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Lusitania vs Santo Andre Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 76-73
16-19 17-20 22-12 21-22
Position#3
Record8-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#13
Record5-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game80.9
PortugalProligaRound 4· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lusitania v Santo Andre
31 Oct 2026
LUSI80
SANT85
12 Feb 2026
LUSI76
SANT73
08 Feb 2025
LUSI66
SANT82
07 Dec 2024
LUSI92
SANT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santo Andre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
87-46
87
46
+41
89avg 79
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
56avg 79
A30/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
64-65
64
65
-1
59avg 79
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 79
A08/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
100-71
100
71
+29
110avg 79
A13/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 79
A27/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 79
H04/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 79
A10/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
89-72
89
72
+17
94avg 79
H24/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
112avg 79
A31/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-8
23-12
22-20
21-6
16-22
20-22
28-13
9-24
16-22
13-8
18-16
17-19
28-19
25-23
23-20
24-12
22-23
21-18
34-3
23-27
15-24
24-18
25-16
17-27
24-16
25-17
28-22
11-19
23-23
16-23
14-16
19-20
22-8
28-24
25-20
14-20
17-23
24-23
22-24
28-21
161.6Avg total
86.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.175.2155.4+4.950%
Season at home (8)76.268.4144.6+7.962%
Season away (8)84.082.1166.1+1.938%
Last 10 (10)86.375.3161.6+11.060%
Last 5 (5)87.883.2171.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)69.574.7144.2-5.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.278.1167.3+11.077%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndrePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAndre
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
59avg 64
H22/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
66-62
66
62
+4
60avg 64
A30/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-94
60
94
-34
54avg 64
H07/12
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 64
H16/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
96-87 OT
96
87
+9
80avg 64
A20/12
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 64
H03/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
61avg 64
A10/01
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
69-65
69
65
+4
55avg 64
H25/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
64-62
64
62
+2
57avg 64
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
65-69
65
69
-4
58avg 64
A06/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-26
14-15
20-25
29-12
15-13
22-15
15-23
14-11
28-18
8-19
12-28
12-29
26-30
23-21
23-32
14-15
25-18
17-19
17-22
13-13
27-20
18-23
22-20
8-15
10-22
21-27
20-13
18-16
26-24
19-15
10-17
14-9
23-17
13-15
12-12
16-18
14-19
22-16
13-17
16-17
149.2Avg total
72.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.180.9155.0-6.929%
Season at home (8)76.184.5160.6-8.425%
Season away (9)72.277.8150.0-5.633%
Last 10 (10)72.177.1149.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)68.470.4138.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.088.7161.7-15.70%
vs Similar (9)72.877.3150.1-4.622%
vs Weaker (15)77.171.1148.2+5.967%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
LusitaniaSanto Andre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A30/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H04/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A10/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H24/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Proliga
79.9Avg total
42.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.080.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.577.8+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.141.683.7+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.679.9+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.883.4+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)32.536.268.7-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.739.584.2+5.268%-
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H22/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A30/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/12
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H16/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A20/12
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H03/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A10/01
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H25/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/02
Proliga
77.1Avg total
37.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.475.7+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.175.5+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.775.8+0.567%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.277.1-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.678.2-1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.542.882.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (9)35.937.473.3-1.644%-
vs Weaker (15)39.335.174.4+4.180%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.426.0
57.3%
50.0%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.4
28.1%
30.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.0
67.0%
67.4%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santo Andretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santo Andre: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.1
45.2%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.1
25.3%
30.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws22.617.3
76.5%
67.4%17.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WWLWLWWLLW
Santo Andre
LWWLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#13
+12.7
Net rating
-5.8
103.0
Offensive rating
85.0
90.3
Defensive rating
90.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
42.5%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
21.5%
40.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.1%
3-point %
25.3%
61.7%
Assist %
53.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 85.0Defence90.3 · 90.8Shooting52.2% · 42.5%3-point %28.1% · 25.3%Ball care20.0% · 21.5%Off. rebounds40.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Lusitania   ■ Santo Andre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lusitania wins
2
Santo Andre wins
DateGameScore
30/03/25Santo Andre v Lusitania70-74
08/02/25Lusitania v Santo Andre66-82
07/12/24Lusitania v Santo Andre92-79
12/10/24Santo Andre v Lusitania50-44
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ASangalhos109-103 OT
24/01/26HBenfica Lisboa B89-72
10/01/26ACD Povoa72-82
04/01/26HSangalhos88-74
27/12/25AMaia81-85
13/12/25AAcademica100-71
08/12/25ASangalhos100-74
07/12/25HIlliabum64-65
30/11/25AGinasio73-81
22/11/25HSampaense87-46
Santo Andrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26ABenfica Lisboa B65-69
01/02/26ACB Queluz64-62
25/01/26HAcademica69-65
10/01/26AImortal B69-78
03/01/26HGinasio Olhanense75-78
20/12/25ACB Queluz96-87 OT
16/12/25HGalomar86-98
07/12/25HCAB Madeira60-94
30/11/25ABenfica Lisboa B66-62
22/11/25HPortimonense71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game80.176.284.0
Allowed / game75.268.482.1
Point differential+4.9+7.9+1.9
Avg total155.4144.6166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Santo Andre
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayWWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game74.176.172.2
Allowed / game80.984.577.8
Point differential-6.9-8.4-5.6
Avg total155.0160.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa17170100%86.465.6+20.8
2 CAB Madeira1715288%85.172.2+12.9
3 Illiabum1712571%78.768.8+9.9
4 Portimonense1712571%81.374.8+6.5
5 Imortal B1711665%78.978.6+0.2
6 Galomar1710759%86.781.9+4.8
7 Maia169756%82.373.7+8.6
8 Ginasio Olhanense179853%80.576.4+4.1
9 Lusitania168850%80.175.2+4.9
10 Ginasio168850%75.879.4-3.7
11 Sampaense168850%72.176.8-4.8
12 Benfica Lisboa B1751229%70.273.7-3.5
13 Santo Andre1751229%74.180.9-6.9
14 Sangalhos1731418%70.687.6-16.9
15 CB Queluz171166%69.486.4-17.1
16 Academica171166%62.481.9-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1617222176
Santo Andre1920122273
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