.47-11.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.47
Lusitania total 79.5 · main lineActual: Lusitania over 79.5
Over 79.5
62.0%
@ 1.85+11.2pp
Under 79.5
38.0%
@ 1.91-11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.69
Under
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.75
Lusitania total 83.5Actual: Lusitania under 83.5
Over 83.5
46.2%
@ 2.34+8.9pp
Under 83.5
53.8%
@ 1.39-8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.39
Santo Andre total 67.5Actual: Santo Andre over 67.5
Over 67.5
68.4%
@ 1.37+4.3pp
Under 67.5
31.6%
@ 2.44-4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.44
Santo Andre total 71.5 · main lineActual: Santo Andre over 71.5
Over 71.5
53.3%
@ 1.91+3.7pp
Under 71.5
46.7%
@ 1.85-3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.71
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Santo Andre total 75.5Actual: Santo Andre over 75.5
Over 75.5
37.9%
@ 2.37+1.1pp
Under 75.5
62.1%
@ 1.38-1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.37
Under
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lusitania -12.5Actual: Santo Andre +12.5
LUSI -12.5
41.1%
@ 2.56+6.4pp
SANT +12.5
58.9%
@ 1.36-6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
LUSI
1xBet
2.56
SANT
1xBet
1.36
Spread Lusitania -9.5 · main lineActual: Santo Andre +9.5
LUSI -9.5
51.9%
@ 1.95+4.3pp
SANT +9.5
48.1%
@ 1.83-4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
LUSI
1xBet
1.95
Bet365
1.83
SANT
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.61
Spread Lusitania -6.5Actual: Santo Andre +6.5
LUSI -6.5
62.9%
@ 1.58+7.0pp
SANT +6.5
37.1%
@ 2.00-7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
LUSI
1xBet
1.58
SANT
1xBet
2.00

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
LusitaniaSanto Andre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#12
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
80.3Avg total
44.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)41.837.479.2+4.460%70%
Last 30 at home (15)40.533.674.1+6.967%47%
Last 30 away (15)43.141.284.3+1.953%93%
Last 10 (10)44.635.780.3+8.980%80%
Last 5 (5)42.834.076.8+8.880%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.740.778.3-3.033%67%
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.540.077.5-2.533%50%
vs Weaker (21)43.636.279.8+7.471%76%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#14
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H21/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H28/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H03/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H02/05
Proliga
Galomar
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A10/10
Proliga
Maia
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A24/10
Proliga
73.6Avg total
37.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)37.037.374.3-0.250%43%
Last 30 at home (15)35.638.574.1-2.933%47%
Last 30 away (15)38.536.174.5+2.467%40%
Last 10 (10)37.036.673.6+0.440%40%
Last 5 (5)40.835.676.4+5.240%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.341.377.6-5.030%50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.636.672.1-1.057%43%
vs Weaker (13)38.434.572.9+3.862%38%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Santo Andre win
LUSI win
no forecast
@ 1.41
SANT win
no forecast
@ 3.03
1st half Spread Lusitania -4.5 · main lineActual: Santo Andre +4.5
LUSI -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
SANT +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 73.5 · main lineActual: Over 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Lusitania 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Lusitania under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Santo Andre 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Santo Andre over 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: LUSI + total 75.5
LUSI & over
no forecast
@ 2.75
LUSI & under
no forecast
@ 2.80
1st half: Draw + total 75.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Santo Andre (regulation)
LUSI
no forecast
@ 1.43
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
SANT
no forecast
@ 3.16

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LUSI win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
SANT win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LUSI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SANT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Lusitania over 76.572.7%1.43
1xBet
1.43
----+11.7ppWon
Lusitania over 75.575.9%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+11.5ppWon
Lusitania over 74.578.9%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+11.3ppWon
Lusitania (regulation)79.0%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+10.2ppLost
Lusitania -3.573.2%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+6.8ppLost
Lusitania -2.575.8%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+6.2ppLost
Lusitania win81.2%1.24
WilliamHill
1.29
Bet365
1.26
SBO
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.24
+5.5ppLost
Overtime: no96.4%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.8pp-
Santo Andre over 66.571.8%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+4.4ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.626.4
57.9%
52.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.0
32.0%
30.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.812.0
75.9%
67.0%12.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santo Andretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santo Andre: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.7
53.7%
52.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.7
29.4%
30.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
67.0%13.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LWWWWWWWWW
Santo Andre
WWWLLWLLWL
#6
League position
#3
+16.4
Net rating
+0.5
96.9
Offensive rating
84.8
80.5
Defensive rating
84.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.6%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.0%
3-point %
29.4%
65.6%
Assist %
50.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 84.8Defence80.5 · 84.3Shooting54.7% · 49.6%3-point %32.0% · 29.4%Ball care17.0% · 20.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Lusitania   ■ Santo Andre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lusitania wins
2
Santo Andre wins
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70
29/03/26HSampaense87-60
22/03/26HSangalhos89-69
Santo Andrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ACB Queluz96-87
17/10/26HMaia72-59
10/10/26AAcademica78-73
03/10/26HGalomar64-72
02/05/26HGalomar74-86
25/04/26ASangalhos94-61
19/04/26ASampaense80-87
03/04/26HLusitania70-85
28/03/26HBenfica Lisboa B60-51
21/03/26HCB Queluz72-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.875.082.5
Allowed / game70.271.569.0
Point differential+8.5+3.5+13.5
Avg total149.0146.5151.5
Over 152.525%0%50%
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santo Andre
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game77.568.087.0
Allowed / game72.865.580.0
Point differential+4.8+2.5+7.0
Avg total150.2133.5167.0
Over 152.525%0%50%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos43175%74.260.0+14.2
2 Lusitania43175%78.870.2+8.5
3 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
5 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
6 Maia32167%82.081.7+0.3
7 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
8 CB Queluz53260%71.071.0+0.0
9 Galitos Barreiro53260%72.072.2-0.2
10 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1313223280
Santo Andre1833191585
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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