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Santo Andre vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-74
16-15 13-23 21-17 20-19
Position#9
Record13-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#6
Record11-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.7
PortugalProligaRound 10· Pavilhao Municipal Padre Amadeu Pinto
Other2024-25
Meetings · Santo Andre v Lusitania
21 Feb 2027
SANT v LUSI
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
SANT70
LUSI85
30 Mar 2025
SANT70
LUSI74
12 Oct 2024
SANT50
LUSI44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Santo Andre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Santo AndrePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAndre
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
81-62
81
62
+19
80avg 64
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
63-58
63
58
+5
54avg 64
H11/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
63avg 64
A25/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
98-76
98
76
+22
101avg 64
H02/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
72avg 64
A08/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
84-53
84
53
+31
84avg 64
H15/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
76avg 64
A01/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 64
H08/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
50-56
50
56
-6
50avg 64
H15/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
A22/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
23-14
21-17
14-13
18-20
28-14
10-6
7-18
24-19
12-22
11-14
26-26
24-18
28-19
21-26
25-13
22-10
19-17
26-15
15-24
21-15
24-14
20-18
19-6
20-19
19-9
21-15
22-23
16-13
21-26
20-17
25-21
24-12
14-17
7-11
5-16
25-23
25-26
23-23
22-21
147.8Avg total
79.0Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.969.7142.5+3.259%
Season at home (11)71.564.7136.3+6.873%
Season away (11)74.274.6148.8-0.545%
Last 10 (10)79.068.8147.8+10.280%
Last 5 (5)78.669.0147.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.389.7164.0-15.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.470.7142.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (13)74.568.4142.9+6.269%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
56avg 69
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 69
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 69
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
62avg 69
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
83avg 69
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 69
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 69
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
102-106
102
106
-4
91avg 69
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
75avg 69
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 69
H23/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
14-9
17-19
22-20
21-10
18-18
20-19
23-22
22-16
22-16
19-15
23-22
10-22
17-19
15-26
24-15
20-10
20-25
18-24
32-21
27-24
24-20
20-15
29-21
19-33
27-18
28-9
20-22
30-29
32-25
17-20
23-32
28-19
14-30
17-18
27-26
18-8
22-25
25-14
20-24
165.9Avg total
85.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.076.7154.7+1.348%
Season at home (12)77.577.2154.7+0.350%
Season away (11)78.576.2154.6+2.345%
Last 10 (10)85.780.2165.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)93.486.4179.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.9100.1173.0-27.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.178.0146.1-9.911%
vs Weaker (14)84.375.9160.1+8.471%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Santo AndreLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Santo AndreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H11/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H02/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A08/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H15/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A01/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A22/03
Proliga
77.5Avg total
43.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.872.3+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.831.468.1+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)38.137.875.9+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.034.577.5+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.876.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.385.0-9.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.231.666.8+3.671%-
vs Weaker (13)39.935.475.3+4.554%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/03
Proliga
81.6Avg total
41.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.378.8-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.242.282.4-2.135%-
Last 30 away (13)36.537.774.2-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.881.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.246.294.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.452.190.6-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.235.766.9-4.422%-
vs Weaker (14)43.437.380.6+6.171%-
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Santo Andretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santo Andre: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.4
49.7%
49.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.9
34.1%
30.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.610.8
65.1%
68.4%10.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.6
53.1%
49.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
30.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
68.4%16.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Santo Andre
WLWWWWWLWW
Lusitania
WLLWWWLWWL
#9
League position
#6
+10.7
Net rating
+8.4
99.3
Offensive rating
109.8
88.6
Defensive rating
101.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.0%
Turnover %
21.5%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.1%
3-point %
35.5%
61.9%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 109.8Defence88.6 · 101.5Shooting50.4% · 53.1%3-point %34.1% · 35.5%Ball care20.0% · 21.5%Off. rebounds28.3% · 36.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Santo Andre   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Santo Andre wins
1
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Lusitania v Santo Andre66-82
07/12/24Lusitania v Santo Andre92-79
12/10/24Santo Andre v Lusitania50-44
Santo Andrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AGinasio95-93
15/03/25HBenfica Lisboa B50-56
08/03/25HSampaense82-77
01/03/25ABarreirense82-66
15/02/25HGalitos Aveiro84-53
08/02/25ALusitania82-66
02/02/25HGinasio98-76
25/01/25ABenfica Lisboa B73-81
11/01/25HImortal B63-58
05/01/25ABenfica Lisboa B81-62
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HGalitos Aveiro85-71
16/03/25AMaia86-93
08/03/25HGinasio102-106
02/03/25ABenfica Lisboa B94-82
22/02/25HSampaense100-80
16/02/25ABarreirense90-80
08/02/25HSanto Andre66-82
02/02/25AGalitos Aveiro86-69
25/01/25HMaia82-69
11/01/25HCAB Madeira66-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Santo Andre
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game72.971.574.2
Allowed / game69.764.774.6
Point differential+3.2+6.8-0.5
Avg total142.5136.3148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game78.077.578.5
Allowed / game76.777.276.2
Point differential+1.3+0.3+2.3
Avg total154.7154.7154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2419579%82.969.8+13.1
2 Vasco Da Gama2318578%82.676.7+6.0
3 CAB Madeira2415962%74.869.2+5.6
4 Portimonense2415962%76.172.9+3.2
5 CB Queluz2415962%77.174.1+3.0
6 Santo Andre2213959%72.969.7+3.2
7 Illiabum24141058%74.868.5+6.4
8 Lusitania23111248%78.076.7+1.3
9 Maia23111248%76.080.7-4.7
10 Sampaense24101442%80.384.4-4.0
11 Imortal B2391439%66.473.0-6.5
12 Sangalhos2491538%77.077.5-0.5
13 Barreirense2491538%72.675.7-3.1
14 Ginasio2491538%80.586.1-5.6
15 Benfica Lisboa B2491538%67.974.8-6.9
16 Galitos Aveiro2432112%68.078.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Santo Andre1613212070
Lusitania1523171974
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