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LWD Basket vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-85
26-28 22-24 29-20 12-13
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#3
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje
Other2024-25
Meetings · LWD Basket v Mechelen
11 Apr 2026
LWD 98
MECH78
27 Oct 2024
LWD 89
MECH85
24 Mar 2024
LWD 91
MECH71
02 Apr 2023
LWD 90
MECH96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
67-66
67
66
+1
60avg 71
H30/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
77-92
77
92
-15
73avg 71
A03/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#4
L
61-90
61
90
-29
54avg 71
A08/05
DBL
Zwolle
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 71
H10/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#14
L
64-73
64
73
-9
57avg 71
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
93avg 71
A28/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
80avg 71
H05/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
48-85
48
85
-37
42avg 71
A12/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
100-76
100
76
+24
98avg 71
H18/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
90avg 71
A20/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
21-24
10-10
13-16
24-31
20-22
17-17
16-22
12-26
21-25
15-19
13-20
22-27
16-14
18-25
24-22
26-12
7-19
13-17
18-25
22-28
22-19
16-18
22-17
19-18
18-28
22-18
27-28
11-23
11-20
9-18
17-24
28-15
19-25
24-19
29-17
21-29
22-13
24-21
24-7
160.2Avg total
77.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.382.2163.5-0.850%
Season at home (3)83.380.3163.7+3.033%
Season away (3)79.384.0163.3-4.767%
Last 10 (10)77.382.9160.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)84.884.0168.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.886.7164.5-9.029%
vs Similar (4)80.281.8162.0-1.550%
vs Weaker (5)80.476.2156.6+4.260%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
83avg 74
H03/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
84avg 74
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
W
75-70
75
70
+5
69avg 74
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 74
A12/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
65-74
65
74
-9
60avg 74
A20/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 74
A28/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
97avg 74
H05/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
85-108
85
108
-23
76avg 74
A11/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
57avg 74
H18/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 74
H20/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
22-20
17-17
22-16
29-20
19-25
16-17
20-28
22-16
21-12
7-20
25-22
22-17
14-21
18-25
15-18
20-20
10-19
20-23
15-12
22-16
19-19
12-26
26-14
28-18
17-16
23-22
24-13
21-22
24-29
17-31
23-26
24-19
21-20
14-17
17-23
16-16
25-18
13-16
23-22
158.9Avg total
79.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.079.5158.5-0.550%
Season at home (3)81.773.3155.0+8.367%
Season away (3)76.385.7162.0-9.333%
Last 10 (10)79.479.5158.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)81.880.6162.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.086.7162.7-10.717%
vs Similar (13)77.480.2157.5-2.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.972.7156.6+11.273%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
LWD BasketMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A03/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A08/05
DBL
Zwolle
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A28/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H05/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A12/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H18/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/10
BNXT League
81.9Avg total
38.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.282.1-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.542.183.6-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.844.180.8-7.325%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.481.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.682.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.545.784.2-7.219%-
vs Similar (4)37.241.879.0-4.550%-
vs Weaker (5)42.233.675.8+8.6100%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H03/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A20/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H18/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/10
BNXT League
81.4Avg total
42.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.779.7+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.137.379.4+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.979.9+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.781.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.682.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.843.781.5-5.817%-
vs Similar (13)40.238.778.9+1.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.536.079.5+7.573%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.9
52.8%
52.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.912.0
67.0%
71.9%12.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.6
55.5%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.5
34.4%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
71.9%16.9
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LWD Basket
WWLLWLLLLW
Mechelen
WLLWWLLWLW
#10
League position
#3
-7.7
Net rating
-0.6
101.4
Offensive rating
108.5
109.1
Defensive rating
109.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
21.3%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.1%
3-point %
34.4%
65.1%
Assist %
58.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 108.5Defence109.1 · 109.0Shooting52.1% · 54.0%3-point %34.1% · 34.4%Ball care21.3% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ LWD Basket   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LWD Basket wins
3
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
03/05/24Mechelen v LWD Basket92-77
24/03/24LWD Basket v Mechelen91-71
28/04/23Mechelen v LWD Basket76-61
02/04/23LWD Basket v Mechelen90-96
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AZwolle91-70
18/10/24HQSTA Utd100-76
12/10/24ALeuven Bears48-85
05/10/24HOostende86-92
28/09/24ADen Bosch99-97 OT
14/09/24HDonar Groningen64-73
10/05/24HZwolle80-88
08/05/24AZwolle61-90
03/05/24AMechelen77-92
30/04/24HOkapi Aalst67-66
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HSpirou Charleroi77-72
18/10/24HAntwerp Giants76-79
11/10/24AKortrijk85-108
05/10/24HZwolle92-69
28/09/24AOostende79-75
20/09/24ALimburg65-74
12/05/24ALimburg69-81
10/05/24HLimburg75-70
08/05/24ALimburg84-90
03/05/24HLWD Basket92-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game81.383.379.3
Allowed / game82.280.384.0
Point differential-0.8+3.0-4.7
Avg total163.5163.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game79.081.776.3
Allowed / game79.573.385.7
Point differential-0.5+8.3-9.3
Avg total158.5155.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk86275%93.280.5+12.8
2 Oostende86275%87.175.9+11.2
3 Circus Brussels86275%78.174.5+3.6
4 Leuven Bears75271%80.166.9+13.3
5 Limburg75271%78.970.7+8.1
6 Zwolle75271%85.784.3+1.4
7 Spirou Charleroi74357%78.169.4+8.7
8 Belfius Mons74357%76.774.1+2.6
9 Mechelen63350%79.079.5-0.5
10 LWD Basket63350%81.382.2-0.8
11 Leiden84450%75.079.1-4.1
12 Okapi Aalst73443%77.977.6+0.3
13 Den Helder83538%71.279.1-7.9
14 Antwerp Giants62433%73.576.0-2.5
15 Donar Groningen72529%74.483.4-9.0
16 BAL Weert72529%75.486.4-11.0
17 Den Bosch61517%79.888.3-8.5
18 Feyenoord61517%72.283.3-11.2
19 QSTA Utd61517%73.087.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LWD Basket2622291289
Mechelen2824201385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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